President Zelensky’s warmongering speech to the UK Parliament yesterday unequivocally and unashamedly made the case for starting World War 3 in order to polish the oversized ego of this little clown with the piano playing penis when he demanded that Nato-grade fighter jets to be sent to Ukraine.
In what is starting to feel like a repeat of the recent tank saga, what seemed impossible is taking on an unassailable momentum. As then, Britain is leading the West towards the inevitable self - immolation of nuclear conflict with Russia.
Should we commit to sending jets it will take Ukraine months to receive
them, but will immediately be seen as an intolerable provocation by Russia, which alread has its military forces or a war footing. OK say the war hawks in Washington, London, Paris, Berlin and Brussels will say this is going to be a long war, and saying we will send them
will be a huge blow to Russian morale. They have saidame about every incremental increase in volume and sophictication of military hardware donated to the neo - Nazi nutters in Kiev and yet the Russian war machine grinds on.
Last month it was battle grade heavy tanks that Zelensky demanded and was promised, though it will me months before any are delivered and more months before the Ukies are trained to use them. Tanks, say the military bureaucrats are the first half of the winning equation, and fighter jets the second half.
F16 Fighter (source: the defensepost.com)
Though they may be few in number, the British Typhoon fighters would inevitably unlock a much larger number of European Typhoons or F-16s, as the British tank did with European tanks. It’s true that as things stand we have very few fighters to spare. The general idea however is that with air support for their donated tanks the Ukies will be able to rout Russian ground forces. Nice theory but it overlooks the fact that Russia has modern, highly advanced aircraft technology in the MIG35s and Sukhoi Su57s both of which designs are less than five years old, more than capable of taking on the 30 year old Typhoon Eurofighters and 45 year old F16s.
Aside from the fact that military aircraft technology development in the west has lagged behind that of Russia and China, the idea that sending these ageing aircraft to Ukraine will guarantee a quick and total victory over Russia is quite literally pie in the sky. Even
experienced pilots cannot just ‘type convert’ onto modern generation
jets like Typhoon. Without questioning Ukrainian pilots’ capabilities (although it would not be unfair to do so,) there does not exist the capability to train people from such a flying
background onto a completely different combat platform. It doesn’t
really help that they have fighter experience. They are going to have to
‘unlearn’ so much that will be counter-intuitive to the operation of
these jets. Nobody has ever tried a rapid type conversion programme such
as this, there is no syllabus, no standards written, no instructor
training system. Forget that the RAF has not even the capacity to train
its own fast jet pilots right now. Don’t even start on maintenancen training for engineers, logistics support, third line maintenance, battle damage
repair, armourer training…. It’s not even worth considering unless the
US leads. They are the only people with the resources and infrastructure
to even know where to start so talk of the UK leading is bollocks. Forget Sunak's virtue signalling and the follow-my-leader games of other European leaders, nobody has thought this through properly.
importantly, the donations would signal the most significant
demonstration to Putin that as far as NATO is concerned this is no local war but a concerted attempt by the USA and its allies to destroy Russia. The
Russians still believe if they can stick the war out as long enough,
they will crack the western will to keep supporting Ukraine. Recent reports warn that
the Russians are apparently preparing 500,000 conscripts to throw into the melee for a spring assault intended to break the will
of the Ukrainians. If that fails and The Kremlin knows that Western
jets are on the way, that could be enough to push Russia into lanuching unrestrained aerial warfare, sending in wave after wave of heavy bombers to destroy the entire country.One thing is certain, Russia will not give in, knowing any withdrawal now would result in the fast tracking of Ukraine into NATO
One of the underlying principles of the United Nations is that no distant military power is allowed to place its military on your border, unless of course you are America or NATO.By allowing Ukraine to join NATO, Russia would ensure that the whole of its long border with Ukraine would be garrisoned by American, British and European troops backed by long range missiles, all type of military aircraft and a whole range of high tech military gadgetry.
The former head of the CIA claims America has exercised a proxy war against Russia for years, that NATO has been training and arming the Ukraine military for a decade. Evidence indicates America has insisted on allowing Ukraine entry to NATO , effectively leading to an anti Russian state armed to the teeth with advanced western weapons along the Russian border. The existential threat this posed to Russia was repeatedly ignored by Washington resulting in the invasion taking place.
We now face a conflict in which neither Russia nor America can afford to lose, defeating Russia on the battlefield risks forcing Russia to consider deploying nuclear weapons, any Russian victory would be seen as a defeat for the Biden administration. As for Ukraine, the ultra natiobalist neo - Nazis are in control demanding total victory and the destruction of the Russian state.
Instead of diffusing the conflict America and its allies are hell bent on escalation, happy to wallow in the platitudes voiced by Zelensky while serving his every demand.
I hope for all our sakes the red button is never pressed , should it happen what then ?