by Phil T. Looker, 3 September 2022
Our leaders are all totally insulated from the consequences of getting involved, even indirectly, in this conflict, they have no skin in the game, until the next round of elections
Putin's regime may be odious but he is popular in Russia and the economy is doing just fine. A large and increasing balance of payment surplus, strongest currency bar none this year, declining inflation, massive gold reserves and an absence of sovereign debt combines with those natural resources and a well organised agricultural sector make Russia virtually unassailable to external actions such as economic sanctions and trade embargos. The Kremlin circumvents NATO / EU sanctions by selling petrocarbons to India and China for much more than before the war; (some of which is then resold to Europe for a healthy profit for the counties!).
Meanwhile our sanctions on Russia have created huge hikes in energy inflation threatening the shut down of the UK/European countries creating mass unemployment and poverty. Meanwhile Putin works closely with China and other BRICS countries to work on a new payment system bypassing SWIFT sanctions - oh and now Saudi is flirting with joining the BRICS club. Putin is a very capable opponent, and our policies are harming us much worse than it is harming him.
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Biden (or his administration) has been responsible to a large degree in encouraging Putin to invade Ukraine, because shutting off the XL pipeline caused the recent oil price surge. The late Senator John McCain said this of Russia: “Russia is an old gas station, masquerading as a country”. All Russia does is oil and gas , plus some raw materials too.That somewhat understates the range of the Russian economy but there is some truth in it. Russia exports raw materials and grain.
The way to undermine Putin’s ambitions is to open up the oilfields and gas fields so eagerly abandoned by the west in our leaders eagerness to earn green kudos from the tree huggers. Drill for oil, frack for oil and gas, recommission wells closed and capped because in the face of cheap Russian imports they were unprofitable. Get the oil and gas prices down and ensure energy stability with controls in place to ensure that spinless politicians, fearful of upsetting the noisy but numerically insignificant eco - warrior contingent can never again make us dependent on a potentially hostile power for the means to keep ourselves warm and well fed. This is where demented Joe Biden and cunt - struck Boris Johnson have made a series of enormous mistakes, and Biden in particular has handed Putin on a platter a lot of financial power.
When oil prices got to U$150 a barrel in 2008, Putin took Georgia. Oil prices settled but then in 2014 the price went to U$100, and Putin annexed Crimea. With the fracking revolution under first Barack Obama (in betrayal of the idealogues who voted for him,) and then Donald Trump led to the USA being self sufficient in oil and natural gas, the oil price dropped to between U$25 to U$45 a barrel. You never heard from Putin.
In the past year the oil price has jumped from U$50 to U$100 and Putin made around U$85bn in profit from that. He is using that money to finance his war in Ukraine. The lesson is ‘crank uo the oil pumps and open the gas taps.'
Biden and Boris Johnson have been doing exactly the reverse in pursuit of unrealistic 'net zero' policies. Johnson refused to issue more oil and gas licences in the North Sea, fracking is still in limbo, and the enormous reserves around the Outer Hebrides are untapped. Johnson (or whoever suceeds him now he has been disgraced,) and Biden by keeping oil and gas in short supply and price high, are helping Putin.
America could produce 15m barrels of oil a day, but currently is only pumping 11.5m Why? More oil in the market and the price goes down and Putin is stuck in Ukraine.The North Sea, with 24 billion barrels of oil left in known reserves and estimates of another 40 billion yet to be exploited, could make Britain self sufficient in oil and gas for at leasy half a century, and our islands still stand on a foundation of high quality coal
The answer to thwart Putin is to get the oil price down. Reinstate the Keystone pipeline, get drilling in Alaska, the North Sea and Outer Hebrides.
However none of this will be allowed in 'woke' world. The people acting as puppeteers of poor demented Joe Biden are intent on humiliating Russia, wrecking the Russian economy and engineering the overthrow of Vladimir Putin, with the added bonus that once these goals are achieved their corporate, globalist cronies will be able to step in and 'annexe' Russia's massive mineral, hydrocarbon and metal resources.