The secret of freedom lies in educating people, whereas the secret of tyranny is in keeping them ignorant. - Maximilien Robespierre.

Showing posts with label stock market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stock market. Show all posts

Monday, October 13, 2025

Artificial Intelligence: An Existential Threat - But To Humanity Or Savings And Investments

 

Stock mrket analysts and investment bankers have been saying for a few months the the AI bubble rapid  i.e.the surge in the value of these companies based on stock markey trading in their shares, about to burst? Big tech’s gargantuan capital outlays – surging tenfold in the three years since ChatGPT was publicly launched – look increasingly unsustainable. 

By some measures, artificial intelligence (AI) now sucks up more than half of America’s combined investment pool. Yet the promised uplift to business productivity hasn’t materialized

According to techopedia.com, investment in artificial intelligence has sailed past levels last seen during the peak of the dotcom bubble. Jens Nordvig, founder and CEO of macroeconomic consultancy Exante, says AI-related capital expenditures now represent about 2% of America’s GDP. But scepticism is in short supple with people like Larry Fink, CEO of Blackrock, the world's biggest asset management firm fully on board with the hype.

Big tech AI data center spending has risen 10x in the last three years alone. The arrival of ChatGPT in 2022 has led to an AI bubble so big it’s consuming more than half of America’s cumulative investment pool

So unquenchable is the industry’s thirst for cash that the world’s biggest economy may not have enough to slake it. OpenAI chief Sam Altman has already been fundraising beyond America’s shores, hoping to raise some $7 trillion from sovereign wealth funds and other sources in the UAE and elsewhere.

The AI euphoria driving this is partly due to global debt having ballooned from $64 trillion in 2000 to $338 trillion today. Every major asset — stocks, bonds, property — has been inflated by decades of easy money. What looks like prosperity is really devaluation in disguise.
 
Meanwhile, most investors no longer pick stocks; algorithms do. Trillions flow automatically into ETFs that chase price momentum, not profit. When liquidity dries up, everything will fall together.

Even the gains AI firms are making come at a cost elsewhere. As the industry sucks up all the available capital, it’s also consuming massive amounts of electricity. Hyperscale data centers use roughly 4.5% of America’s electricity, a figure that could triple in the next two years. That’s raising electricity prices – up about 13% on average between October 2022 and June 2025.  

AI centers require significant power to operate and a lot of water to keep them cool, straining local grids and raising utility water prices in areas where these data centers are concentrated. That puts upward pressure on inflation, making both households and businesses more costly to run.

And the supposed AI “revolution that is going to kick off the fourth industrial revolution and even pose an existential threat to humanity? A July MIT study found 95% of AI projects deliver zero profit. Yet trillions in capital keep flooding in. Data-center investment alone could exceed $5 trillion by 2030 — which would require AI services to generate revenues equal to 10% of total U.S. GDP just to break even. Pure fantasy economics and yet the oligarchic insanity over an AI takeover of everything goes on unabated. 

On top of all that it emerged last week that AI large language models can quite easily be 'poisoned' and caused to spew out gibberish by hackers. 

AI is a massive mis-allocation of capital running in trillions of dollars. Now the data-center theme seems to be going out, people rejecting data centers across the west, due to their energy issues, and effect on fresh water sources.

So many sub-sectors of  stock markets have already been falling 6 months or more (transportation, chemicals, materials etc.) but this has largely been concealed because a few big tech corporations heavily invested in AI have propped up the indexes so the headline figures have looked good.

As Wall Street, Lndon and other stock exchanges brace themselves for tech carnage, analysts are starting to wonder if a bigger financial collapse than the dot-com collapse is just around the corner.  

AI may be approaching its moment of truth. A technology built to unleash the economy is starting to weigh it down.

 The investment flows that have and are still inflating the AI bubble are dependent on monetary flows, and right now we seem to be seeing another liquidity crunch, which will take down everything.  The key issue is who is going to save the banks that are too big to fail this time. 


 

Monday, March 13, 2023

U S Regional Bank First Republic Crashes As America's Banking 'Crisis In Confidence' Becomes Contagious

by Phil T. Looker.

