Wednesday, February 10, 2016

New Hampshire Primary:Sanders and Trump Victory For Vox Populi

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There was an almost audible sigh of relief from the political establishment when Senator Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and posh lady Hillary Clinton (D-Blomingdales) won the US Republican and Democratic Party nomination contests in Iowa, the first contest of the 2016 Presidential Election pageant. The mavericks Donald Trump (Republican, sort of) and Bernie Sanders (Democrat, sort of) who had led in opinion polls were beaten (in very dubious circumstances in the case of Sanders defeat by Hillary Clinton, who won the nomination because her campaign manager won 6 precincts on a coin toss by calling, correctly, HEADS each time. What are the odds against that?)

The British media, for the main part Obama fans since 2007 and therefore eager to acclaim his chosen successor, almost collectively orgasmed: "OMG Trump lost!" one headline read while others proclaimed that Sanders (only beaten on the six tossed of a double headed coin you must remember) was finished, his campaign was over and that in November President Hillary would be crowned according to plan.

A week later in New Hampshire where both parties have a proper 'primary' election as opposed to a caucus a system that apparently chooses candidates by tossing coins, drawing lots, cutting cards or maybe in extreme cases, making the candidates have a fight, it was a different. UK media today focused on the idea that Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Donald Trump have “shaken up” the Presidential race.

That ought to be good headline, but it is too late. Sanders and Trump and the American public shook up the Presidential race when they announced their candidacies months ago, and the public, bored with machine politics and boring banality spouting half wits like Barack Obama and sickened by the self interest of Washington politicians, as Robert Burns might have put it, 'bought and paid for with corporate gold'*.

This morning as Sanders' and Trumps' supporters celebrate their victories, nobody in the political establishment or the mainstream media can understand how this has happened.

The case is no one in the establishment media could predict this departure from the script because increasingly over the past forty or maybe fifty years Washington insiders and political journalists have lived in a bubble, isolating themselves more and more from what the ordinary punters think.

“Surely America will come to its senses?” has been the refrain throughout the run up to this Presidential election campaign. They cannot see that American voters have come to their senses, they have rejected the politically correct consensus that has made the two parties indistinguishable, they have rejected the back room deal making and the short term self interest of machine politics. They have voted for the outsiders.

Mainstream commentators cannot fathom why the “anointed ones,” candidates Jeb Bush (son and bother of former Presidents) and Hillary Clinton (wife of a former President), aren’t being propelled to victory by their politically correct, controversy avoiding banality and cynical attempt to appeal to minorities, disregarding the interests of those groups whose votes they take for granted.

Today, television and print news across the USA and around the world country have been forced to wake up to the idea that the tsunami of anti-establishment feeling surging through Europe as evidence by the rise of national interest parties such as France's Front National, UKIP in Britain, AFD in Germany and the Sweden Democrats, all opposed to mass immigration and the further transfer of national sovereignty to unelected Bureaucrats, has reached the USA. There people have seen President Obama support terorists sworn to harm US interests, show contempt for the constitution, divide the nation racially and try to surrender sovereignty to the United Nations. Here's how the UK media see it:

The BBC leads with: “Both candidates are riding on a wave of discontent with mainstream politics”.

The Independent says: “Outsiders Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders were handsomely rewarded by the voters of New Hampshire on Tuesday night – with predictions handing them huge wins over their establishment rivals”.

The Guardian reports: “Donald Trump, once an object of mockery and scorn by many in the political establishment, has won the New Hampshire Republican primary.”

The Daily Mail notes: “About half [of Republican voters] also said they want the next U.S. president to be someone who comes from outside America’s political ‘establishment.'”

From the Telegraph: “Maverick candidates Trump and Sanders rock US political establishment”.

The Huffington Post UK states: “Both winners peddle a strong ideological message at odds with the country’s political mainstream”.

Westminster’s most establishment magazine, the Spectator said in its online edition: “Populism won tonight in New Hampshire. Rage against the elite won tonight in New Hampshire”.

But the Murdoch press wasn’t quite as conciliatory, after Mr. Trump declared war against his Fox News Channel by refusing to attend the debate in Iowa.

The Times front page proclaimed: “Donald Trump won the New Hampshire primary last night – the surest sign yet that voters are ready to put a billionaire former reality TV star with no political experience into the world’s most powerful executive position.”

