Wednesday, February 10, 2016

New Hampshire Primary:Sanders and Trump Victory For Vox Populi


There was an almost audible sigh of relief from the political establishment when Senator Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and posh lady Hillary Clinton (D-Blomingdales) won the US Republican and Democratic Party nomination contests in Iowa, the first contest of the 2016 Presidential Election pageant. The mavericks Donald Trump (Republican, sort of) and Bernie Sanders (Democrat, sort of) who had led in opinion polls were beaten (in very dubious circumstances in the case of Sanders defeat by Hillary Clinton, who won the nomination because her campaign manager won 6 precincts on a coin toss by calling, correctly, HEADS each time. What are the odds against that?)

The British media, for the main part Obama fans since 2007 and therefore eager to acclaim his chosen successor, almost collectively orgasmed: "OMG Trump lost!" one headline read while others proclaimed that Sanders (only beaten on the six tossed of a double headed coin you must remember) was finished, his campaign was over and that in November President Hillary would be crowned according to plan.

A week later in New Hampshire where both parties have a proper 'primary' election as opposed to a caucus a system that apparently chooses candidates by tossing coins, drawing lots, cutting cards or maybe in extreme cases, making the candidates have a fight, it was a different. UK media today focused on the idea that Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Donald Trump have “shaken up” the Presidential race.

That ought to be good headline, but it is too late. Sanders and Trump and the American public shook up the Presidential race when they announced their candidacies months ago, and the public, bored with machine politics and boring banality spouting half wits like Barack Obama and sickened by the self interest of Washington politicians, as Robert Burns might have put it, 'bought and paid for with corporate gold'*.

This morning as Sanders' and Trumps' supporters celebrate their victories, nobody in the political establishment or the mainstream media can understand how this has happened.

The case is no one in the establishment media could predict this departure from the script because increasingly over the past forty or maybe fifty years Washington insiders and political journalists have lived in a bubble, isolating themselves more and more from what the ordinary punters think.

“Surely America will come to its senses?” has been the refrain throughout the run up to this Presidential election campaign. They cannot see that American voters have come to their senses, they have rejected the politically correct consensus that has made the two parties indistinguishable, they have rejected the back room deal making and the short term self interest of machine politics. They have voted for the outsiders.

Mainstream commentators cannot fathom why the “anointed ones,” candidates Jeb Bush (son and bother of former Presidents) and Hillary Clinton (wife of a former President), aren’t being propelled to victory by their politically correct, controversy avoiding banality and cynical attempt to appeal to minorities, disregarding the interests of those groups whose votes they take for granted.

Today, television and print news across the USA and around the world country have been forced to wake up to the idea that the tsunami of anti-establishment feeling surging through Europe as evidence by the rise of national interest parties such as France's Front National, UKIP in Britain, AFD in Germany and the Sweden Democrats, all opposed to mass immigration and the further transfer of national sovereignty to unelected Bureaucrats, has reached the USA. There people have seen President Obama support terorists sworn to harm US interests, show contempt for the constitution, divide the nation racially and try to surrender sovereignty to the United Nations. Here's how the UK media see it:

The BBC leads with: “Both candidates are riding on a wave of discontent with mainstream politics”.

The Independent says: “Outsiders Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders were handsomely rewarded by the voters of New Hampshire on Tuesday night – with predictions handing them huge wins over their establishment rivals”.

The Guardian reports: “Donald Trump, once an object of mockery and scorn by many in the political establishment, has won the New Hampshire Republican primary.”

The Daily Mail notes: “About half [of Republican voters] also said they want the next U.S. president to be someone who comes from outside America’s political ‘establishment.'”

From the Telegraph: “Maverick candidates Trump and Sanders rock US political establishment”.

The Huffington Post UK states: “Both winners peddle a strong ideological message at odds with the country’s political mainstream”.

Westminster’s most establishment magazine, the Spectator said in its online edition: “Populism won tonight in New Hampshire. Rage against the elite won tonight in New Hampshire”.

But the Murdoch press wasn’t quite as conciliatory, after Mr. Trump declared war against his Fox News Channel by refusing to attend the debate in Iowa.

The Times front page proclaimed: “Donald Trump won the New Hampshire primary last night – the surest sign yet that voters are ready to put a billionaire former reality TV star with no political experience into the world’s most powerful executive position.”

*Such A Parcel Of Rogues In A Nation by Robert Burns

Now The Circus Rolls On To South Carolina

South Carolina is a very different proposition to New Hampshire,  a poor state with a large black population it tends to vote along racial lines, white voters for Republicans, black voters solidly Democrat.  US mainstream commentators claim the state's  economic environment has improved dramatically from 2012, when the state's unemployment rate was approaching 10 percent at the time of the primary. The official rate was down to 5.5 percent in December, largely because of Obama's waitresses and bartenders recovery, and while statistical jiggery pokery masks the blight of of underemployment (part time working) wage levels are static and poverty is a problem even for many of those in work. (American readers may think I'm tearing your country apart, not so, on my UK blog I am far more scathing about British politicians failure to deal with long running problems)

South Carolina has a reputation for picking winners. so the Republican race is one to watch. For the Democrats, Hillary looks to have a comfortable lead in polls at the moment and is popular with black voters  and even though bernie Sanders is gaining ground he has a lot to make up, so the biggest chance of a surprise is whether hilly will still be in the race or in jail because of the 'Servergate' scandal by then.

The Republican race is the one to watch however. When the candidates debate in Greenville on 13 February, if Donald Trump performs well he should consolidate his lead in the opinion polls, Marco Rubio looks to have blown his chance through stage fright and failure to engage with voters. Can Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz or one of the others stage a comeback?

Sanders vs Trump for the Presidential Election still looks a good bet though. 

Republican Party Hierachy Meltdown Over Trump?

Whatever it may or may not have achieved, the obviously management - approved intervention of 'Captain Underpants' Mitt Romney who urged Republicans to unite against Donald Trump did not go down well with some parts of the US Media. Here's an extract of somebody called Judge Jeanine, letting rip at the Party's ruling cabal for simply not getting it.
New Report Shows How Hillary Clinton Sold Obama on Regime Change in Libya
We have no compunction about lobbying against Hillary as responsible citizens of the world who put the interests of people in the USA, Europe and the third world ahead of the interests of a global wealthy elite who profit from war and are quite prepared to use financial muscle to make sure corporate profit wins out over public interest.
Is Bernie Sanders Pulling Clear Of Democrats 'Anointed One' Hillary?
In Parallel With The Upheaval In European Politics, A Similar Cataclysm Is Happening In The USA
Having reported for three or four years now the rise of the anti - Integration parties in European Union member nations, UKIP in Britain, the FN in France, AfD in Germany, Denmakr's Peoiple's Party, Five Star and the Liga Nord in Italy, the Sweden Democrats and others in every E U member state, we now look at what is going on in the USA as campaiging for the presidential election gathers pace.

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