The Martyrng Of Marine Le Pen Will Only Serve To Accelerate The Rise Of Europe's Right

Marine Le Pen’s conviction for misuse of EU funds and subsequent five year ban ban from all politics including the democratic contest to become the French president (in which she has been consistently leading polls,) has polarised Europe, redefining the political narrative in the battle for the cultural and political heart of Europe. The verdict, making her ineligible to seek political office for five years, rules her out of the 2027 French presidential race, a contest for whih she was conidered the front runner, and will cement claims by her party, the right wing National Rally, that it faces judicial and political persecution in a system weighted in favour of the elite and is always subject to interference by the corrupt EU bureaucracy in Brussels.

“Today it is not only Marine Le Pen who was unjustly condemned: it was French democracy that was killed,” Giorgia Meloni, the Eurosceptic and populist prime minister of Italy, said.

While most of Europe's prominent left wing politicians were quick tio jump on the threat to democracy bandwagon, at least one pointed out that the conviction could backfire on the establihment by allowing Mme. Le Pen to present herself as a political martyr, and thus strengthen support for her party and her bid for the presidency one French conservative pointed out.

 

                                     Giorgia Meloni and Elon Musk, pictured at an awards ceremony in New York last year, have both expressed support for Marine Le Pen
Picture: FILIPPO ATTILI/US PALAZZO CHIGI/EPA

The French court's action has quickly been linked to the ruling by Romania’s constitutional court to cancel and postpone presidential elections last year that looked within the reach of the radical nationalist right, albeit in different circumstances, amid claims of Russian interference in the electoral process.

Even among French mainstream conservative Republicans party, however, there is the belief that the judgment is more about blocking a radical candidate and anti-establishment contender for power than a simple, black-and-white criminal case.

“The democratic destiny of our nation [is] confiscated by an outrageous judicial cabal,” Éric Ciotti, a former president of the party, said. “The favoured candidate in the presidential election prevented from running. This is not a simple dysfunction. It is a system to capture power that systematically throws aside any candidate that is too far to the right and who has a chance of winning.”

The narrative will add credibility to National Rally’s argument that the French political system is rigged against them after the party was locked out of power by tactical voting in parliamentary elections last year.

“…enabling her to pose as a political martyr…” says an opponent. There is no question that she is a political martyr. This conversion of fact to “misinformation” seems to be a common left wing and globalist tactic. The state must suppress evidence that mRNA vaccines cause harm, in case it causes vaccine hesitancy (amongst those who believe they cause harm because of that evidence). The state must hide strong evidence against Neodarwinism so as not to encourage the “Creationists” (ie all who believe there is strong evidence against Neodarwinism). The State must jail those who expose rape gangs (to prevent the public believing there are rape gangs). The must censor all news from Russia (whilst Russians retain access to ours) in case people believe Western censorship to be a far right talking point.

And all these acts which rob us of our freedoms are being implenented to protect our freedoms and save us from wicked people who pose a threat to democracy by standing as candidates opposed to the establishment in democratic elections.

FROM THE ARCHIVES:

[ Climate change ] ... [ Climate alarmists cheating ] ... [ Climate deception ] ... [ Climate lies ] ... [ Green dreams ] ... [ Green energy delusion ] ... [ Net zero reality ] ... [ Death of Democracy ]

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Now It's Over We Can Ask Why Did The Polls Get It So Wrong Again?

 For several months now, here in the UK and Europe as well as the USA mainstream media have been obsessing over polls, predictions and pronouncements about the outcome of the American the presidential election. Many of these polling based predictions presented their conclusions with a level of confidence which belied the data, disregarded the limitations of opinion polling and made mockery the democratic process. And most predicted a win for Democratic Party candidate Kamala Harris

Yesterday we on the saner side of the pond woke to hear that the US electorate had chosen Donald Trump to be their president again.  So we have a right, have we not, to ask WTF was all that bollocks about polls indicating the Democrats were about to scre a landslide victory that would humiliate Donald Trump and destry the Republican Party about?

