During the last 80 years European leaders never had to think strategically about their own nations' security. The U.S. and USSR did that for them. However, their shock at the implosion in the Oval Office last week is more an indictment of their ineptitude than any perfidy by Trump. President Volodymyr Zelensky’s history lessons to Trump and Vice President J.D. Vance as he tried to convince his hosts there could only be peace with Russia on HIS terms reeked of condescension to his moneybag-in-chief. Thus it is not remarkable tht Trump brought the noisy puppy to heel by threatening to cut off military and financial aid. And suddenly Zelensky was prpared to sign Trump's minerals for weapons deal.
As Thucydides noted long ago, notions of right and justice only govern relations among equals. For others, “the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must”.
The sight of Zelensky in his battle dress attire even in the most formal settings has also been a regular turn-off. He should always have restricted this performative gesture to when he is in his own country.
The kerfuffle in The Oval Office left European leaders doing the headless chicken dance while panicking about how to stop Putin and punish him for the Ukraine invasion. But for America, Ukraine is as Trump said, ‘separated from America by a big beautiful ocean’. Most Americans probably didn’t even know where Ukraine was until Russia invaded. And the fate of faraway, insignificant Ukraine is not of any strategic importance to the US. Instead, America’s key strategic challenge is curbing the rise of a militaristic, increasingly aggressive China. America may be playing the 21st century’s version of ‘the Great Game’.
The Great Game was a rivalry between the 19th-century British and Russian empires over influence in Central Asia, primarily in Afghanistan, Persia and Tibet. But the expression has also been applied to the posturing of the major powers for control of countries and resources in the 20th century.
In the 21st century, ‘the Great Game’ will be played mainly between the US and an increasingly hungry and belligerent China. The Chinese are not just a threat to American power, they are also colonising many other countries such as Australia and New Zealand and large parts of Africa. Moreover, China is a threat to Russia’s resource-rich, underpopulated Far East. What the Trump administration may have realised is that China not Russia is the real enemy and that, as Russians may have more in common with the USA and Europe than with the Chinese, that now is the time to loosen Russia’s ties with (subordination to?) China and recruit Russia into the anti-Chinese camp. Vladimir Putin certainly knows this.
One way to neutralise China's progress is to encourage Russia to reconnect with the West. If that means reopening trade links with Russia and largely abandoning Ukraine, then so be it. That’s realpolitik.
The sensitive pearl-clutchers will shout and scream that Putin is a
kleptocrat, tyrant and murderous dictator who should not be rewarded for
his aggression. But during WWll, the West made an alliance with Stalin
who had killed 20million to 30million innocents including around
4million Ukrainians in the Holodomor.
The catastrophists just can't help but resort to wailing and gnashing of teeth over the latest imagined eistential threat. COVID, Climate Change, a far right resurgence They walk amongst us crying Doomed, we;re all doomed, oblivious to the way their behaviour is controlled and manipulated by the drip, drip of propaganda spread by governments and MSM, the effects of which are insidious and effective over extended periods of time.
Thankfully, Trump seems to be dialling down the belligerence against China and Russia. Is he a head-in-the-clouds idealogue or a hard-nosed, pragmatic businessman leading his country in a way guided by experience and common sense?
He may seem to some a thin-skinned, overly vain, sensitive, vindictive man who shouldn't be in charge of a hot dog stall. Personally, I think that having survived a campaign of lawfare, media smear and three assassination attempts over more than 8 years, he would be entirely justified in that behaviour. I do, however, believe none of that to be true.
In 2023 President Xi of China declared that the world will change more in the following 5 years than it has in the last 100 years.
Trump, Putin, Xi and to a slightly lesser extent, Modi, seem determined to carve the world up into sphere's of influence. Sounds scary, but as almost everything else has been tried this might at least offer the respective regions to meaningfully organise trade and defence in a logical, practical manner with social, ethnic and cultural boundaries respected by all parties.
Where does Western Europe and the UK sit in all this? Well - it doesn't. The EU had its chance but chose authoritarian globalism to free trade and universal prosperity. Within ten years it is likely there will be no EU, eastern nation may fall under Russia's sphere of influence and, vitally, protection.
*
It would be wise for the UK to declare absolute neutrality and to refrain, like Austria, from joining any alliance. Its army, based on a short conscription of every men, should be stationed and act only within its own borders.
That done it would be time to launch a new Concert of Europe (incl. Russia): AKA The Westphalian system:
... a general agreement among the great powers of 19th-century Europe to maintain the European balance of power, political boundaries, and spheres of influence. Never a perfect unity and subject to disputes and jockeying for position and influence, the Concert was an extended period of relative peace and stability in Europe following the Wars of the French Revolution and the Napoleonic Wars which had consumed the continent since the 1790s.
