The Longer Ukraine Holds Out Against Surrender The More Territory They Will Lose

 

 Reports this week that Russian troops in Ukraine are pushing pushing Ukrainian forces back and that Moscow would bolster its military by adding two new armies and 30 new formations by the end of this year should be treated with the usual scepticism Boggart Blog always recommends applying to news from both sides in any conflict. However the fact that steadfastly pro - Ukie western news organisations havereported this without the usual pro - Kiev bias suggests there is a core of truth in it.

 

Russia, which invaded Ukraine in 2022, swiftly pulled back some of its forces in the east and south after over-extending early in the conflict but has been slowly advancing after a Ukrainian counteroffensive in 2023 failed to make significant gains.

 

Russia now controls approximately 20% of territory inside Ukraine's internationally recognised borders and President Vladimir Putin ordered troops to push further forward after Moscow took several small but strategically important towns earlier this year.

"Groups of Russian troops continue to squeeze the enemy out of their positions," Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu told senior generals, according to offficial press releases. "The United States and its satellites are extremely concerned about the success of the Russian Armed Forces." Russia, which has recruited hundreds of thousands of contract soldiers, will create two new armies and 30 formations including 14 divisions and 16 brigades, Shoigu said.

 

Putin announced late last week that “Russia plans to create a buffer security zone along the Russian border” with Belgorod, Kursk, and Bryansk Regions, thus meaning inside the corresponding Ukrainian regions of Kharkov (once again), Sumy, and Chernigov. Unlike last year’s attempt, this latest one might be more successful due to the very different context within which it’s being pursued, particularly as regards the conflict’s new diplomatic and military dynamics.

RT chief Margarita Simonyan clarified that the Russian delegation in Istanbul didn’t threaten that their country would claim an additional Ukrainian region if Ukraine doesn’t withdraw from the four disputed ones, but four more for a total of eight regions (not counting Crimea). These could conceivably be all or part of Chernigov, Sumy, Kharkov, and Dniepropetrovsk Regions given Russia’s latest buffer zone plan unless Ukraine agrees to its demanded concessions before then. The longer the Ukies, in their collective madness, continue to insist Russia must agree to their terms before there can be an end to the fighting, the greater price they will pay. Yet Zelensky and the Kiev clown show are still approaching peace talks as if they and not Moscow are in the militarily commanding position.

With the Russian plan in mind and the four regions in question, Kiev, Cherkassy, and Poltava are either entirely or partially east of the Dnieper, Russia might call for the creation of a totally demilitarized “Trans-Dnieper” region controlled by non-Western peacekeepers. or demand the total demilitarization of  Ukraine. 

Regardless of what Moscow eventually offers, Putin’s newly announced buffer zone plan shows that Russia is expanding its goals, which makes sense considering that it’s winning and that Ukraine still refuses to comply with its demanded concessions for politically resolving the conflict. The longer that Ukraine refuses to agree to peace on Russia’s terms, the more land that it stands to lose, which might ultimately be much more than anyone expects if the US soon abandons Ukraine in order to cut its losses.

There is no mention at all the news as to how the Ukraine war  effort is being funded? We are not permitted to know whether the USA, UK or the EU are still providing arms and money to Ukraine? As the war grinds on is there any indication as to whether Ukraine can continue to find the man-power, arms or money to continue this war or has Zelensky mortgaged the entire catalogue of national assets to the major banks rather than admit defeat?

Furthermore war crimes have been committed, and are being committed, en masse by Ukraine, as evidenced, for example, in the Telegram channel “War Crimes in Ukraine” and tracked by Russian authorities: there will be all sorts of trials when the conflict is over. There is no doubt that Russian forces are also committing war crimes but extremely unlikely they, as eventual victors, will hold themselves to account. However the retribution demanded by Russia for Ukraines crimes is likely to be disproportionate and who will act as arbitrator between the two sides?

International law has no meaning whatsoever to USA that happily marches into any country on any occasion at the whim of its President. It was Donald Trump that drastically increased financial support and military aid to Ukraine during his first term; at the same time, CIA set up the 20 hidden bases on the Russian border to Ukraine, training Ukrainians to kill Russians.

Nobody has damaged Ukraine more than Zelensky who was voted into office (once) on the basis of, if necessary, going on his knees to achieve peace. As soon as he came into office, somehow everything changed (very common with today’s politicians) and he did an about-face.

And should western governments go ahead and steal the $300 billion Russian investments – they are already stealing the interest – to compensate themselves for throwing away so much money on what was always a lost cause, just  watch the West’s financial collapse as the rest of the world sees how unsafe investments in this part of the world have become.

All in all, our leaders have immersed the world in a diabolical mess.

FROM THE ARCHIVE:

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