Throughout this election campaign I have avoided commnting on the election because things have become so crazy in American politics that to merely point out that the polling companies were skewing data in order to give the impression Kamala Harris was ahead and thus nudge voters towards her was sure to attract venomous attacks from lefties, with accusations that the author murdered grsnnies, ate babies for lunch and habitually molested small furry animals.

There was no point trying to explain that one was not a Trump supporter but simply had conccerns about the way polling companies were skewing their findings.

Here are a few points on polling techniques and the manipulatio9as the case may be,n of data. . First of all it should be clear to anybody with more brain cells than they have tits or testicles  that (as the case may be,) that polls are not able to 'predict' the outcome of elections with any degree of certainty. 

  That has been obvious for some time and manifests itself in different polls having different results at similar times. Turning to the question as to whether the polls are manipulated or used to manipulate,  the latter is more likely than the former...BUT... Here we have to differentiate between who makes the poll, who pays for the poll and who publishes the poll. 

 Many polls are produced by research companies adding or including the questions in surveys they are already doing (e.g. omnibus surveys where clients buy a few questions rather than a whole survey). The cost of doing them is low and they may publish them for free. Some have agreements with newspapers, but when I last discussed this with a very senior newspaper person the view was 'they're not worth paying for, so we don't pay them any more.' 

Clearly who publishes what and how they report/spin it does mean they can be used to influence. Polling companies have always been open about the fact that they adjust or 'weight' results. Some of these weightings are 'everyday' (e.g. weighting it by age and region to match the population) others seemed to be more 'judgemental' (e.g. adjusting for likelihood to vote or the 'shy Trumper' phenomenom).

On the other had pollsters  are in denial about the fact that they present their data with a level of certainty that wasn't justified. Challenge organisation that have published polls which were 'wrong,' and they will cite a litany of excuses, usually concluding that their results were in fact correct but hve been misuderstood. 

Opinion pollsters, of neccessity, have to rely on a number of assumptions, all of which are precarious and easily to be incorrect and the general problems are multiplied tenfold for political polling. The organisers have to assume that they have asked a cross section of people who accurately represent the entire constituency. Which of course presupposes that the pollsters also have a very deep and accurate knowledge of all the demographics of that constituency. 

They have to get answers from all of that representative sample otherwise it will no longer be a properly representative sample. They have to assume that every one of those people is telling the truth about who they support. They have to assume that none of those people will change their mind before polling day and they have to assume that all of them will in fact vote.

If the race is a particularly tight one all of these factors have to be pinpoint accurate. Just one percentage point wrong can skew the entire sample. Then there may be rogue factors in particular cases, such as the data not giving an answer the customer wants and the pollster surreptitiously changing the results. And are all the individuals carrying out the polling 100% trustworthy? I doubt that they are particularly well paid and may well take short cuts to get the job done. Individual political bias is also a constant possibility.

Under all these circumstances, the most surprising thing is that any poll manages even to get close to reality.

A prime example of how polls are used tio manipulate opinion rather than simply reflect it occurred in the Scottish independence referendum of 2014. Shortly after the result was published, in  an article about the “Yes” campaign, nationalist leaders openly admitted that the strategy was to “create a sense of inevitability” in order to suppress the “No” vote in Glasgow, because it could disproportionately affect the overall result. Although they didn't say so in the published piece, it's clear now that the polls produced by “Yes” and its friendly media outlets over the summer of 2014 showing them with a narrow lead formed part of that effort.

Now look at that poll in the strongly Republican state of Iowa just four days before the vote  that put Harris three points ahead in the midwest state. Normally a poll in an individual US state would not attract much attention outside that state, but this particular poll  ecame the top news story not just in the USA but also in Europe and around the world. Though it had been clear since the early of October that the Harris campaign was in trouble and the momentum was with Trump, pundits responded to that Iowa poll by commenting that it indicated a late suge of support for the Democrat and surely meant Trump's bid to regain The White House was doomed.

 In the event Trump won Iowa by 13 points. So WTF was that  that polling nonsense about? 

