No Donald, More Sanctions Will Not Defeat Iran

 For years Iran has confronted the power duopoly of the USA and Isrsel in the Middle East in spite of the crippling economic sanctions imposed by the US and its allies. The region was dominated by a hostile American superpower, a nuclear-armed and militarily superior Israel, and significant local actors—Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates—that were strategically and economically aligned with the United States.

That situation held for many years as support from China and Russia blunted most of the intended effects of sanctions and enhanced the Iranian theocracy's ability  to convince its citizens they were involved in a holy war and their suffering would be rewarded in heaven. Unfortunately part of the holy war the Iranian government did not make such a big deal of was their sponsorship of terrorist activities, mainly against the key US ally in the Middle East, Israel.

 Unfortunately Hamas, the jihadist group in Palestine, grew overconfident and on October 7 2023 carried out an atrocity that killed over 1200 Israeli civilians, with hundreds more taken hostage and many women and girls raped. Israel had to respond by attacking Hamas in Gaza, Iran struck Israel and the situation slowly escalated until this year when the USA in support of its ally, engaged Iran in full scale war.

The conflict should have been a walkover for the US military bu Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz is a more useful instrument of power than all of The Pentagon's nuclear arsenal would be. A nuclear weapon might deter an attack, but control of the strait gives Iran leverage every day, over the flow of oil, liquid petroleum gas hydrocarbons from the Gulf States to dozens of countries around the world. With it, By weaponising Hormuz Iran can reward friends, punish enemies, extract revenue, force the loosening of sanctions, and make governments think twice before taking sides against the turdbrains in Tehran. It can do all of this without firing a shot because with its artillery placed on the high ground overlooking the strait, all shipping passing through the waterway is vulnerable, so Iran needs to do litttle other than preserving the ability to threaten violence when necessary. 

Writing in the Atlantic the neo-con Robert Kagan ponders the consequences of a U.S. defeat in the middle east:

Iran Unleashed – The dominant power in the Middle East from now on will not be the U.S. or Israel but Iran. (archived) – Atlantic, Aug 23, 2026

For years, Iran confronted a balance of power in the Middle East that tilted against it. The region was dominated by a hostile American superpower, a nuclear-armed and militarily superior Israel, and significant local actors—Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates—that were strategically and economically aligned with the United States.

Today finds Iran in entirely new circumstances. It has gone head-to-head with the superpower and Israel, withstood a pounding from their most advanced weapons, and more than survived. As a result, Iran has, with help from the USA, completely reconfigured the power structure of the Middle East and the Persian Gulf. The dominant power in the region going forward will be Iran, not the U.S. or Israel. Neighbouring countries are already making their adjustments to this new reality. More distant powers will too. For years, the world has been dealing with an Iran constrained. It will now discover what Iran unleashed looks like.

Kagan says that Iran does not need a treaty, MoU, or any other deal  with the U.S.  It does not even need nuclear weapons.  Sanctions against Iran will not help, it is a hue country and can be self sufficient in food, fuel and the necessities without support from China and Russia (which it still has BTW.):

Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz is a more useful instrument of power than a nuclear weapon would be. A nuclear weapon might deter an attack, but control of the strait gives Iran leverage every day, over dozens of countries. With it, Iran can reward friends, punish enemies, extract revenue, force the loosening of sanctions, and make governments think twice before opposing Iranian policies. It can do all of this without firing a shot, and while preserving the ability to threaten violence when necessary.

The sanctions strategy that for decades served to isolate Iran rested on international cooperation. Nations that depend on access to the strait—Japan and South Korea, for example—will have to choose between access to a reliable energy supply and participation in American-backed sanctions. Will they choose solidarity with Washington—this Washington—over their economic interests? In the new order that Iran is creating, a global sanctions regime is likely to be unsustainable.

