The secret of freedom lies in educating people, whereas the secret of tyranny is in keeping them ignorant. - Maximilien Robespierre.

Showing posts with label recession. Show all posts
Showing posts with label recession. Show all posts

Friday, August 04, 2023

Globalists Say Britain Should Rejoin The EU, Are They Having A Laugh? German Citizens Are Not Amused

 

Germany: the 'sick man' of Europe again?

August 4, 2023

Despite the constant wailing and gnashing of teeth from globalists who insist on trying to blame Brexit for Britain's economic woes as if we alone are suffering a multi - layered economic crisis and that the only was out of it is for the UK to rejoin, the EU, taken as a single economy is in a worst state than the UK.  The German economy, on which solvency in the EU has depended for a long time, is in deep trouble with inflation soaring and growth stagnant, and as long as current policies remain in place there is no sign of improvement in the foreseeable future. The serial crises of the past decade and a half, from global financial meltdown through immigration, political uncertainty, COVID and the aftermath of lockdowns to the Ukraine war, energy crisis and sky high inflation, have exposed the weaknesses of the country's business model.

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Shortly before the turn of the century British business magazine The Economist published a series of essays and articles on the German economy, which concluded by describing the country as the sick man of Europe. Although this was at the time when the rest of the world was still being propagandised into believing in the German Industrial Powerhouse the insult served as a wake-up call for German politicians, which, having bought into their own propaganda was still living in the boom years that followed reunification reunification. Germany's Federal Government had been delaying much needed reforms, hoping like Mr. Micawber that 'something would turn up. 
 
Prodded by the Economist and other critics the government of Chancellor Schröder introduced major reforms to the labour market, directing the main thrust of its efforts towards reforming Germany's generous social welfare program. In particular, the government wanted to reduce the costs of the bloated welfare system; with an ageing population and high levels of sickness and disability, the number of beneficiaries was increasing at a rate exceeding the number of contributors, thus driving the state budget close to insolvency. High benefit levels had to be paid for and economic recovery was hampered by high taxes. In response to this Schroder attempted to relieve the burden on businesses of the country’s high taxes and labour costs, which had driven away foreign investment and encouraged German firms to close German plants and move them overseas.
 
These steps slowly trurned things around and in 2014, a group of economists from Berlin and London wrote that Germany had developed"From sick man of Europe to an economic superstar."

However in 2023 the wheel has turned full circle and German economy is again struggling. For the final quarter of 2022 and the first of 2023 economic output has declined putting the national economy in "technical recession." In the most recent quarter, Germany's gross domestic product (GDP) has stagnated at the level of the previous quarter, and all the important economic indicators show a decline.

"Germany's economic situation is darkening," was the conclusion of the president of the Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, Clemens Fuest. The Institute surveys 9,000 executives each month about the current state of their businesses and their expectations for the next six months. The resulting Business Climate Index (July 2023) has fallen for the third month in a row. The Institute researchers expect Germany's GDP to decline again during the current quarter. ... 

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Commerzbank chief economist Jörg Krämer reinforces the opinion of Clemens Fuest and the Munich Institute for Economic Research: "Unfortunately, there is no improvement in sight," Krämer told the Reuters news agency. "The worldwide interest rate increases are taking their toll, especially since German businesses are already unsettled due to the eroding quality of their location."

The country's industrial sector, the showpiece of its economy, is causing the most concern. It accounts for a relatively large portion of Germany's gross value added (GVA), about 24%, and has been suffering  global trends along with other developed nations. A worldwide economic slump in the wake of the COVID pandemic fiasco added to globalist ideologies' influence on policy making it easier for manufacturers to move operations from highly regulated areas such as the EU to nations ith more lax regulatoty and business taxation jurisdictions. Germany's once mighty engineering and automobile sectors, which were heavily reliant on exports, are feeling the effects of foreign customers holding back while cheaper imports from China and other 'emerging' economies flood the domestic market.

And on top of all this a decade of unregulated mass immigration of semi - literate, poorly educated, culturally incompatible, unemployable migrants from third world nations has bloated the welfare system again.

Compared with other industrialized nations, Germany is performing exceptionally poorly — and according to an estimate by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will be the only large country to have a shrinking economic output.

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In what may spell the end for the European Union's ambition to become a federal superstate, Germany and France plan to end the right, currently held by every member state to veto any policy proposed by the Brussels bureaucracy before the end of this year.The debate over the issue has led to increased tensions between members in recent months, but has now been put back on the agenda.