The last concert did not keep the continent at total peace but it prevented crises from escalating beyond narrowly defined borders. In that respect it lasted from 1820 up to the start of the first World War.
To conduct such a concert would probably require another Prince Metternich or Otto von Bismark. There is however no such person in sight.Macron and Starmer both fancy themselves as world leaders but due to unanswered questions about their personal lives it's likely they would be diverted from their duties by the favt that they fancy each other.
The EU bureaucracy in Brussels has neither legitimacy nor competence in inner-European or international security issues.
Don't count on it when NATO is out.
That doesn't mean the entire continent will be ruled from Moscow, the years between he break up of the Soviet Union and the 2014 Maiden coup in Ukraine showed Russia would rather be in the European tent pissing out, that the eternal bogey man. It means that independent nation states, with Russian, UK and French protection (if UK and France can put together coherent defence policies instead of focusing on virtue signalling,) will be free to manage their own countries and with a combined population of around 700M the continent has the co-operative financial heft to grow manufacturing, technology and defence industries to compete with the America's (North and South) China, Africa, India and the Middle East.
Let's face it, could things be much worse than the last 4 years of Biden and European globalists taking us to the brink of nuclear Armageddon. Personally, I rather like the idea of Europe and Russia becoming relaible allies being that we are all Ino - Caucasian nations with a culture not too far removed from each othere. Perhaps we could learn from Russia how to protect our own borders.
ARCHIVE POSTS:
Putin, Macron To Hold Urgent Talks To Halt Military Escalation In Ukraine
Even though the leaders of Ukraine itself are talking down the threat of war with Russia over the breakaway region of Donbas, America and Britain are still beating the war drums and demonising Russian leader Vladimir Putin. Russia insists they have no plans to invade Ukraine and one western leader at least, France's Emmanuel Macron, seems to be listening to messages coming out of the East European trouble spot...
Dont Dictate To Us On Human Rights, Justice Secretary Raab Tells EU
Justice Secretary Dominic Raab told the Conservative Party Conference last month Boris Johnson had given him the task of rewriting the The Human Righrs Act when he moved him from the Foreign Office in September’s reshuffle. This week Raab revealed details on how he plans to block interference from Strasbourg in British matters as part of his remit.
Europe's Depleted Gas Storage Might Not Get Refilled Ahead Of Next Winter
While mainstream news reporting of the conflict in Ukraine continues to pump out a torrent of anri - Russia, pro - war propaganda the catastropic effects of this war that could so easily have been avoided are not mentioned. Well why would warmongering governments admit they have inflicted an energy crisis, food shortages and soaring living costs on their people for no good reason ...
While Crazy Joe Biden Claims Victory Over Russia, NATO's Expansin Plans Have Been Derailed By PutinJoe Biden (or his handlers because we all know Joe's mind is gone,) have been trying to spin reports of Russian troops withdrawing from positions close to the Ukraine border as a diplomatic victory for the USA over Putin but in the geopolitical game things are seldom what they seem to be ...
Insulate Britain protesters jailed for defying an high court injunctionAnti-civilisation activists chant 'we are unstoppable, another world is possible', as police officers lead them from the court to the cells.
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SStarmer Outs Himself As More Fascist Than Boris Bonkers or Dementia Joe Biden
The leader of the UK’s official opposition party, Labour, Sir Kier SStarmer after a year of starring in a remake of The Invisible Man has finally decided to let us see who he is. Responding to remarks made by Home Secretary Priti Patel, SStarmer said education authorities should be allowed to use exclusion orders to stop anti-vaccine activists from protesting outside schools ... Continue reading >>>
Goodbye Freedom, Hello Global Governance.
If at any time during the chaos the past eighteen months you have wondered what kind of idiots are running the world and have gleefully trashed economies, disrupted social and commercial life and stripped citizens of their rights and liberties only to bring us, in late October 2021, right back to where we were in late February 2020 when the words pandemic and COVID crept into our consciousness ...
We need a referendum on net zero to save Britain from the green blob
Who Runs America, The White House Or The Shadow Government?
Reports of President Barack Obama’s meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin at the G20 summit over the weekend do not look right in the context of yet another blitz of provocative rhetoric from The Pentagon and the Department of Defence towards Moscow. In view of the USA's constant push towards all out war with Russia, one has to ask who is in control: Obama or the generals?
EU "Sounds Alarm" Over New US Sanctions On Russia; Germany Threatens Retaliation
Late on Friday (21/07/17), Congressional negotiators agreed to advance a cross - party bill that would punish Russia for its (alleged) interference in the 2016 election according to the Wall Street Journal. And while it seems improbable that President Trump would sign the bill if it reaches his desk, the loudest complaint about the bill to date has emerged not from the Oval Office, but from US allies in NATO and the European Union ...
