As the internecine conflict in Sudan morphs into Africa's latest humanitarian crisis people in the compassion fatigued west heave a weary sigh and get ready to reach into their pockets, wall;ets and bank accounts once more as heart rending stories images of suffering and deprivation flood our media.
Reports of violence breaking out in Africa rarely raise eyebrows in
the West these days. chances are the conflics seem far away both geographically and culturally to us and so we feel it has little to do with us,
whatever 'progressives' and the woke brigade may deem the West’s historical responsibilities for the continent’s
problems may be. But as the recent events in Sudan demonstrate, this is no
longer the case. The turmoil unfolding there is of far more importance
to us in a geopolitical sense than most previous ones.
While the fighting in Sudan is, on the face of it, little more than a
power struggle between the two rival factions for control of the country,
there is also an important international economic dimension to
this conflict. At its heart is competition between the great powers for
influence over the continent — what has been elsewhere been called the “new scramble for Africa”.
In view of Africa's its vast natural resources, including gold, its agricultural potential and its geopolitically strategic location, Sudan has long
attracted regional and international power plays. In recent years, Saudi
Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt and Israel have all been
cultivating economic and political ties with the country’s leadership
an,d its two warlords in particular.
Russia, however, stands out for its “special relationship” with
Sudan. Putin made sure to cultivate an alliance with the
country’s former leader, Omar al-Bashir, deploying the infamous Wagner Group in 2017 to provide him with political and military support. More importantly, that same year, al-Bashir signed
a military cooperation agreement with Russia which included allowing
the Russians to establish a military base along the Red Sea, ensuring a
permanent presence for the Russian Navy in a crucial region and easy
access to the Indian Ocean.
Al Bashir was overthrown in 2019 but Putin shrewdly switched his support to Sudan's new military leaders and continue to advance Russia's economic and political interests in the region. When considered in the context of China's expansion of commercial and political influence in Africa and other parts of the developing world, and the efforts of Saudi Arabia and Iran to promote their different brands of Islamism, the current conflict in Ukraine can be seen from a different angle, not so much a local conflict as part of a bigger face off between proponents of a monopolar world led by the USA and a multipolar world with economic and military power centred in the east rather than the west.
Africa, South America and parts of Asia have been the scene of Western
(more recently US) political and economic meddling and manipulation for generations and
the results haven’t always been pretty for the locals as Washington has systematically used the status of the US$ to crush other economic powers. Awkward questions
have often been fobbed off with “He may be a tin-pot dictator but he’s
our tin-pot dictator”
Is it surprising or disappointing to see that Russia and China can and
do play the same game and have been doing it for years. While westrern governments have been pandering to the wimpish bleatings of extremist left wing minorities and pumping aid into African and other impoverished regions the Russians and Chinese have been making deals that benefitted their own interests as much as the places their investments helped develop.
Does anyone still think
that nothing happens in Africa unless the US signs off on it? The West
is fully engaged in using the cult of climate hysteria to solidify
central planning political power. Much of the “science” has been either
questioned or de-bunked entirely yet the propaganda and witch-hunts
continue apace. It is China and Russia that are securing the supplies of
natural resources essential to implement Western eco-diktats like
Net-Zero. Are those deals fair and equitable? Probably not. Are they
debt traps? Probably. But these deals are getting done and the Belts and
Roads are actually being built.
Conversely, I invite you to behold Canada’s narcissistic sock model
Trudeau. Canada just guaranteed Volkswagen $13B in subsidies for an EV
battery plant. That announcement follows the uncharacteristically frank
statement by Trudeau that Canada will probably never meet its NATO
spending commitment (he’s somewhat less frank about admitting Canada
hasn’t met any emissions targets). He was recently in New York crowing
about this deal. The deal is secret (of course) but Trudeau claims
Canada is such a wonderful place to do business that VW actually turned
down more money from the US (Translation: Canada has made concessions
that even the US wouldn’t consider). Meanwhile Canada has large lithium
deposits that will endure years of regulatory reviews and court
challenges before they ever see the light of day.
Clearly, Canada is not a global player but IMO this sort of
reality-defying pretzel logic is indicative of Western leadership right
now and clearly the BRICS + countries are taking advantage of it.
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As the world becomes more unstable and nations form themselves into geopolitical blocs, as the USA under its former rent boy President, Barack hussein Obama provokes a return to cold war conditions by trying to drag UKraine into NATO and the EU while simultaneously treading on China's toes in the far east, one former leader speaks out.
The solution to this ought to be simple: US/NATO must back off, stop providing eapons, technical support and money to the Ukis and stop attempting to achieve a regime change in Russia together with a break-up of the country to plunder its natural resources (oil, gas, nitrates, lithium, iron, copper, rare earth metals, etc.. There was truly never any other other reason for this conflict and as we mention almost every week, a settlement under very similar terms was offered by Russia in AApril 2022 but that was blocked by the USA, UK and NATO, and Ukraine was ordered to fight on.
Nobody can seriously believe that USA or NATO care about ‘democracy’ or whether Ukraine is governed by a Russian or Ukrainian government. They only care about western economic hegemony and subjection of any dissidents to ‘Western rules and values’. And of course the break up of The Russian Federation and fragmentation of Ukraine would leave the vast mineral and agrigultural resources of that huge land area up for grabs.
The hypocrisy is clear. Russia invades Ukraine and all hell breaks loose: USA blows up Nord Stream (and the subservient EU promises to buy LNG from USA); US orders NATO, UK and EU into action; everybody promises to support Ukraine with weapons, tech support and cash, sacrificing only Ukrainian lives and the prosperity of their own citizens “for as long as it takes”.
Russia will not back down, Russia does not back down. The country has lost too many of its own people willing to sacrifice their lives for their country, knowing this war was really never about only a local kerfuffle in a borderline third world country in Eastern Europe. It is NATO that has escalated the war and since the collapse of the Soviet Union has continually expanded its borders, not Russia. Russia wants/wanted to economically benefit from a close relationship with the West. It was USA that could not, and still cannot, disassociate itself from its Cold War attitude to Russia.
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