Germany Forcing Farmers To Use LESS Fertilizer To Satisfy EU’s Green Agenda
The German government, already reeling from the public backlash against rising fuel prices, the shortage of gas since supplies from Russia were cut off, and the biggest economic crisis in the EU, has now jumped on another 'woke' bandwagon. The socialist led ruling coalition has banned farmers in one of its federal states from properly fertilizing land in compliance with the latest lunacy of the EU's green agenda ...

Germany haemorrhaging cash to keep country running on as ‘net zero’ becomes zeroeconomic activity
Germany was so desperate to achieve 'net zero' CO2 emissions that for years the country's government closed its fossil fuel-fired and nuclear power plants,replacing those plants with wind and solar power — as well as impoorting huge volumes of natural gas and oil from Russia. After the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, when NATO (aka the U.S.A.) mandated that the West impose retaliatory sanctions on Russia, including a ban on importation of Russian gas and oil, Germany found itself in a hole:

Germany is Now A “Total Dictatorship” Says Dutch Journalist
A Dutch journalist has claimed that Germany is now a “total dictatorship”. This may seem like a case of the pot calling the kettle black given the Dutch government's plan to evict up to 3000 farmer from their land and return those acreages 'to nature' in a bid to lead the way among EU member states, to enforce total compliance with the latest loonytoons EU climate policy which requires EU members to reduce that dangerous pollutant nitrogen, which accounts for 78% of the air we breathe ...

German Interior Minister Caught Faking Asylum Numbers To Hide Migrant Crisis
Germany’s interior minister, Nancy Faeser, is trying to fend off claims that she has faked statistics on refugee numbers to hide number of illegal immigrants claiming entry to Germany by posing as asylum seekers since the beginning of this year. While official figures show only 57,647 refugees have been admitted to Germany, the federal police have registered 101,900 arrivals of undocumented migrants since January

Common Sense Prevails: Germany Is Dismantling Wind Turbines To Make Room For Coal Mining
We have learned vial a piece in OilPrice.com that turbines at a wind farm in western Germany are being dismantled to allow for the expansion of open cast coal mining operations at an adjacent site. The propsal to increase output at the Garzweiler open-pit lignite coal mine has been described as a “paradoxical” situation given that in recent years the German government has been pushing ahead with the closure of coal and nuclear generating plant to appease its nutty but powerful Green party ... Continue reading >>>

German NatGas Consumption Too High To Avoid Energy "Emergency", Regulator Warns As Norway Increases Gas Production
Germany tok great pride in leading the race among developed nations to achieve a net xero economy but now the folly of that policy is being exposed as gas supplies from Russia dry up and the inadequacies of wind and solar are exposed

An Energy Crisis In Tandem With A Food Crisis On Top Of An Economic Crisis And A War. This Cannot End Well
As politicians in North America and Europe try to deflect from their own failure that have contributed to the current plethora of crises by blaming Russia and Vladmir Putin for all the current problems, while the war in Ukraine is a contributory factor in each, the real blame lies closer to home.

Swedish Media Outlet Publishes Leaked U.S. Document On How to CRUSH Europe Economy via Ukraine War Effort
Swedish news organisation Nya Dagbladet has published a leaked top secret US plans to use the war in Ukraine and an induced energy crisis to destroy European economies. The report claims the RAND Corporation a defence and foreign policy think tank founded by military aircraft maker Douglas has the official aim of improving policies and decision-making, is the source of its evidence.

Rishi Sunak Reveals How Boris Sold Us Out To Big Pharma and Globalism
it seems most people in Boris Johnson's cabinet during the run up to lockdowns were kept in the dark about many things, including the fact that 'The Science' on which lockdown policy was based was not science at all. Government was effectively reduced to a “quad” of ministers and their 'scientific advisers' deciding on Britain’s future. Rishi Sunak, at that time Chancellor of the Exchequer (finance secretary) was one of them. There were rumours at the time that Sunak repeatedly warned that lockdowns would inflict economic damage that was likely to endure for decades.

The Federal Republic of New Normal GermanySo, the government of New Normal Germany is contemplating forcing everyone to wear medical-looking masks in public from October to Easter on a permanent basis. The fanatical New Normal fascists currently in charge of Germany’s government are discussing revising the “Infection Protection Act” in order to grant themselves the authority to continue to rule the country by decree, as they have been doing since the Autumn of 2020

, thus instituting a “permanent state of emergency” that overrides the German constitution, indefinitely ...

France's Week Of Riots Signal Failure Of Virtue Signalling Immigration Policies
The mass riots that rocked French society over the past week put the spotlight on the disaster of liberal mass immigration policies in the European democracies and the total failure by Western societies to assimilate the new arrivals welcomed through years of mass immigration, into the culture, traditions and laws of the host nation, Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó has claimed.