Trump catches attention of CFR, Bilderberg, Trilateral
Donald Trump is portrayed as a clown by mainstream media and his combover is the silliest I have ever seen. Still, he's a billionaie so I don't suppose he gives a flying fuck what The Daily Stirrer thinks of him. Not that we think he is all bad, anyone who attacks Obama's global naziism trade deals, TTIP and TPP mush have some good points.
U.S. versus Russia War: Top Russian Politics Scolar Stephen Cohen Tells The Truth
We have been blogging for four years about the US drive for war, provocation of Russia in Syria, Iraq, Ukraine and elsewhere made it obvious. But I'm just a news junkie with a strong sense of curiosity and have wondered why the US seems set on this course. Good to see experts like Stephen Cohen, a prominent expert on, Russia are coming onside.
Has Putin Has Pushed Europe Into Economic Depression, Hyperrinflation and Currency Collapse?
Though it was entirely predictable and indeed had been expected for some time, the news over the weekend that the Nord Stream 1 pipeline which feeds gas from Russia to northern Europe via The Baltic route had been shut down completely by The Kremlin in retaliation for the continued financial and military support given by NATO and EU member states to Ukraine in the conflict with Russia. The European Commission, governing body of the EU, immediately put the community on something close to a war footing, ...
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Is Russia Selling Its Oil To The World Through An Obscure Egyptian Port?
As this blog predicted when NATO and EU member states shot themselves in the foot by reacting to Russia's invasion of Ukraine with sanctions that prevented Russia from selling oil, gas and vital raw materials to the countries that needed them most, the NATO and EU member states, the Russians have had no problems finding alternative customers for their gas and oil and no problem getting oil into the world's commodity markets through the back door.
As the war in Ukraine grinds on and Russia steps up its economic war against the west and in particular The European Union, claims made recently by the idiotically 'woke' leaders of Europe's main economic and military powers that the West has a once-in-a–generation chance to severely weaken Russia’s capabilities, both militarily and geopolitically, look increasingly hollow. Putin's critics have cited 'Western unity' as one of the main reasons why Russia will be economically destroyed and politically humiliated when the Ukraine's military finally claim victory.
European Union Is Again Close To A Meltdown As Eurozone Economy Collapses
Once more we return to the political instability and economic fragility of the European Union as the conflict in Ukraine combined with loonytoons Climate Change mitigation policies, the failure of 'sustainables' to meet ever increasing demand for electricity, fod shortages and rampant price inflation put economic and social pressure on governments of member states ...
Russian Long Range Missile Test Fuels Nuclear War Fears As NATO Pushed Ukraine To Escalate Conflict
Russia tested its latest intercontinental ballistic missile yeserday, the Satan II has a range of 10,000 miles and can devastate an area of 250,000 square kilometers according to military experts. Bizarrely commentators in mainsteam and online news services portrayed this as a sign of weakness by Russia, though the same people cheered when Joe (Dementiaman) Biden threratened a nuclear response if Russia crossed his 'red lines' in Ukraine ...
We The Good Guys Versus They The Bad Guys Reporting Does Not Make Sense For The Ukraine Crisis
Mainstream media reporting of the conflict in Ukraine has disappointed. Perhaps I was naive to suppose that lessons might have been learned from the hits their print sales and online traffic rates took as a result of their handling the COVID pandemic But instead of focusing on the most obviously newsworthy aspect of the build up to and escalation of the war, Russia’s view of NATO expansion into Ukraine and even further to Georgia and Kazakhstan, news reports have simply demonised Russia and portrayed Ukraine as the good guys.
Boris and Biden Can't Blame Ukraine War For Energy Crisis
With typical arrogance and condescension towards the people who elected them Boris Johnson, Joe Biden and their respectiive presstitutes are trying to spin the energy crisis Europe and North America are currently facing as somehow being linked to the conflict in Ukraine and therfore blame is being attactched to Russia and Vladimir Putin. Do they really think we are stupid enough to believe such unmitigated bollocks? ...
Even If The War In Ukraine Ends, Sanctions Will Stay - So How Bad Will The Food Crisis Get?
Western leaders, desperate to show their own countries they were taking a firm stance on Russia's invasion of Ukraine, were quick to impose economic sanctions ... so quick in fact that they acted before they had though things through. While freezing Russia out of the global finance system they have exacerbated the wests energy crisis, while Russia's retaliatory ban on raw materials (fertiliser) exports will create extra problems on top of those we already had ...
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