*Such A Parcel Of Rogues In A Nation by Robert Burns

Now The Circus Rolls On To South Carolina

South Carolina is a very different proposition to New Hampshire,  a poor state with a large black population it tends to vote along racial lines, white voters for Republicans, black voters solidly Democrat.  US mainstream commentators claim the state's  economic environment has improved dramatically from 2012, when the state's unemployment rate was approaching 10 percent at the time of the primary. The official rate was down to 5.5 percent in December, largely because of Obama's waitresses and bartenders recovery, and while statistical jiggery pokery masks the blight of of underemployment (part time working) wage levels are static and poverty is a problem even for many of those in work. (American readers may think I'm tearing your country apart, not so, on my UK blog I am far more scathing about British politicians failure to deal with long running problems)

South Carolina has a reputation for picking winners. so the Republican race is one to watch. For the Democrats, Hillary looks to have a comfortable lead in polls at the moment and is popular with black voters  and even though bernie Sanders is gaining ground he has a lot to make up, so the biggest chance of a surprise is whether hilly will still be in the race or in jail because of the 'Servergate' scandal by then.

The Republican race is the one to watch however. When the candidates debate in Greenville on 13 February, if Donald Trump performs well he should consolidate his lead in the opinion polls, Marco Rubio looks to have blown his chance through stage fright and failure to engage with voters. Can Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz or one of the others stage a comeback?

Sanders vs Trump for the Presidential Election still looks a good bet though. 


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There Is No Freedom Without Transparency

These words, spoken in 1961, were prophetic:
“This conjunction of an immense military establishment and a large arms industry is new in the American experience. The total influence — economic, political, even spiritual — is felt in every city, every statehouse, every office of the federal government. We recognize the imperative need for this development. Yet we must not fail to comprehend its grave implications. [ ... ] In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military–industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists, and will persist. ” - President Dwight D. Eisenhower ('Ike') in his farewell address to the nation.)
President Eisenhower was the World War 2 allied commander who led the Normandy Invasion and a popular two-term President of the United States from 1953 to 1960. In the current political atmosphere he would be dismissed as a “conspiracy theorist.”

Dwight D Eisenhower (Warned against usurpation of power by Corporatocracy - Image Source


Were Ike running for the Republican nomination in 2016, Republicans like Senators Lindsey Graham and Marco Rubio would be screaming at Ike for criticizing “the patriotic industry that protects our freedom,” while supporters of Barack Obama would be yelling about the need for military intervention to overthrow human rights abuing dictators like Basar Al Assad, and the already disposed of (at great human and material cost to their nations) Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi.

Worse, the Democrat / Republican political puppets in the USA would be supported by European leaders including Prime Minister David Cameron in the UK, France's Francois Hollande and Germany's Angela Merkel who, even as I type, are preparing massive interventions in Libya and Iraq, both turned into chaotic and lawless failed states by previous US / European interventions that deposed nasty and undemocratic dictators who at least gave most of the people (those who did not oppose them) stability and a degree of prosperity.

Today's 'Neocons' would be demanding to know why the RINO Eisenhower was speaking against US interests rather than warning against Soviet imperialism and left wing media would be hinting darkly that Ike was suffering from dementia (as they did when physicist Freeman Dyson rubbished the junk science of global warming.)

Cold Warriors kept the west on high alert against the communist threat and kept their claws in the flesh of western taxpayer from the end of WW II to the fall of the Soviet Union in 1990 and the liberalisation of China around the same time.

The military-industrial complex had learned how to play the government systems, research and development projects were awarded on a 'cost plus' basis, guaranteeing profit no matter by how much budgets were exceeded. Armaments industries and military bases were spread over nations, distribution based more on how much the incumbent political party wanted to hold the constituency than any strategic consideration.
No matter how pressing the economic and social problems facing nations, military spending always took priority. If it's any comfort the Russians were equally obsessed with defence projects, though their government was driven more by collective paranoia than corporate greed.

The Cold War created a lot of millionaires.

There no danger at any time of the Red Army invading Europe. Uncle Joe Stalin (a madman whose appetite for slaughter made Hitler look like an amateur) declared “socialism in one country” and purged the Russian Communist Party of Trotskyists who preached world revolution.

Now people are waking up to the fact that the real threat to freedom and democratic rule was posed by the shadow governments, the corporate investors, bankers and political backroom deal - makers, who meet in closeted cabals to plan a society in which governments control our finances and thus our actions.
 
This is why we must resist all attempts to extend government secrecy (negotiation of TTIP treaty in secret for example) and interventions into our lives and to curtail free speech. 



 
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