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Biden Can Hardly Walk But He Has To Run Again To Stay Out Of Jail - But Is It Democratic?

by Arthur Foxake,  31 December 2023

U.S. President Joe Biden (Dementia Joe, The Child Sniffer, Uncle Groper or substitute your preference,)  has been accused of accepting  $-tens-of-millions from agents of foreign governments in exchange for using his influence as a U S Senator and (from 2008 to 2016) Vice President on their behalf.

Bribery is a serious federal crime that warrants impeachment and prosecution. Biden is also accused of obstructing justice by influencing the federal investigation into his son Hunter. (Trending: The Failures of Joe Biden Are In Full Bloom) Though Democrats continue to deny there is  evidence that Joe Biden committed any high crimes that warrant impeachment from the White House in reality, there is a mountain of evidence piling up against Biden, his son Hunter (a self - confessed drug addict, alcoholic and nonce,) and other family members, including witness testimony, emails, text messages, flights, and bank records. Let’s have a look at some of the incriminating evidence:

• Hunter Biden’s former business associate Devon Archer testified in July to the House Oversight Committee that Joe Biden spoke with his son’s business associates more than 20 times to sell the family “brand.”

• Joe Biden attended a spring 2014 dinner and met Russian oligarch Elena Baturina. He also attended a spring 2015 dinner with Vadim Pozharskyi, an executive with Ukrainian energy firm Burisma Holdings.

• Baturina later wired $3.5 million to a shell company owned by Archer and Biden in February 2014, bank records show. (Trending: Climate Hoax, Scientist Admits To Lying)

• Joe Biden attended a meeting in Beijing with a Chinese business associate, whose daughter later received a college recommendation letter from then-Vice President Joe Biden.

• Hunter Biden received $80,000 per month by Burisma when the dinner with Pozharskyi took place. 

• The Biden family and its associates received more than $20 million from Ukrainian, Russian, Chinese, Romanian and Kazakhstani business associates, the bank records indicate.

 The real darkness in American politics in my view is what the hard left aka democrats are doing to their country lawless streets taking away free speech with critical race and gender theory and trying to stop the democratic process..they have a real reason to fear trump. I would welcome his return.

The real disturbing issue is how so-called Democrats are so desperate to stop Trump winning that they are using legal means to stop him being a candidate? If they really believe in democracy shouldn't they have sufficient faith in their own candidate to win?

Time and again in recent years from US elections to trans issues to Brexit the approach of supposedly democratic liberals is to seek to circumvent and subvert democracy.

The real disturbing issue is how so-called Democrats are so desperate to stop Trump winning that they are using legal means to stop him being a candidate? If they really believe in democracy shouldn't they have sufficient faith in their own candidate to win?

Time and again in recent years from US elections to trans issues to Brexit the approach of supposedly democratic liberals is to seek to circumvent and subvert democracy.

The most disturbing issue however, is the way an authoritarian party with sufficient hubris to call themselves  Democrats are so desperate to stop Trump or any Republican winning that they are using any and every legal trick their shyster lawyers can find to stop him even being a candidate? If they really believe in democracy shouldn't they have sufficient faith in their own candidate to win?

Time and again in recent years from US elections to trans issues to Brexit the approach of supposedly democratic liberals is to seek to circumvent and subvert democracy through court systems that have been loaded by previous administrations with far left activist judges and officials.

 The real darkness in American politics appears, from where I am watching on the far side of The Atlantic, to be what the hard left aka Democrats are doing to their country in prosecuting their opponents while criminals go about their business unhindered in the lawless streets of dystopian cities, suppressing free speech and other inalienable rights, using critical race and gender theory to dive society, mandating the right of deviants to enter schools for the purpose of grooming young children and trying to subvert the democratic process.  When we look at the alternative, voters have no real reason to fear Trump, who is merely an ill - mannered, loudmouthed bully. 

But those who cannot stomach The Donald's style, politics or silly haircut, there's always the option to vote for a candidate who is a true Democrat and who loves his country and much as Trump claims to and Biden clearly does not. Bobby Kennedy Jnr. is currently showing enough support in polls to be a threat to both major parties. 