French Police Say "We're At War With Vermin" As Nationwide Riots Spread Like Wildfire
Social unrest continued to spread in the cities and large towns of France cities for a fourth consecutive night last night, with hundreds of buildings and vehicles set ablaze. President Emmanuel Macron's government struggled to contain the violence, which was sparked on Tuesday after a teenager was shot dead by a police officer.

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Jingoistic Western Triumphalism Will Not End The War In Ukraine Or Cripple Putin, But It Is Crippling Western Nations
As the war in Ukraine grinds on and Russia steps up its economic war against the west and in particular The European Union, claims made recently by the idiotically 'woke' leaders of Europe's main economic and military powers that the West has a once-in-a–generation chance to severely weaken Russia’s capabilities, both militarily and geopolitically, look increasingly hollow. Putin's critics have cited 'Western unity' as one of the main reasons why Russia will be economically destroyed and politically humiliated when the Ukraine's military finally claim victory.

European Union Is Again Close To A Meltdown As Eurozone Economy Collapses
Once more we return to the political instability and economic fragility of the European Union as the conflict in Ukraine combined with loonytoons Climate Change mitigation policies, the failure of 'sustainables' to meet ever increasing demand for electricity, fod shortages and rampant price inflation put economic and social pressure on governments of member states ...

Debunked: The Great Renewable Green Delusion
The war in Ukraine has not caused the global energy crisis of early 2022 byt merely exacerbated it. Currently the nations currently in conflict with Russia over its incursion into Ukraine are those which are most dependent for their energy needs on Russian oil and gas. And now their loonytoons 'net zero' green energy policies have failed they are biting the hand that feeds them.

Putin, Macron To Hold Urgent Talks To Halt Military Escalation In Ukraine
Even though the leaders of Ukraine itself are talking down the threat of war with Russia over the breakaway region of Donbas, America and Britain are still beating the war drums and demonising Russian leader Vladimir Putin. Russia insists they have no plans to invade Ukraine and one western leader at least, France's Emmanuel Macron, seems to be listening to messages coming out of the East European trouble spot...

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Thursday, May 04, 2023

American Financial Meltdown? Troubled California Bank PacWest Craters 60% On Report It Is Seeking Buyers - Crisis Affects Other Banks

 

This morning  U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell openly lied to financial reporters during a  press conference stating without a hint of irony that the US banking system is "sound and resilient."

Ironically even as Powell was speaking the news broke that  another  bank collapse was on its say.

Shortly after the conference closed, Bloomberg reported that California-based bank, PacWest Bancorp., was weighing a range of strategic options, including a sale.

The Beverly Hills-based bank - whose financial conditions it appears has been far worse than the Fed, which had just hiked interest rates another 25bps (a quarter of one per cent,) calculated for - has been working with consultants and also been considering selling a huge slice of its business to raise capital according to Bloomberg. While it is open to an outright if the right offer (i.e. any offer,) comes along, , the company hasn’t yet started a formal auction process.

According to the report,  and similar to other recent bank collapses SVB and FRC, "a potential buyer would also have to potentially book a big loss marking down some of its loans, a spokesperson said."

the next regional bank collapse was on its say.

Shortly after the close, Bloomberg reported that another regional, California-based bank (of course), PacWest Bancorp., was weighing a range of strategic options, including a sale.

The Beverly Hills-based bank - whose financial conditions it appears has been far worse than the Fed, which just hiked another 25bps, thought - has been working with a financial adviser and has also been considering a breakup or a capital raise, according to Bloomberg sources. While it is open to a sale, the company hasn’t started a formal auction process.

According to the report,  and in a similar way to ,other recent bank collapses SVB and FRC, "a potential buyer would also have to potentially book a big loss marking down some of its loans, a spokesperson said."

Following publication of the Bloomberg report, PacWest - which had $28 billion in deposits at last check (far less as of this moment) and $44 billion in assets, saw its stock plunge more than 60% in the space of a few hours.

Earlier we reported that First Horizon tumbled as much as 40% after saying it and Toronto-Dominion Bank mutually agreed to terminate their merger agreement amid uncertainty around regulatory approvals.

Meanwhile, with the Fed still burying its head in the sand as an epic bank crisis hurtles towards the USA, Powell may be  hopeing that a avalanche of bank failures will make the Fed's job of sparking a recession, credit crisis and deflationary bust easier.