Throughout the  current conflict the US has repeatedly disregarded, downplayed or derided the Iranian’s ability to military defend themselves and inflict pain on American assets.   Washington's arrogant attitude  towards the Iranians has seen over 90 US military aircraft, worth more than 10 billion dollars destroyed, the operational destruction of at three quarters of the 20 US military bases in the Middle East built over the last 40 years, the destruction of the 5th fleet’s naval HQ and of all 8 major radar instillations in the Middle east worth between 5-8 billion dollars.  Officially 18 US military deaths (unofficial numbers that include US private military, US civilian contractors and soldiers who died “later” due to their injuries are estimated at over 1500!) and of course the loss of roughly 25% of world wide supply of oil and oil-related products (fertiliser, sulphur, helium, nitrogen, asphalt, etc..).  The Americans have constantly talked about Iran as if it was a rotten house and one good kick would bring down the entire rotten structure.

But when sanctions have failed, to suggest the solution is more sanctions indicates Washington is out of ideas for ending this conflict.

FROM THE ARCHIVE< a href="https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/08/war-on-iran-borg-concedes-loss-of-control.html#comments" target="_blank">:

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EXPLORE:
[Daily Stirrer] ... [ Our Page on on Substack ]... [Boggart Aboad] ... [ Ian Thorpe at Quora ] ... [ Greenteeth Home ] ... [ Greenteeth on Minds.com ] ... [ Here Come The Russians ] ... [ Latest Posts ] ... [ Blog Bulletin ]

IRGC States Not One Drop Of Oil Will Pass Through The Strait Of Hormuz As Full Scale Conflict Resumes

 

Amid amid large scale exchanges of missile and drone fire across The PersianGulf  today between Iranian and US forces, we can be sure that the Trump-Netayahu on-off-on war with Iran is on again. The battle for Hormuz has ramped up after the United States has undertaken three consecutive nights of major bombing raids against Iranian targets.

 The IRGC says they targeted enemy weapons and parts storages in Bahrain and Kuwait. This after the US appeared to attack some critical Iranian infrastructure on coastal islands.

 Later the IRGC has issued a fresh statement via state media on Tuesday, saying that "as long as the US evil stays in the middle east, not a drop of oil and gas will be exported from the region." It said further, per the press release that US aggression will have no result other than delaying the opening of the Strait of Hormuz.

All the while President Trump is said to be "very serious" about his plan to impose a 20% toll on cargo transiting through the Strait of Hormuz, a Semafor report says, citing a White House official who says the president has desired such a plan for months. Both warring sides are insisting that it is their side alone which will be 'guardian' over the strait. 

ABC is meanwhile reporting during the mid-afternoon (US time) that American airstrikes on Iran have been underway for the last couple of course. And yet still, Iran's IRIB has said that the Islamic Republic "must control the entire Hormuz Strait in wartime".

That oil is the main weapon of Iran and the primary fear of USA is obvious. They thought the MOU would allow free access to every ship in both directions through The Strait Of Hormuz. Well, this is what they get for thinking they can out - bluff the Iranians. Why would Iran allow any unfriendly ships to pass when the US military started violating the clauses before, during and after the signing?? They knew this and got their oil out as fast as they could and used the American threats to drag their feet on the other vessels.
 
China reimporting is most likely refilling their reserves. An article a few weeks back indicated China wasn’t interested in Iranian oil and all the vessels headed there will be disappointed. Well, it was a propaganda piece. They were parking there because they knew the MOU was just buying time. Time Iran has used wisely, time the US squandered because it and its friends were not able to refill their reserves. 

In total some 7 m bpd exited the Gulf region through new outlets. The releases from reserves and the lifting of sanctions contributed to additional supplies of some 3-5 m bpd. The reduction of Chinese import demand amounted to some 5 m bpd.

Due to all the above measures the global supply of about 100 m bpd only shrank to about 92-95 m bpd. Global demand, especially due to the Chinese measures, dropped to a nearly equal balance. The amount that was still missing in this rough calculation was drawn from reserves within the distribution and transport levels.