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As Support For Ukraine Is Waning Among Europeans, Pentagno Warns Biden War Fatigue In The USA Is Growning

 

In April 2022 the majority of Europeans who responded to opinion polling questions on Ukraine  “fully approved of” , continuing to provide weapons and ammunition, financial support and humanitarian aid to the government and people if Ukraine in that country's war with Russia, and furthermore wanted the economic sanctions already imposed on Russia following its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 stepped up. Similar levels of support for the neo - Nazi government in Kiev were also recorded by opinion polls in the USA.

However, by the third quarter 2023 similar polling shows a significant mood change with none of the measures that previous had overwhelming support now being backed a majority of EU or US citizens.

In a meta analysis of polling results, support for providing humanitarian aid to people affected by the war was found to have dropped from 64 percent last year to 47 percent. Support for welcoming without question Ukrainian refugees into the European Union decreased from 55 percent to 36 percent, while approval for the continuation of economic sanctions against Moscow has dropped from 55 percent to 46 percent.

Similarly, just 26 percent of Europeans now totally agree with the European Union providing financial support to Ukraine, down from 42 percent, and only 24 percent totanowlly agree with the supply of military equipment to Kyiv.

In fairness we should point out that all of the above categories, with the exception of supplying military equipment, still garner a majority of support when factoring in those who opted for “somewhat agree,” but the latest polling show a trend diminishing support for a conflict that after eighteen months seems no nearer a solution.

Ukraine was dealt a heavy blow earlier this month when Poland, one of Kyiv’s staunchest allies in the conflict against Russia, announced it would no longer be supplying weapons to its neighbor and would instead be focusing on stockpiling its own national defenses.

And the war fatigue effect is not confined to Europe. Over the weekend the US Congress, in a last minute bi partisan deal, passed its short-term funding package which narrowly avoided a government shutdown only by removing from the appropriations money allocated for financial and military assistance for Ukraine. 

President Biden has warned that time is running out on available aid. He told Congress to "stop playing games" and agree to provide whatever funds and advanced weaponry the madman Zelenskyyyyy demands. Hardline Republicans however dug in their heels and refused to cooperate with the cognitively impaired president or whoever is pulling his strings (no prizes for guessing that person's name begins with O and ends with bama.)

"We cannot under any circumstances allow America’s support for Ukraine to be interrupted" the Biden said, and added, "We have time, not much time, and there’s an overwhelming sense of urgency." Biden vowed he will "not walk away" from supporting Kiev. It is not just the Republicans in congress that are distancing themselves from The White House's proxy war with Russia. Late on Saturday CNN reported a top a top US defense official warning the politicians as follows: 

"The Department of Defense "has exhausted nearly all available security assistance funding for Ukraine," offering stark warnings about the battlefield effects of failing to pass new assistance.

 

A sense of boredom with the war is also starting to set in among the electorate as the election draws near. A recent SSRS poll for CNN revealed a majority of Americans now believe that Washington D.C. should withdraw financial support to Kyiv and scale down shipments or armaments to the Ukrainian military who tend to treat multi million pound missiles as if they are fireworks at a carnival.

A total of 55 percent of respondents said that the U.S. Congress should not authorize further funding for Ukraine and 51 percent of those polled said that NATO’s largest contributor had already done enough to help the country.

 

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Five Lingering Questions About The Bizarre Paul Pelosi Attack from QTR's Fringe Finance

 

Five Lingering Questions About The Bizarre Paul Pelosi Attack

There's a good chance the attack happened exactly as the media and left-wing politicians are reporting it. But I've also identified five questions everyone should be anxiously awaiting the answers to.

Quoth the Raven

1 hr ago

Everybody was stunned on Friday morning when news broke that the 82 year old husband of Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi had been assaulted inside of his home early in the morning with a hammer.

The shock and awe grew after it seemed to become clear that the assailant was looking for the Speaker of the House herself - the third in line to the Presidency.

An assailant broke into the home and asked "Where's Nancy? Where's Nancy?”, according to NBC in the Bay Area.

San Francisco police Chief Bill Scott called it an “intentional” attack:

"This was not a random attack. This was intentional. And it's wrong. Our elected officials are here to do the business of their cities, their counties, and their states, and this nation. Their families don't sign up for this -- to be harmed. And it's wrong."

