Monday, November 07, 2022

The Wider War: When You've Got Them By The Bollocks Their Hearts And Minds Will Follow

Mahatma Kotee, 7 November 2022

The most important observers of the Ukraine crisis are not the mainstream media jornalists and opinion writers of mainstream media in the NATO member states but the business, political and media elites of nations not currently involved.  They are watching the US / NATO proxy wargainst Russia unfolding (to the cost of Ukrainian people who wish life would just return to some sort of normality, in order to assess whether the US/West is has declined so far that it is now time to replace the US$ as global reserve currency and complete the shift of geopolitical power from west to east. 

Such things can become self perpetuating very quickly and the botched withdrawal from Afghanistan in the early days of the Biden administration  certainly set the tone for the presidency of the demented old pervert in The White House. Joe Biden's presidency has certainly dealt the US a number of blows to its credibility as a global superpower. Given how badly the US treated its allies it is not hard to understand why support for Us efforts to escalate the local war in Ukraine into a wider conflict has been so sparse. The inability to subjugate Iran and the failure in Iraq/Venezuela/Nicaragua (now with much greater Iranian influence than before the US invasion), plus the almost total surrender of manufacturing power to China has already reduced the US stature/ability to scare with the non-West elites.

Unfortunately mainstream media has been almost silent on this, which is why though we see daily the screams of outrage about the brutality of the nasty Russian bullies have been doing to little Ukraine from the wankerati in internet comment threads, there is no outrage about the brutal treatment the nast Saudi Arabian bullies have been inflicing (with material and technical support from the USA and the rest of NATO,) on little Yemen for the past eleven years. Could it be that while our leaders understand the vast oil reserves of Saudi Arabia and its Arab allies / client states have us by the bollocks because in spite of all the green rhetoric the developed world would grind to a halt without oil.

And for this reason demented Joe Biden's handlers and Europe's sock puppet leaders, Macron of France, now disgraced UK ex - Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Germany's clown Chancellor Olaf Scholz are happy to ignore Saudi humanitarian crimes, while they still believe a war with Russia is winnable and that once the war is won and the Russian regime overthrown, western corporations will be able to divvy up Russia''s vast resources in oil and gas, raw chemicals, rare earth metals and lithium and the vast agricultural resources of the steppes.

With Ukraine the West has really backed itself into a corner with its ignorant assumptions about the strength of Russia and the readiness of the non-West elites to support Russia or refuse to sanction it. With Europe in dire straits due to the sanctions or Russia and Russia's weaponisation of the gas supplies so much of Europes economy depends on, and the Federal Reserve seemingly intent on "breaking something" to bring down inflation it seems things can only get worse. A successful Russian winter campaign will only increase the Russian prestige more and reduce that of the West. So logically the West should start to back down and negotiate.

Unfortunately, I don't think that the Western elites can stomach the geopolitical loss of being shown to have lost in Ukraine and will therefore stick to their Ukrainian strategy for much longer than is  either logical or sane. In addition, the Western elites have invested a lot to gain control of the Ukrainian black soil and its other resources, together with an impoverished and therefore compliant workforce. There are also a lot of smoking guns in Ukraine pointing to US bio-labs and extensive involvement of the Western political elites in Ukrainian corruption and neo Nazi activity. In addition, they left Afghanistan, after 20 years of failure, turned Libya rom Africa's most prosperous, socially advanced and economically stable nation into a failed state with a tripartate civil war raging since 2011 as tribal war lords, Islamic fundamentalists and Organised crime networks vie for supremancy, done much the same in Iraq, exacerbated the Balkanisation of the Balkans and failed to depose the Assad regime in Syria.

I would not be surprised to see this war in Ukraine dragging on until the winter of 2023/2024 when Europe will be faced with a much bigger disaster given a probable colder winter (El Nino after 3 years of La Nina) and lower gas storage levels (no Russian gas at all in 2023). Then there may be severe problems within the Western elites, especially if the US Federal Reserve successfully engineeres a nasty US recession making things even worse for Europe. The loss to the West will be much greater than if they had pulled a "stop loss", but this is how arrogant imperial elites tend to fail - underestimating their opponents and overestimating themselves and then unable to accept the realities that will crumble their view of themselves. How can the elite of the "indispensable nation" accept that they are just ordinary human beings who have been outplayed and now they must negotiate or find a way to back out of this war because Vladimir Putin has them by the bollocks.

 

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