by In R Thorpe, 30 March 2026
Ahmad Vahidi, he may look like Ringo Starr without the scouse humour but is a top contender for Iran's new strongman (Picture: Daily Telegraph)
US President Donald Trump today gave observers the impression that he is himself suffering from the legendary Trump Derangement Syndrome as he severed all links with reality in claiming he is making "great progress" in negotiations with a "new and more reasonable regime" in Iran, but again threatened to blow up Iranian power plants if a deal is not reached soon.
While America's erstwhile European allies clutch their pearls and mutter nervously about imposing regime change Trump knows there is no such thing s International Law. What he does not know apparently is that even a Tiger tries to avoid confronttion with a poionous snake.
We’ve had regime change,” Trump said. “If you look already because the one regime was decimated, destroyed. They’re all dead. The next regime is mostly dead. And the third regime, we’re dealing with different people than anybody’s dealt with before. It’s a whole different group of people. So I would consider that regime change.”
Against this backdrop and reports that Washington has been negotiating with the “real powerbroker” in the regime, Western policy circles have concluded a new strongman has emerged in Tehran. All attention has turned to the obvious contender: Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, speaker of the Iranian parliament and veteran of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) – the regime’s ideological army.
The problem is nobody outside Iran and few people inside the theocratic nation have any idea who leads that regime and what their attitude towards America and the west is. But in Iran, the obvious answer is rarely the right one. While the egotistical : Mohammed Bager Ghalibaf has been playing to the gallery, a far more sinister figure is reported to be pulling the strings: Ahmad Vahidi – the new IRGC commander-in-chief who is a Khamenei absolutist.
Unlike Ghalibaf, Vahidi has stayed out of the spotlight since the outbreak of war. However independent reporters still inside Iran suggest he is a key cog in the regime’s chain of command and his survival is essential to its continuity and is likely to adopt polices that will produce a far more radical and extremist Islamic Republic that even people in the wider Islamic world dislike.Vahidi has unmatched experience and influence across the regime’s military, intelligence, and bureaucracy.
Against this backdrop Western policy circles have concluded a new strongman has emerged in Tehran. But new stongman or no, a new threat and a further escalation of Iran's potentia;l threat to the west is emerging. On Wednesday, an unnamed Iranian military official was quoted as saying: “The Bab a-Mandeb Strait is among the most strategic straits in the world, and Iran has both the will and the capability to pose a fully credible threat against it.”
Entering conflict with Yemen-based Houthis in Bab al-Mandeb, which translates into English as Gate of Tears Strait may prove difficult for US military
Strong winds, crosscurrents, reefs and shoals have made the Bab al-Mandeb Strait one of the most perilous of shipping chokepoints and that is without having to content with missile and artillery fire from Houthi guerillas .
The Gate of Tears – its Arabic translation – connects the Suez Canal and the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and the Indian Ocean. It now has another threat in the form of Iranian-backed Houthi rebels spoiling to join the war in the Middle East.
On Saturday, the terror group – which has a history of holding trade hostage in Bab al-Mandeb by firing missiles at ships – boasted of launching ballistic missiles at Israel.
So it appears the U S President was talking his usual bollocks in claimimg progressin his talks with Iran, peace in the middle east is as far away as ever and probably further away that it was at this poni lst week.nA spokesman for the Iranian Armed Forces’ Central Staff commented:
“Trump is an unstable and often deceitful individual who has inflicted enormous damage on the peoples of the world.
He has repeatedly threatened Iran with ground operations and the
occupation of islands in the Persian Gulf. He is under the influence of
the Mossad due to his past actions, making him a tool in the hands of
the Zionist entity’s leadership.
He is considered one of the most dishonest world leaders, inconsistent
in his positions, and therefore cannot be trusted. He has been given
significant powers despite his short-sighted decisions, which have drawn
the American military into deadly crises.
American troops are in a state of fear and retreat, resorting to
civilian and service facilities in the region, yet remain vulnerable to
attack.
The American leadership is far from the battlefield, while it demands
steadfastness from its soldiers, while Trump demonstrates a
contradiction between threats, retreats, and calls for war, and then
negotiations.
His policies have caused grave harm to the people of America, Europe, and countries around the world, especially in West Asia.
The only language he understands is force, and any threat of military
action against Iran will be met with a decisive response, as his forces
have long been prepared for such a scenario.
Any aggression or occupation will result in a humiliating defeat and heavy losses for the aggressors.
The American leadership must review Iran’s history and learn from the
fate of all who have attempted to attack it, and not lure its troops
into illusions that lead to their destruction.
The Iranian armed forces confirm their complete readiness to crush any
possible attack and confidently await the moment of confrontation. “We
stand with you, shoulder to shoulder.”
Which really sums up the position Trump has put himself and the western alliance in. At this stage no one knows how the war will end.
Here is the stark sad reality. A peaceful resolution now or in the future is not possible period. Either Trump finishes the job now or later there will be a far worse dilemma. Iran has never been, and never will be, willing to give up what it considers to be, its God given mission which includes the destruction of Israel.
Israel knowing this will not risk letting this happen. In the meantime, the west will be target to the extent is assists Israel. Who is right, and who is wrong is not material to the discussion. Its a fight to the death. A zero sum game.
Obama and Biden lived in a fantasy world thinking diplomacy and reason would win out and the result was a more embolden, stronger and aggressive Iran (doing what it thinks it correct). Bottom line is: game on and whoever has the strongest will and determination will win. Right now the answer is unclear and Trmp's brain fog is never going to make it any crearer.
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