After all measures were in place demand and supply were balanced again and oil prices came down to a normal level of some $70+/bl.

When U.S. President Donald Trump decided to reignite the conflict he might have thought that the oil problem he had feared had gone away. He was wrong.

FROM THE ARCHIVE: 

 

 

Just How Close Are We To World War Three
Have you read or heard in your news supplier of choice of the recent massive troop movements in Israel, the massive build up of British, French and American warships around the approaches to the Persian gulf or just how badly the situations in Egypt and Libya have deteriorated since ...

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Syrian president Bashar Assad could be allowed a free pass to flee his country if it would end the bloodshed, David Cameron said today. The Prime Minister said he would do ‘anything to get that man [Assad] out of the country’ but refused to offer Assad a safe haven in Britain. Mr Cameron is on the second day of ...

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If the conflict in Syria, currently showing signs of spreading to Turkey, Iraq and Kurdistan were to escalate into a regional war, a proxy for east and west to butt heads without sustaining too much domestic damage, is Egypt likely to take advantage of the distraction and

EXPLORE:
[Daily Stirrer] ... [ Our Page on on Substack ]... [Boggart Aboad] ... [ Ian Thorpe at Quora ] ... [ Greenteeth Home ] ... [ Greenteeth on Minds.com ] ... [ Here Come The Russians ] ... [ Latest Posts ] ... [ Blog Bulletin ]

The War With Iran Is On - No It's Off - No It's On Again

 

The UK Maritime Trade Operations centre (UKMTO) reported late on Tuesday afternoon that it had received imformation about a tanker being hit by an Iranian drone and sustaining "minor structural damage" while passing through the  Strait of Hormuz., the gas and oil transit chokepoint at the entrance to the Persian Gulf.

The agency said no casualties or environmental impacted had been reported so far and that the vessel was "continuing to its next port of call".

Around 40 minutes earlier, UKMTO said another tanker was reportedly struck by an "unidentified projectile" in the Strait, taking "structural damage". Again no casualties have been reported, it added.

The agency is investigating the incidents and advised vessels in the area to proceed with caution.

Early on Tuesday morning, a third ship reported being hit in the region by an "unknown projectile on the port side," causing a fire, per UKMTO.

According to the agency, the ship was sailing south out of the Strait, close to Limah, Oman. Again, it said there were no recorded casualties or impacts to the environment.

Iran's Fars News Agency claimed one of the ships struck in the Strait is the Al-Ruqayat, which was targeted after allegedly ignoring IRGC navy warnings while passing through the Strait's Omani route. Tehran has said only its approved route through the Strait of HOrmuz is safe. The elite Iranian IRGC resiment did not directly claim the assault, but The Wall Street Journal reported that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) had fired at two commercial ships.

Majed Al Ansari, a spokesperson for Qatar's foreign ministry, has condemned the attack on the Qatari tanker, calling it an "unacceptable attack on the security & safety of international maritime navigation".

Ansari added that the government of Qatar held Iran "fully legally responsible for this attack & for any resulting damages & consequences".

The Strait of Hormuz has been at the centre of tensions between Washington and Tehran and is a key part in the "memorandum of understanding" agreed by the two sides in June, but constant violations suggest a deal to end the war is as far off as ever

Iran had effectively closed off the Strait after the US launched military action against Iran in February, sparking chaos in global energy markets. Iran's latest violations of the fragile ceasefire come as the world waited for President Trump's response to attacks on commercial shipping at the end of last month. Many commentators opine that negotiations will collapse and full scale war will erupt again as Iran continues to weaponise the strait against The USA and Israel.

Brent crude oil rose 1.4pc to $73 a barrel following the strike, which Iranian state television said happened after the liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker ignored warnings. Crude oil and Brent is still lower than when the Iran war started and the Gas price before the Ukrainian War started. Yet our petrol is 20p a litre higher and The Energy Cap is 30% higher. We are being totally ripped off and shop prices continue to rocket dur to the transport and energy costs. The cost of living crisis is being ignored by the media but it's forcing millions into debt or poverty. 

