Thursday, July 21, 2016

Trump Sends Shockwave Across The Atlantic To Europe

Donald Trump's rhetoric has entertained us all on both sides of the Atlantic for several months, but his latest comments sent a shockwave  throughout America and  across the Atlantic. As the Financial Times puts it,  he "has sparked a wave of alarm across Europe"  after warning that the US might not come to the defense of an alliance ally under attack from Russia if that country had not fulfilled its obligations to America.

The Trump statement  was delivered in a  New York Times interview quoted below, in which the Republican presidential candidate was asked whether he would defend the Baltic states in the face of Russian aggression if he were president. “If they fulfil their obligations to us, the answer is yes,” Mr Trump said.
SANGER: I was just in the Baltic States. They are very concerned obviously about this new Russian activism, they are seeing submarines off their coasts, they are seeing airplanes they haven’t seen since the Cold War coming, bombers doing test runs. If Russia came over the border into Estonia or Latvia, Lithuania, places that Americans don’t think about all that often, would you come to their immediate military aid?

TRUMP: I don’t want to tell you what I’d do because I don’t want Putin to know what I’d do. I have a serious chance of becoming president and I’m not like Obama, that every time they send some troops into Iraq or anyplace else, he has a news conference to announce it.

SANGER: They are NATO members, and we are treaty-obligated ——

TRUMP: We have many NATO members that aren’t paying their bills.

SANGER: That’s true, but we are treaty-obligated under NATO, forget the bills part.

TRUMP: You can’t forget the bills. They have an obligation to make payments. Many NATO nations are not making payments, are not making what they’re supposed to make. That’s a big thing. You can’t say forget that.

SANGER: My point here is, Can the members of NATO, including the new members in the Baltics, count on the United States to come to their military aid if they were attacked by Russia? And count on us fulfilling our obligations ——

TRUMP: Have they fulfilled their obligations to us? If they fulfill their obligations to us, the answer is yes.
Trump's statement also attracted criticism from military staff and diplomats for suggesting NATO is merely a "protection racket". NATO secretary-general Jens Stoltenberg  said that while he did not wish to interfere with the US election campaign, "solidarity among allies is a key value for Nato." (he would say that, if NATO folds he's out of a job.) He added that “This is good for European security and good for US security. We defend one another. We have seen this in Afghanistan, where tens of thousands of European, Canadian and partner nation troops have stood shoulder-to-shoulder with US soldiers.”

“Two world wars have shown that peace in Europe is also important to the security of the United States,” Mr Stoltenberg added.
The Obama administration shot back just as quickly. “There should be no mistake or miscalculation made about this country’s commitment” to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, White House spokesman Josh Earnest said Thursday in response to Trump’s remarks in a New York Times interview. “The U.S. commitment to that pledge is ironclad.”

Retired U.S. Army General Wesley K. Clark, a former NATO supreme allied commander who sought the Democratic presidential nomination in 2004, criticized Trump for stopping short of fully guaranteeing the security of all alliance members.  “When Mr. Trump says he’ll only consider action, he is joining a long list of failed statesmen and leaders from decades ago, whose ‎hesitancy, wavering, and lack of resolve was their downfall” Clark said in a statement. “Mr. Trump may know something about buildings and real estate - but he has a lot to learn about how the world really works.”

We are by no meant experts in military matters but it seems to us The Donald is being very resolute in sticking to the line that nations should look after their own affairs. Mutual defence treaties are one thing, but NATO has become yet another supra - national gravy train providing jobs for the boys who trading on their experience in military bureaucracy get paid big fat salaries for dreaming up  imaginary threats to national security.

Trump's stance on what a US-NATO relationship should look like is hardly new, as Trump has previously stated that he deems it unfair that the US shoulders a disproportionate amount of NATO's funding costs and has been urging to reduce US involvement in foreign affairs.  Trump’s readiness to reject a decades-long commitment to defend allies deepens his criticism of NATO after he called it “obsolete” in April while campaigning for the nomination. The billionaire’s comments come less than two weeks after the NATO leaders agreed at their Warsaw summit to enhance deployment of forces in Poland, Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia as a deterrent following Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea from Ukraine, a move that was intended to be provocative to Russia and has enabled NATO bureaucrats to talk up the Russian threat once more.


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Essential reading for our American readers who must soon decide who they want as their next president. Important too for non Americans who cannot influence the outcome of the election but are entitled to know why their arses might be blown from here to eternity sometime in the next few years.


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EU Parliament and Commission in Standoff Over Fines, Sovereignty

The fall out from this piece of news will probably be blamed on Brexit although it is absolutely nothing to do with Britain's decision to leave the EU and relates to chains of events that began several years ago. It anything can directly be blamed it is the debilitating effect of the European Single Currency system (the Euro) on the weaker economies among European Union member states. A secondary reason is that the unreasonable level of welfare payments impose by EU policy together with the rapid increase in population dues to EU imposed mass immigration policies makes balancing budgets impossible.

In another demonstration of the European Union becoming unjoined,the European Parliament is preparing to take on the dictatorial European Commission (EC), the unelected bureaucrats who make European policy and expect the elected assembly to rubber stamp it, over EC plans to impose penalties on Spain and Portugal for their failure to bring down their budget deficits. The European Parliament move challenges Brussels' right to impose penalties on sovereign states.

The Economic and Financial Affairs Council, July 12 ruled that Portugal and Spain had not reduced their deficits below 3% of GDP, the EU standard for government deficits, by the deadline. It also said efforts made by the two countries had been inadequate.

Commission Peresident Jean-Claude Juncker, nicknamed J-C Drunkard, is set to impose penalties on both countries on July 27. It will be the first time member states have had such sanctions imposed and in the eyes of many Members Of The European Parliament sets a dangerous precedent as it will be seen by the emerging nationalist parties in many member states as an attack on national sovereignty by the bureaucrats.

The penalties include a fines and withholding of funds. Although MEPs in the European Parliament are not part of the sanctions process, the assembly can demand "structural dialogue" over some of the sanctions, effectively halting, or at least reducing, some of them. The process could also delay imposition of the penalties while nationalist and anti - EU groups such as France's Front National, Five Star and Liga Nord in Italy, Alternatif fur Deutschland, The Danish People's Party, Netherlands' Freedom Party and the Sweden Democrats organise the opposition to this profoundly undemocratic course of action.

The President of the European Parliament, Martin Schulz told Juncker and other European Commissioners that the Parliament would raise the issue of the withholding of millions of dollars of EU structural funds. This is the first time this situation has arisen and goes to the heart of power in Brussels, Lisbon and Madrid, bringing to the forefront of European politics the question of who really rules European Union member states, the democratically elected national governments or the unelected bureaucrats of Brussels.

Portugal's finance minister, Mario Centeno sent a letter July 18 to the Commission saying the fines would be unfair as the country is "on the right road to eliminate the excessive deficit" and that it would have "a highly negative impact" on the Portuguese people's support for the European project.

Spain has asked Brussels for two additional years to reduce the deficit. Its finance minister, Luis de Guindos wants the EU to allow it to reduce the deficit to 3 percent of GDP in 2018 instead of 2016.

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