Shares in America's First Republic Bank's crashed when the New York stock market opened for trading this morning. The crash was triggered by a statement issued on Sunday night that sought to ease investor worries about the bank's liquidity situation in the wake of the failure of Silicon Valley Bank. Shares in the San Francisco based regional bank are down 60% on last week's close.

In the Sunday night statement the bank claimed that it had more than $70 billion in unused liquidity to fund operations from agreements that included the Federal Reserve and JPMorgan Chase & Co.

"The additional borrowing capacity from the Federal Reserve, continued access to funding through the Federal Home Loan Bank, and ability to access additional financing through JPMorgan Chase & Co.increases, diversifies, and further strengthens First Republic's existing liquidity profile," the bank said, adding that more liquidity is available through the Fed's new lending facility. 

Unfortunately this information, coming only days after Silicon Valley Bank had issued similar assurances shortly before being declared insolvent, failed to assure investors and depositors.

Bloomberg's Ven Ram opined, "The plunge in its shares is classic market psychology at work, with investors starting to question the credentials of any lender that may be remotely in the same category of Silicon Valley Bank," . 

Zero Hedgepointed out over the weekend, "as a result of the SVB failure - one look at what is already taking place at some smaller, vulnerable banks such as this First Republic Branch in Brentwood should be sufficient to see what comes to morrow if the Fed makes the wrong decision today."

Despite the emergency lending program announced by the Fed and Treasury on Sunday to increase the availability of funds to meet bank withdrawals and prevent runs on other banks, fears have not been alleviated as other regional banks, which are sitting on some $620 billion in unrealized losses on all securities (both Available for Sale and Held to Maturity) at the end of last year, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp," continue to experience significant pressure."

How was this allowed to happen? I worked in a British financial institution and do not claim great expertise in the American way of doing things but one flaw in U.S. corporate law allows companies to skew their balance sheet with outmoded accounting methods which maintain asset values at the original level rather than using the more modern, (and better suited to current financial volatility,) mark to market, in which market values current at the closing of an accounting period are used. Thus a company may claim $100 billion in assets against only $75 billion in liabilities, but when assets are calculated to market values only have assets with actual worth of $70 billion thus being insolvent.

 

RELATED:

Britain is Breaking Down; The Economy Is Struggling, Living Standards Are Falling, Institutions Are Failing
Successive governments have brought Britain to its knees.This article will focus on Britain as representative of the general malaise that is afflicting almost all the developed world. Our current crop of politicians have discarded the resources that brought the country out of the post war decline ... In spite of being rich in energy resources Britain is now in an energy crisis, our leaders have sacrificed prosperity on the altar of Net Zero, committing the nation to our reducing our 1% contribution to harmful emissions still further ...

"Revolution Has Begun": 75,000 Brits Plan To Stop Paying Power Bills In Protest At Energy Rip Off
Resistance is growing to spiralling domestic energy costs in Britain as more than 75,000 irritated people in the UK have pledged not to pay their electricity bill this fall when prices jump again. 

If the government & energy companies refuse to act then ordinary people will! Together we can enforce a fair price and affordable energy for all," tweeted "Don't Pay UK," an anonymous group spearheading the effort to have more than one million Brits boycott paying their power bill by Oct. 1.

E U Central Bank Digital Currency Is The Death Rattle Of A Failed Experiment

The announcement from the European Central Bank (ECB) that is is to intrduce an official European Union digital currency spells the end of the European Single Currency experiment and with it the ambition of "ever closer union until the EU's member states were merged into a single political entity Digital Currencies might not quite be Ponzi schemes but on appearances the difference can be compared to that between a horse and a pony.

Negative Interest Rates - Final Nail In The Coffin Of Neoliberalism? Negative interest rates, in plain terms a situation in which we pay bankers for holding our money, are the latest ruse of politicians and economists to make uis start spending our investments and savings, thus kickstarting the global economy thy have screwed up.

Magic Money - How The Fractional Reserve Banking System Conjures Money From Fresh Air:
A look at how the fractional reserve banking system works and how it brought the global economy and many people's personal finances close to collapse. It's really all about pulling magic money out of fresh air.

Investors Ignore Triple Dip Regession As Stock Market Hits Four Year High
News that the British economy was staring an unprecedented triple dip recession in the face left investors unperturbed yesterday as shares on Britain's leading index hit their highest point in since the crash four-and-a-half years ago.

