The secret of freedom lies in educating people, whereas the secret of tyranny is in keeping them ignorant. - Maximilien Robespierre.

Sunday, April 12, 2026

Trump's Plan To Blockade Iran's Blockade Of The Strait Of Hormuz Is Not Impossible, Just Crazy


If the end goal is to restore freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz to pre-war levels, then I can't understand what Potus is doing
The US navy can wrestle control of the Strait of Hormuz from Iran  Credit: Alex Brandon/AP

President Trump’s latest pronunciations on the conflict with Iran makes it clear that he is going to blockade the Strait of Hormuz.  With peace negotiations having hit the brick wall of Islamist intransigence almost as soon as they had got under way, this is the latest power move to wrestle control of the Strait back off Iran, where it currently resides.

“Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz. At some point, we will reach an ‘ALL BEING ALLOWED TO GO IN, ALL BEING ALLOWED TO GO OUT’ basis” Trump ranted on Truth Social.

A blockade on a blockade, is certainly something we don't come acros often. Though it sounds illlogical in practical terms such a move would not be difficult. The US will have excellent situational awareness of all ships coming and going, their details, and most likely whether or not they have either been given a free pass by Iran or have paid at the toll booth, so the US Navy could prevent vessels approaching the strait from the Indian Ocean and also stop ships leaving The Persian Gulf via the strait..

However any attempt to [blockade] Iran would necessitate the use of force to prevent Indian, Chinese and Russian ships from entering Iranian harbors.
 
At the same time, a blockade of Iran would represent a total U-turn from America’s tactics in recent weeks, and necessitate lifting sanctions on Russian and even Iranian oil, in order to avoid a catastrophic cutoff of global energy supplies and an ensuing economic depression.
 
In the unlikely event that the US proceeds with a blockade, the entire rest of the world would focus its ire on the US. NATO would collapse. Japan and Korea would see that the US is a nihilistic monster, indifferent to their economic destruction and looming starvation and the dollar exchange rate would crash.
 

The US government has well and truly backed itself into a corner. Given its established habit of doubling down on what didn’t work, all one can foresee is more feckless bombing of Iran — which will not open the Strait.    

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