Oil as a commodity is INCREDIBLY cheap. Just look at a 25 year timeline and take inflation into account. It is the stinking greedy Government that is milking us.

And UK's crazy 'Minister for Net Zero' Ed Miliband is hellbent on locking us into the highest electricity prices in the developed world.

FROM THE ARCHIVE: 

 

 

 

Just How Close Are We To World War Three
Have you read or heard in your news supplier of choice of the recent massive troop movements in Israel, the massive build up of British, French and American warships around the approaches to the Persian gulf or just how badly the situations in Egypt and Libya have deteriorated since ...

Irony Overload: Iran Warns Obama Not To Cross Red Lines
the United States concluded an agreement with Iran which lifted US and International sanctions in return for Islamic Shi'ite Republic agreeing to limit their nuclear ability. At a high level, the US would lead the way in lifting oil and financial sanctions imposed due to Iran’s nuclear programs; in return Iran would reduce their stockpile of enriched uranium,

"West's War In Syria Is Part Of A Global war Waged By The USA And Its Dupes Allies Against Russia"
Arthur Foxake brings us a brilliant analysis of the geopolitical picture from the black Sea and Middle East, but ahead of the embed window we get a few of Arthur's own thoughts on the situation

Labour leader Corbyn rejects bombing Syria, blames BRITAIN and the US for the rise of ISIS: because it will spark more ‘mayhem’
Though the story is from The Daily Mail which, we expect to be one of the new Labour leader's greatest critics, it's good to see Mainstream Media actually reporting one of the things Jezza is getting right. Obviously he reads The Daily Stirrer because we've been saying since ISIS were pulled out of ...

How Hillary Clinton Planned The Syrian Holocaust We bring you evidence that the destruction of Syria was planned by the USA and Israel long before the US engineered 'spontaneous uprising'known as The Arab Spring ...

Another Obama Sponsored Genocide - not Alawi or Christians In Syria but Yazidi in Iraq.
While the west has been distracted by events in Gaza and Ukraine, and the neo - fascist 'left' have suddenly discovered the joys of anti Russianism and anti Semitism, the FUKUS axis sponsored genocidists of ISIS have discovered another inoffensive minority to exterminate now that the Syriac Christians have fled.

More Than ISIS, Iraq’s Sunni Insurgency
The story emerging in Iraq is of another American foreign policy fuck up, a total misreading of the situation by the world's most parochial global power. By December 2013, Sunni leaders had become tired of the jihadi group the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) actions in their areas and publicly supported the Iraq government’s military campaign against the group’s bases. Unfortunately the ISIS rebels were armed with US military technology and Obama was calling for the resignation of the government in Baghdad, prompting Russia and Iran to support them ...

Poison Gas Used In Syria Sparks Calls For Western Military Invasion
Claims circulating in Washington, London and Brussels that chemical weapons have been used in the Syrian conflict have prompted less conspiracy theories and more intelligent discussion that we might expect. Even so commentators in mainstream media have divided into two opposing camps – those who believe that President Obama's failure to ...

Islamic Cleric Announces Fatwah Allowing The Legal Rape Of Syrian Women By Anti Assad Rebels

An Islamic cleric has pronounced a fatwa that permits US-backed FSA rebels to rape non-Sunni women in Syria as part of a "sexual jihad" that has so far involved girls as young as 14 being transported to remote areas of the country to service the needs of ...