Corporate Banker's $1.5 Quadrillion Conspiracy: EU Accuses 13 Banks Of Operating A Derivative Trading Cartel Debt, how much of a threat to ordinary people is it? The truth might frighten you which is why bank bosses, government leaders and media pundits are not eager to tell the truth. What can we do? Not much in the short term, in the long term, reclaim the sovereignty of our nations and our individual sovereignty and tell the world view thinkers their crazy ideas have maxed out their credit.

Globalization and the Retrun To Serfdom
When the power elites promise something that will benefit people everywhere it can be taken what the world will get is the opposite. Thus when we were told globalisation would make everybody more prosperous, abolish poverty and narrow the gap between rich and poor, only a fool would have failed to regognize what was on offer comprised a return to medieval poverty and servitude for the masses while the rich became richer.

Another Reason To Get Out Of EU. UKIP MEP Hits Out At Fishing Policy That Penalises British Fishing Crews
As the General Election campaign starts to heat up, we try to shift focus away from the squabbling between Conservative and Labour about who can make the most promises they have no intention of keeping and to the real issues concerning jobs, social breakdown , mass immigration, and an often overlooked area in which our EU membership has perhaps done more damage than any other, the fishing industry.

De-Dollarization: Russia Ratifies $100 Billion BRICS Bank
A BRICS Bank - as an IMF alternative and to enable nations to become less dependent on the global reserve currency - was originally discussed at The BRICS Summit in 2012. Then at the 2014 BRICS Summit, the framework for The BRICS Bank was approved as "a system of measures that would help prevent the harassment of countries that do not agree with some foreign policy decisions made by the United States and their allies.

Henry Kissinger On The New World Order
OK, let the Politically Correct screechers screech 'conspiracy Theory'. Kissinger has of course been a long time advocate of corporatist global totalitarian government by elitis oligarchs and has himself used the phrase New World Order to describe what he sees as the best hope for the future and what those of us outside his small elitist clique see as fascism

IMF Chief Legarde Arrested? It's DSKja vu All Over Again.
Like her predecessor in the job, Domique Strauss - Khan, IMF Chief Christine Legarde feaces prosecution for criminality and is likely to be forced out of the job. Yet the dodgy episodes in Legarde's past were well known before she was appointed head of the IMF. So who put the kinfe in and why?

Get Ready For The Collapse Of The Global Economy
In the years we have been publishing, Daily Stirrer financial correspondent Phil T Looker has consistently predicted the refusal of the market rigging banksters to acknowledge that the developed worlds debt driven economy was FUBAR might delay the economic catastrophe but that would only make the final collapse worse when it eventually happened.

The Banksters Bullion Heist: How The Gold Market Was Hi Jacked And The Banksters Robbed Us All
The rapid drop in gold prices recently has been said by some to be a sign a new economic crisis is imminent while others say it is a sign economic confidence is returning and the slump is over. It is neither, but rather a demostration of how banksters rig the markets in gold, commodities, currency ans shares, and rob us all.

Washington Signals Fears Over Dollar
Over the past month there have been some bizarre movements in financial marketsthat can only be explained as a conspiracy to protect the US dollar from the inevitable consequences Federal Reserve’s policy of Quantitative Easing (QE) which has been going on since the financial crisis began in 2008.

[ Money & finance ] ... [ Corporate central banks? ] ... [ debt crisis ] ... [ dollar ponzi scheme ] ... [ the fiscal cliff of debt ] ... [ magic money ] ... [ money from fresh air ]

EXPLORE:
[Daily Stirrer] ... [ Our Page on on Substack ]... [Boggart Aboad] ... [ Ian Thorpe at Quora ] ... [ Greenteeth Home ] ... [ Greenteeth on Minds.com ] ... [ Here Come The Russians ] ... [ Latest Posts ] ... [ Blog Bulletin ]

Saturday, June 25, 2016

Whining Brexit 'REMAIN' Supporters Too Dumb To Know They Were Duped Into Supporting Megarich Capitalists

After being thorougly nauseated by the emotionally needy whining of pitiable nonentities who are too fearful to think for themselves and are now jumping on memes about how ashamed they are to be English because we did something so 'zenophobic' and isolationist. So I thought it was time to show them who loses by our voting out, who their remain votes were really supporting (and it wasn't 'the poor', 'the vulnerable' or us ordinary punters.