As such, DePape is now facing charges of attempted murder and other felonies.

I wholly condemn the attack, as I do all violence (especially political violence).

“This is an outrage and our hearts are with the entire Pelosi family. ⁦We pray Paul will make a full recovery,” former VP Mike Pence Tweeted this weekend.

And though I am hardly a fan of Ted Cruz, I think he said it best when he wrote on Twitter this weekend:

“We can have our political differences, but violence is always wrong & unacceptable.”

---

It is not in any way in dispute that Pelosi was attacked violently and wound up in the hospital as a result of his injuries.

It is also not in dispute that 911 was called and dispatcher Heather Grimes had the intuition to order a wellness check at the household based on what she heard. Her intuition may very well have saved Pelosi’s life, and she should be commended for it.

Politicians on the left wasted absolutely no time attributing the Pelosi attack to “The Republican Party” and “far right white nationalists”.

And, as Glenn Greenwald writes on Sunday morning, it’s “very possible that the instantly formed media narrative…will be proven true”.

For example, Hillary Clinton said on Saturday:

“The Republican Party and its mouthpieces now regularly spread hate and deranged conspiracy theories. It is shocking, but not surprising, that violence is the result. As citizens, we must hold them accountable for their words and the actions that follow.”

Rep. Ilhan Omar Tweeted out on Saturday that the attacker, DePape, was a “far right white nationalist”:

“A far right white nationalist tried to assassinate the Speaker of the House and almost killed her husband a year after violent insurrectionists tried to find her and kill her in the Capitol, and the Republican Party’s response is to either ignore it or belittle it.”

President Joe Biden, with seemingly little to no evidence, attributed the attack to 2020 election deniers

“You can’t just say, feel badly about the violence, we condemn it. Condemn what produces the violence.

This talk produces the violence. The generic point I want to make is it’s one thing to condemn the violence but you can’t condemn the violence unless you condemn those people who continue to argue the election was not real, that it’s being stolen.”

While these politicians may ultimately prove to be right, it’s worth noting that there are some basic journalistic gaps in the story that need to be answered.

---

The first question we are left to wonder is the obvious: what was DePape’s true motivation?

Both sides in the media have painted the assailant in different lights. For example, Politico wrote that “he subscribed to the discredited narrative that the 2020 presidential election was illegitimate and espoused a range of bigoted and radical beliefs. He expressed anti-Semitic views and appeared to embrace the QAnon movement, which posits a secret cabal of pedophiles has been protected by people in power.”

But then there was this NY Post opinion piece (and Substack post) by Michael Shellenberger, which noted that “DePape lived with a notorious local nudist in a Berkeley home, complete with a Black Lives Matter sign in the window and an LGBT rainbow flag, emblazoned with a marijuana symbol, hanging from a tree”.

DePape’s former residence

DePape’s neighbors said of him:

“What I know about the family is that they’re very radical activists. They seem very left. They are all about the Black Lives Matter movement. Gay pride. But they’re very detached from reality. They have called the cops on several of the neighbors, including us, claiming that we are plotting against them. It’s really weird to see that they are willing to be so aggressive toward somebody else who is also a lefty.”

Finally, on Sunday it was reported that DePape’s ex and purported former life partner Oxane Taub, told Fox News that he used to be left-leaning:

"When I met him, he was only 20 years old , and he didn't have any experience in politics, and he was very much in alignment with my views, and I've always been very progressive. I absolutely admire Nancy Pelosi."

Possible explanation: It is possible that these leaders on the left are correct. There is also the possibility that DePape’s mental faculties were lacking - or that something entirely different was taking place. We should know when DePape enters his defense what his side of the story is.

---

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---

The second question is: who is the unidentified person that let law enforcement into the home the morning of the break-in?

Politico reported early this weekend that there was apparently a third person in the home at the time of the incident:

David DePape forced his way into the home through a back entrance, Scott said. Officers arrived at the house, knocked on the front door and were let inside by an unknown person. They discovered DePape and Pelosi struggling for a hammer, and after they instructed them to drop the weapon, Scott said, DePape took the hammer and “violently attacked” Pelosi.