France sends more troops to Mali as UN backs intervention

A contingent of 750 French troops has joined the offensive against Islamist rebels in Mali, French president Francois Hollande said in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday after France secured fresh UN backing for its military action

Over 4000 Civilians Have Died In Forgotten War. As attention has focused on Syria ans then on the efforts of the Obama administration, in its dying months, to avenge the defeat of the anointed successor Hillary Clinton and discredit the election victor and President - elect Donald Trump, and simultaneously demonize Russia and President Putin I Would Do anything To Get Assad Out Of Syria Says Cameron
Syrian president Bashar Assad could be allowed a free pass to flee his country if it would end the bloodshed, David Cameron said today. The Prime Minister said he would do ‘anything to get that man [Assad] out of the country’ but refused to offer Assad a safe haven in Britain. Mr Cameron is on the second day of ...

Will Egypt Seize Libya For Its Oil

If the conflict in Syria, currently showing signs of spreading to Turkey, Iraq and Kurdistan were to escalate into a regional war, a proxy for east and west to butt heads without sustaining too much domestic damage, is Egypt likely to take advantage of the distraction and

EXPLORE:
[Daily Stirrer] ... [ Our Page on on Substack ]... [Boggart Aboad] ... [ Ian Thorpe at Quora ] ... [ Greenteeth Home ] ... [ Greenteeth on Minds.com ] ... [ Here Come The Russians ] ... [ Latest Posts ] ... [ Blog Bulletin ]

Yes, Iran Has Actually Closed The Strait Of Hormuz Again

 

 

After a news pantomime last night and earlier today (Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz ... Oh no they haven't ... Oh yes they have,) it has finally been confirmed that Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz once again over Israel's air strikes on Hezbollah positions in Lebanon, which Iran describes as“violations” of the peace deal agreed with the USA, Tehran’s military has said. Technically Hezbollah is not part of Trump's war and the conflict between the terrorit organisation's forces in Lebanon and the Israelis is a separate issue.

The Iranian military command ‌stated the closure was the “first ‌step” in response to what it described as breaches of the ceasefire agreement, warning that further measures would ‌be taken if “aggression” continued, Iran's state media reported.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) warned vessels not to venture into  the shipping lanes through the strait, saying their security would be at risk.

The US military immediately denied that Iran had control of the strait. A spokesman for Central Command said: “Traffic continues to move through the strait, and US forces are monitoring the situation ‌to ensure this remains the case.”

The reports emerged as JD Vance, the US vice-president, told Fox ​News that ‌he was confident ​the ceasefire agreed in Washington’s 14-point deal ⁠with ⁠Tehran would hold. He claimed there was no evidence that the strait was shut. That may well be true but it is equally true that there is no evidence it is open. What captain is going to risk his ship and the lives of himself and his crew trying to find out.

Independent reports reveal Israeli strikes on Lebanon killed 16 people this morning, with the country claiming it was responding to attacks by Hezbollah.But these strikes are nothing to do with Trump or America.

Israel is not the USA. Israel is a sovereign state, whether Iran recognises its right to exist or not. (Spoiler, it doesn't.) Israel is not a signatory. to the Islamabad Memorandum. Hezbollah is not the government of Lebanon and neither are its commanders the IRGC.

Israel is not leaving the buffer zone south of the Litani river and is not allowing Hezbollah to rearm and return to the border to carry out another Hamas style, or worse, October 7th.Hezbollah is a proscribed terrorist group and is widely recognised as an  Iranian asset.

The Lebanese army are too weak to control the 90,000 strong Iranian proxy militia, Hezbollah.

UNIFIL (The United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon) set up in 2006 has not succeeded disarming Hezbollah and not keeping them north of the Lebanon / Israel  border.Thus it is wholly disingenuous of Iran to use the Israel - Hezbollah conflict as an excuse for closing Hormuz again, and suggests the government of Iran had no intention of honouring the peace deal. No surprise there.

So much for treaties not worth the paper they are written on. So much for useless UN bodies which are actually in favour of the erasure of Israel.

