Monday, October 30, 2023

The Myth Of Unlimited Cheap Green Power Is Falling Apart

Wind is by far the cheapest form of power and will us a cheap, plentiful electricity far into the future as we can see. We know this is the unquestionable truth because the green blog, the government, mainstream media and that strange, quasi - religious cult The Science tell us so. 

But all this goes against common sense because one does not need to be an engineer or scientist to observe that wind turbines cannot generate electricity when there in no (or too little wind,) and thus the initial capital investment, plus maintenance and transportation (via cables,) costs drives up the price wind farm operators must charge in order to be profitable. 

In the words of Tom Glover, chair of energy company RWE’s UK arm, last week: "No more offshore wind farms will be built unless the Government hikes the guaranteed long-term prices offered to their operators by as much as 70 per cent." 

The energy “market” is not really much of a market at all, not when it comes to green energy. The Government underwrites wind and solar through “contracts for difference” – guaranteeing operators a minimum “strike price”, rising with inflation, for every megawatt-hour of electricity they generate over 15 years. Regulations also coerce suppliers into prioritising buying wind and solar sourced energy over gas, nuclear and coal derived sources. 

The problem now is that wind farm owners and operators will no longer accept the prices offered by government. Last time the Government held an auction for the right to build offshore wind farms, in September, not a single bid was submitted. The maximum strike price the Government offered was £44 per MWh. According to RWE it won’t receive any bids until this is raised to between £65 and £75. 

When we are told almost every day by green blob activists and disciples of The Science that the cost of wind energy is to be falling year on year surely we are entitled to ask WTF is going on. In truth costs were falling then worsening economic conditions, higher commodity prices and rising interest rates, together with reductions in government subsidies for 'green' electricity derailed the plan to lull us into a false sense of security before hitting us with the true cost of green energy and the rest of the 'net zero' lunacy when all the gas, nuclear and coal generating capacity had been decommissioned and there were no alternatives left.

  It is worth noting that with renewable energy, most of the costs come upfront – which makes it particularly reliant on cheap debt.  But this is only half the story. If we are going to have a grid based on intermittent renewables, it is no use looking just at the cost of generation. We have to add on the cost of energy storage, or some other kind of back-up – or else build so many wind and solar farms that we have just enough power at the worst of times, and a super-abundance of it at other times. All are likely to be horrendously expensive. 

Storing energy in lithium batteries, for example, can cost around six times as much as generating it in the first place. Using gas as back-up – as we do now – means we have gas power stations sitting idle for some periods, pushing up the unit cost of generation when they are needed. 'Renewables' cannot be manufactured, installed and maintained without a fully operational fossil-fuel based energy system. In effect they're just an offshoot of the Oil and Coal business, and can exist only as long as we continue to produce fossil fuels. 

Furthermore the Net Zero concept is itself a deluded concept based on faulty politicised pseudo science and is neither achievable nor desirable.The carbon trading schemes are an attempt at global control ,taxation and resdistribution by the back door and as for carbon capture - it is a loony idea that would result in a reduction in the amount of oxygen in the atmosphere over time with disastrous results if we continued to use fossil fuels - which of course we are going to do. 

The question we should be asking is why have a plan for net zero at all? The climate will change and change again, it is what planet earth does. Thousands of years worth of ice core samples, millions of years worth of fossil and geological records show we have no influence on the climate no matter how arrogantly we think that we have. Keep improving our tech and efficiencies in producing energy and we shall have cleaner air to breath and cheaper power so that everyone benefits. Don’t beggar ourselves back to the stone age, only the vested interests who so cleverly set this particular hare running are reaping the rewards. 

 The seductive femme fatale of Cheap Solar and Wind energy is finally exposed for the old brass she always was. Has anyone with the last vestiges of a brain stopped to think about the most basic drawbacks of 'renewables'? 

The sun goes in at night and really only generates good power for about 60-70% of the day so we need vast , highly expensive, planet raping battery storage and solar panels put in place..

The wind only blows for about a third of the year with sufficient force to generate adequate power (as is explained in detail HERE,). Neither the cost or evironmental damaged involved in installing these huge turbines is never taken into account.

Dam fed water power is useful but rivers only really run at a decent force for about a half of the year - (water level too low.) There is some potential in run of river schemes, placing small turbines horizontally wherever there is a weir or flood control device. 

 Tidal power is also quoted , but the tide moves in and out twice a day - and only generates decent power for about 4 hours for each tide - i.e One third of the day. Tidal barrages such as have been proposed for The Severn Estuary, Cardiff Bay, Morecambe Bay and other tidal inlets could be a valuable resource but the green screamers don't sem able to understand the difference between a barrage and a dam. 

The biggest con perpetrated by our loony lefties , greens, just stop oilers etc. is that wind and solar will replace hydrocarbons as our major fuel source any time soon.

What keeps the lights on when the above " efficient , cheap " sources are not working? When the wind does not blow strongly enough (or too strongly for that matter,) when the sun does not shine (or average for 12 hours a day around the world or is at too oblique an angle to the solar panels (yes we can tilt the panels to catch a bit more sun but we can't tilt the sun to achieve the maximum output rates the green blob base their estimates on.

But what has common sense to do with these overtly favour currying political decisions

The chickens will come to roost this winter. In fact today, 30 October 2023,) at 17:00 hrs with darkness fallen and the sun contributing nothing, all those wonderful wind turbines are generating just 17% of our current electricity need. Gas as usual is doing the spadework and delivering 44% with nuclear on 12%, biomass (woodschips) 6% and good old coal providing 4%. Other sources (mostly hydro,) are chipping in 7% and if you are thinking that does not add up to 100%, the rest is being made up by importing electricity via underrsea cables fron France, Netherlands and Norway. If there is a similar scenario to December last year, when a large area of high pressure caused hard frosts and no wind for the windmills, the National Grid had to pay an extortionate emergency price to get supply to keep the lights on. Whilst demand was 37Gw or more according to the National Grid website, windmills were mostly producing less than 1Gw for days due to associated light winds. This year the back up for wind-power is reduced, and in a similar scenario blackouts are unavoidable. It is only when the lights go out, will people realise they have been conned by Boris Johnson and the Green lobby. 

 

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