Possible explanation: Was it a housekeeper? Live-in staff? Body cam footage should make this clear.

---

A third question relates to whether or not it is normal for glass to be on the outside of the home due to a forced entry into the home.

It was reported that the suspect, not law enforcement, entered through the sliding glass door. ABC News wrote:

“The break in at Nancy Pelosi’s house is suspected to be targeted, law enforcement sources tell ABC News. The suspect allegedly entered the house through a sliding glass door, carrying a hammer, and was apparently looking for the House Speaker herself.”

Broken window at the Pelosi residence (NBC Bay Area)

Putting aside that these appear to be french doors, and not sliding glass doors, one must then ask if this is the point of entry in question.

The opinion of D. W. Wilber, who has “over thirty years of experience in Security and Counterterrorism as a former Intelligence Officer serving with the Central Intelligence Agency and the Department of Defense in Eastern and Western Europe, the Middle East, and law enforcement,” was that the glass on the outside of the door was an anomaly.

D. W. Wilber @DWWilber1

As a cop for 11 yrs in St. Louis I never once worked a burglary where the broken glass and debris at the entry point was OUTSIDE the residence.

2:11 PM ∙ Oct 29, 2022

---

54,675Likes14,030Retweets

Possible explanation: Perhaps these weren’t the doors in question during the attack, or perhaps the door was broken from the inside out during the struggle and was not the point of entry.

---

Which brings us to the fourth unanswered question, which was whether or not there was security in, or around, the house the night of the incident.

Lawyer Harmeet K. Dhillion wrote on Twitter this weekend that there were “multiple law enforcement officers” on the perimeter of Pelosi’s home when they tried to serve a lawsuit there.

“My firm served a lawsuit against Paul Pelosi one time in SF after attempting to serve at other residences—Napa, Georgetown. They weren’t home, but staff were, & multiple law enforcement officers were on the perimeter. Break-in is odd given this level of security."

Harmeet K. Dhillon @pnjaban

My firm served a lawsuit against Paul Pelosi one time in SF after attempting to serve at other residences—Napa, Georgetown. They weren’t home, but staff were, & multiple law enforcement officers were on the perimeter. Break-in is odd given this level of security.

4:24 PM ∙ Oct 28, 2022

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50,475Likes12,045Retweets

Possible explanation: Is it possible there was no security because Nancy Pelosi wasn’t on the premises?

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And as Glenn Greenwald pointed out this weekend, there’s also the fifth question of how Paul Pelosi was able to take a bathroom break in the midst of an attack.

Greenwald is right when he says it “requires more scrutiny” after Politico reported that Pelosi told the intruder “he had to go use the bathroom” in the midst of the break-in. From there, Pelosi was apparently able to dial 911 from a phone that he had left charging…in the bathroom.

Glenn Greenwald @ggreenwald

As one example: I don't think it's particularly common for violent assassins to take a break in their attempted murder to allow their targets to have a bathroom break. Maybe this particular assassin was more polite than most, but it requires more scrutiny politico.com/news/2022/10/2…

6:03 PM ∙ Oct 29, 2022

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1,691Likes345Retweets

Possible explanation: Your guess is as good as mine.

---

The very same Politico article that pointed out the bathroom break also noted that the 911 dispatcher thought there was “something more to [the 911 call]”.

You can listen to the call here and decide for yourself. Was Pelosi speaking in code to try and get a message to the operator - and not DePape - that he was in distress?

Or, when the operator said there was “something more” to the call, was she referring to something else?

There’s a good chance the media and politicians are right and this attack was an abhorrent, politically motivated violent act and, again, I strongly condemn violence of all types, especially political violence.

But there are also several gaping holes in the story that I think good ole’ fashioned journalism - and probably some police body camera footage - will shed some much needed light on.

I’ll leave you with a quote from Elon Musk, who noted on Sunday morning in response to Hillary Clinton that there’s “a tiny possibility there might be more to this story than meets the eye”.

We’ll just have to wait and see.

Thank you for reading QTR’s Fringe Finance. This post is public so feel free to share it.

 

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