 

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Do We Have A Winter Of Civil Disobedience Ahead?
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Britain is Breaking Down; The Economy Is Struggling, Living Standards Are Falling, Institutions Are Failing
Successive governments have brought Britain to its knees.This article will focus on Britain as representative of the general malaise that is afflicting almost all the developed world. Our current crop of politicians have discarded the resources that brought the country out of the post war decline ... In spite of being rich in energy resources Britain is now in an energy crisis, our leaders have sacrificed prosperity on the altar of Net Zero, committing the nation to our reducing our 1% contribution to harmful emissions still further ...

"Revolution Has Begun": 75,000 Brits Plan To Stop Paying Power Bills In Protest At Energy Rip Off
Resistance is growing to spiralling domestic energy costs in Britain as more than 75,000 irritated people in the UK have pledged not to pay their electricity bill this fall when prices jump again. 

If the government & energy companies refuse to act then ordinary people will! Together we can enforce a fair price and affordable energy for all," tweeted "Don't Pay UK," an anonymous group spearheading the effort to have more than one million Brits boycott paying their power bill by Oct. 1.

E U Central Bank Digital Currency Is The Death Rattle Of A Failed Experiment

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CEO Of World's Leading Shipping Company Delivers Downbeat Assessment Of Global Economy
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The Debt Threat To Our Way Of Life
Obama's debt problem and deficit addiction Smoke and Mirrors Blur Inflation Statistics Central Banks Print Money But Fail To End Crisis

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Tuesday, July 12, 2022

Europe is Flouting its Own Sanctions Because it Has to

 

The situation in Europe is going from bad to worse.

Inflation is still rising in almost every EU country, with Estonia now logging a rate of 22%. In Russia, meanwhile, inflation fell by 1 percentage point in the month of June. And Russians are used to rising prices; inflation there is the highest since 2015. Inflation in Germany, by contrast, is the highest since the 1970s.

This morning, the Euro reached parity with the dollar, having declined by 12% since the start of the year. But that’s not the only exchange rate shifting against Europe’s interests. As the chart below indicates, the Euro is also way down against the rouble. Before Russia’s invasion, one Euro was worth 85 roubles. It’s now worth less than 60.

And the price of natural gas continues to climb, heaping pressure on consumers and businesses alike. It’s worth putting the recent spike into context to show just how high prices are, relative to what Europeans are used to. The chart below plots the benchmark EU gas price over the last ten years – it’s currently 900% higher than in the mid-2010s.  

In case you thought we’d seen the worst of it, there’s more bad news. According to Javier Blas (Bloomberg’s energy man) Europe’s natural gas crisis is “worse than it looks”. He argues that just before the winter “Moscow will completely turn off the tap” – an outcome the market “hasn’t priced yet”. Indeed, the head of the IEA has warned that, “This winter in Europe will be very, very difficult.”

As I’ve noted before, energy prices were rising even before the war in Ukraine – thanks to supply chain disruption during the pandemic, and the shuttering of too many oil refineries. Yet sanctions against Russia have undoubtedly exacerbated the problem.

At present, Europe is in the odd position of having sanctioned one major Russian commodity (oil), while it continues to buy large quantities of another (gas). In fact, it’s stranger than that: as EU leaders ramp up sanctions on Russian oil, they denounce Russia for “weaponizing” natural gas. They seem to be saying: ‘It’s unconscionable for us to buy oil from Russia; but it’s also unconscionable for Russia not to sell us gas’.

Needless to say, this doesn’t make any sense. Given the prospect of a major recession if Europe doesn’t put a lid on energy prices, you might ask: why on earth are we persisting with these sanctions? 

 Continue reading >>>

 

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Friday, May 31, 2013

Forget The Recession, Some People Are Not feeling The Pinch



Time is running out for the world's largest economy, only war can save it from debt (image source)

Some say the nations of the developed world are heading towards another crash followed by a recession. Some say we have been in recession since 2008 and only financial prestadigitation has created the illusion of any recovery.

We say that as far as the ordinary punters are concerned we have been in recession since 1991, with government and banks propping up failed economies by printing money and inflating asset values to underwrite their ruinous borrowing. But not everybody does badly when there is an economic downturn.

Below is a post from 2013, when the major economies last slipped into recession.

Forget The Recession, US Banks Post Record Profits

Do you feel the value of your savings has been eroded and the buying power of your earnings reduced by higher taxes and austerity measures governments have introduced to 'save the economy.'Yeah but ... we're all in this together aren't we and everybody is making sacrifices, you might well reply. Except we're not all in it together, not everyone is ...

 Forget The Recession, US Banks Post Record Profits


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