Two days ago US President Donald Trump told a White House press briefing an agreement with Iran has been "largely negotiated" and details will be announced soon.
The deal would include the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, he said on Saturday, without giving further details.
Trump wrote on social
media that he had a "very good call" with the leaders of Saudi Arabia,
the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and others about a "Memorandum of
Understanding pertaining to PEACE".
"An
agreement has been largely negotiated, subject to finalisation between
the United States of America, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the
various other Countries, as listed," his Truth Social read.
In response an
Iranian foreign ministry spokesman told state television that
US and Iranian positions had been converging in the last week, but
warned that did not mean agreements would be reached on key issues and
accused the Americans of "contradictory statements.
A British Prime Minister of the 1960 once famously said 'A week is a long time in politics.' That was then and this is now, a digital age of information overload when a week is almost eternity and Two days is an aeon.
While Tump was again calling for peace today (May 26 ), Iranian leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei issued a message calling for greater unity across the Muslim world against the United States and Israel, saying that the chants “Death to America” and “Death
to Israel” will become the rallying slogans of Muslims and “the
oppressed of the world.”
Khamenei’s message was to mark Hajj, the annual Islamic pilgrimage.
In it, Khamenei described a historic struggle against U.S. and Israeli
influence in the Middle East, repeatedly invoking the revolutionary
slogan “Allahu Akbar” as the “weapon” that had enabled Iran and its
allies to resist outside pressure.
He said Iran had
succeeded in “making the Zionist regime helpless under its severe blows
during the second imposed war” and in delivering “a harsh slap to
aggressive America,” while thwarting efforts to force Tehran into
submission.
The statement also praised what it called the
“Resistance Front,” saying Iranian forces and allied fighters in
Lebanon had secured “notable victories” against “the two terrorist
armies, armed to the teeth by the American-Zionist side.”
Khamenei coupled the aggressive rhetoric with a broader appeal for cooperation among Muslim-majority countries, calling
on Muslim leaders to “no longer serve as shields for American
bases” while denouncing Israel as a “faltering” regime that was nearing
“the final stages of its cursed life.”
Khamenei’s
message came as the United States, Israel, and Iran remain locked in a
tense standoff following months of fighting that included U.S. and
Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear and military facilities, Iranian
retaliation across the region, and disruptions to shipping in the Strait
of Hormuz.
An aspect of the conflict's wider impact that is not being discussed in mainstream media is the increase in terrorist activity since the outbreak of hostilities initially between Israel and Iran around three months ago. Iran had long been known as the main sponsor of The Muslim Brotherhood, an organisation formed to take jihad into the western democracies. Yet many western leaders are so committed to virtue signalling they refuse to ban the organisation.
Although the ceasefire Trump negotiated has largely held for the past month, with only minor violations by both sides, negotiations
continue over a proposed memorandum of understanding intended to end
hostilities and establish a framework for future talks.
U.S. President Donald Trump said
on May 25 that negotiations with Tehran were “proceeding nicely” but
warned that failure to secure an acceptable agreement could lead to
renewed military action.
Earlier today we heard that overnight.US forces carried out “defensive” strikes on a
missile site and two Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) mine-laying boats, which officials said were targeting the United
States.
Iran immediately accused the US of violating the ceasefire (although to be fair both sides have been violating it on a daily basis,) and criticised the “bad faith and unreliability” of
Washington, adding that it would be held accountable for “all
consequences arising from these hostile acts”.
“Without any doubt,
the Islamic Republic of Iran will leave no aggression unanswered and
will not hesitate in defending Iran’s sovereignty with the utmost
determination,” the foreign ministry said in a statement.
And so it looks as if we are back to square one. Start stocking up your survival cupboards folks, oil and a lot of things that depend on oil are going to be in short supply for a while yet.
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So far Israel is the only winner in this war, they got what they wanted - the destruction of Arab countries in the gulf and Lebanon. As usual the Arabs & Iran were placed to fight each other as is common practice to have neighboring countries fight each other - most recently Ukraine & Russia, in the past France and Germany, China and Japan, Russia and Turkey, etc.. Trump has also diverted oil tankers from the Gulf to Houston, Lousiana, Alaska, Venezuela . .. thus capitalising on the disruption of Arab country oil resources and suply lines.
The same was done in the early days of the war in Ukraine. The Biden adminitration destroyed with sanctions and sabotage the vital flow of cheap oil and gas from Russia to the European Union and NATO member states. The main purpose of that escapade was to steal away the oil market from Russia and place the market under 100% US control. The US stole the entire oil and LNG market away from Russia under pretext of the war to liberate Ukraine. Trump at least understands the world still runs on hydrocarbons, and is trying to re-establish US hegmony by controlling that vital resource.
A factor in the longevity of the conflict in Ukraine is that neither the Ukies nor the Russians really want peace. They are puruing ancient hatreds and appear to want to destroy each other. The same can be said of Israel (Zionism) and the Iranian Islamist regine.
This war is much the same. Under the pretext of liberating the oppressed people of Iran, the very predictable Iranian response of weaponising the Strait of Hormuz, has blocked all oil trade of the main middle east economies and enabled The USA to use the war as a pretext to steal the oil markets in the Middle East and shift them to the US , in effect stealing the oil markets again. It looks as if the purpose of the closing of the Strait of Hormuz is not Iran, it is to seize the oil market from the Arab countries and move this oil market to the US. A big gamble.
The longer the Arabs are landlocked, the easier to seize this market permanently. That is why opening the hormuz is not a priority for trump. the longer this war last and the more the Arabs fight with the Iranians the more damage to the oil infrastructure in the Gulf which will take 5 to 10 years to recover. In the meanwhile, trump will have seized the oil market from the Arabs.
The EU will have severe problems. They lack energy and airline traffic have already become severely curtailed because NATO jets have preference for jet fuel. Tourism will be severely constrained 2026, fuel costs for business, domestic and transport use are rocketing and a rapid rise in the cost of living is driving many European citizens into poverty.