Here's an article which shows who was really hit financially by the UK referendum on European Union membership being won by those who wanted to LEAVE. The reason all those billionaires (most of whom don't live in Britain but in tax havens) wanted us to stay in is their businesses profits rely on revenue from government contracts, the reason all those celebs like Bendydick Cumbertwat and Ricky Jarvis (who both spend most of their time in the USA) wanted us to stay in was that they get paid for promoting businesses that collaborate with EU, NATO, United Nations and USA government agencies. Tak a look at this:

The Real Brexit "Catastrophe": World's 400 Richest People Lose $127 Billion

For all the scaremongering and threats of an imminent financial apocalypse should Brexit win, including dire forecasts from the likes of George Soros, the Bank of England, David Cameron (who even invoked war), and even Jacob Rothschild, something "unexpected" happened yesterday: the UK was the best performing European market following the Brexit outcome.

This outcome was just as we expected three days ago for reasons that we penned in "Is Soros Wrong", where we said "in a world in which central banks rush to devalue their currency at any means necessary just to gain a modest competitive advantage in global trade wars, a GBP collapse is precisely what the BOE should want, if it means kickstarting the UK economy."
On Friday, the market started to price it in too, and in the process revealed that the biggest sovereign losers from Brexit will not be the UK but Europe.

Read all the Zero Hedge article


And you will notice in the graphics on the site the British stock market is doing better than the rest of Europe, and the £ only dropped in line with the Euro.

As this blog has always said, the EU only ever benefitted the rich and powerful and corporate business. All those emotionally crippled losers who believe in caring, sharing multiculturalsim are just examples of  Dear Old Uncle Joe Stalin's 'useful idiots', easily manpiulated and as predictable as Pavlovs Dogs.


RELATED POSTS:
Is Brexit A Harbinger Of Doom For The 'Experts'
The Brexit vote, the decision by a democratic majority in Britain to leave the European Union has sent shockwaves around the world. Not only does the EU now face a tsunami of departures, the usurpation of democracy by 'experts' ( technocrats ) has been challenged and exposed as a sham.
BREXIT vs. GREXIT – The Truth About The European Union And How It Treats Members
EU Will 'Gradually Unravel' With or Without the UK - MEPs
Big Wins for anti EU Five Star party in Italian mayoral elections
Little Englanders Jibe Lost The Debate And Probably The Referendum For Camereon
Brexit Economic Forecasts Are Nonsense And Pure Scaremongering

Eurozone To Fail? George Soros Bets €100m AGAINST Deutsche Bank
BREXIT vs. GREXIT – The Truth About The European Union And How It Treats Members

Well We Have Been Warning You: European SUPERSTATE plan unveiled: EU nations 'to be merged into one' post-Brexit



The Hypocrisy and Snobbery Of The Remain Campaign And The Antidote
The Labour Case For Brexit by Kate Hoey M.P.
Dutch Referendum This Week Shows why We Should Leave The EU.
French, Belgians, Dutch, Italians Follow Britain in Euroskepticism
Head Of European Institute: Brexit ‘Better’ For Everyone
EU Refuses to Block Eurozone Integration to Reach Agreement With UK

It's Not Just The British Want Out Of The EU - Eurosceptic PODEMOS in Spain Are Surging Ahead Of Election
EU's Bureaucratic Dictatorship Is Losing The Support Of The Most Loyal Nations
Why Do The Western Powers, The United nations And The EU Continue To Tolerate The Terror Sponsor Erdogan And Turkey
EU Based Global Corporations 'Controlled by a Small Number of Rich Families For Generations'
Over 10% of Germans Believe Country Needs Fuhrer


Elsewhere: [ The Original Boggart Blog] ... Daily Stirrer ...[Little Nicky Machiavelli]... [ Ian's Authorsden Pages ]... [Scribd]...[Wikinut] ... [ Boggart Abroad] ... [ Grenteeth Bites ] ... Ian Thorpe at Flickr ] ... [ Tumblr ] ... [Ian at Minds ] ... [ Authorsden blog ] ... [Daily Stirrer News Aggregator]