UPDATE - Sunday 21 June, 22:00

Though White House and Pentagon sources have continued throughout today that contrary to Iran's claims The Strait of Hormuz remains open for business as usual, Windward on X has this:

 Hours after the IRGC's closure announcement, AIS traffic through the Strait of Hormuz suggested business as usual. But overnight, the picture shifted: zero AIS transits were recorded through the strait, and only two non-Iranian commercial vessels were AIS-visible this morning. Hesitation is back in an already unpredictable corridor. 

 So as another round of talks, this time in Switzerland, breaks up it looks as though the war is still on

 

 

 

FROM THE ARCHIVE: 

 

 

Just How Close Are We To World War Three
Have you read or heard in your news supplier of choice of the recent massive troop movements in Israel, the massive build up of British, French and American warships around the approaches to the Persian gulf or just how badly the situations in Egypt and Libya have deteriorated since ...

Irony Overload: Iran Warns Obama Not To Cross Red Lines
the United States concluded an agreement with Iran which lifted US and International sanctions in return for Islamic Shi'ite Republic agreeing to limit their nuclear ability. At a high level, the US would lead the way in lifting oil and financial sanctions imposed due to Iran’s nuclear programs; in return Iran would reduce their stockpile of enriched uranium,

"West's War In Syria Is Part Of A Global war Waged By The USA And Its Dupes Allies Against Russia"
Arthur Foxake brings us a brilliant analysis of the geopolitical picture from the black Sea and Middle East, but ahead of the embed window we get a few of Arthur's own thoughts on the situation

Labour leader Corbyn rejects bombing Syria, blames BRITAIN and the US for the rise of ISIS: because it will spark more ‘mayhem’
Though the story is from The Daily Mail which, we expect to be one of the new Labour leader's greatest critics, it's good to see Mainstream Media actually reporting one of the things Jezza is getting right. Obviously he reads The Daily Stirrer because we've been saying since ISIS were pulled out of ...

How Hillary Clinton Planned The Syrian Holocaust We bring you evidence that the destruction of Syria was planned by the USA and Israel long before the US engineered 'spontaneous uprising'known as The Arab Spring ...

Another Obama Sponsored Genocide - not Alawi or Christians In Syria but Yazidi in Iraq.
While the west has been distracted by events in Gaza and Ukraine, and the neo - fascist 'left' have suddenly discovered the joys of anti Russianism and anti Semitism, the FUKUS axis sponsored genocidists of ISIS have discovered another inoffensive minority to exterminate now that the Syriac Christians have fled.

More Than ISIS, Iraq’s Sunni Insurgency
The story emerging in Iraq is of another American foreign policy fuck up, a total misreading of the situation by the world's most parochial global power. By December 2013, Sunni leaders had become tired of the jihadi group the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) actions in their areas and publicly supported the Iraq government’s military campaign against the group’s bases. Unfortunately the ISIS rebels were armed with US military technology and Obama was calling for the resignation of the government in Baghdad, prompting Russia and Iran to support them ...

Poison Gas Used In Syria Sparks Calls For Western Military Invasion
Claims circulating in Washington, London and Brussels that chemical weapons have been used in the Syrian conflict have prompted less conspiracy theories and more intelligent discussion that we might expect. Even so commentators in mainstream media have divided into two opposing camps – those who believe that President Obama's failure to ...

Islamic Cleric Announces Fatwah Allowing The Legal Rape Of Syrian Women By Anti Assad Rebels

An Islamic cleric has pronounced a fatwa that permits US-backed FSA rebels to rape non-Sunni women in Syria as part of a "sexual jihad" that has so far involved girls as young as 14 being transported to remote areas of the country to service the needs of ...

France sends more troops to Mali as UN backs intervention

A contingent of 750 French troops has joined the offensive against Islamist rebels in Mali, French president Francois Hollande said in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday after France secured fresh UN backing for its military action

Over 4000 Civilians Have Died In Forgotten War. As attention has focused on Syria ans then on the efforts of the Obama administration, in its dying months, to avenge the defeat of the anointed successor Hillary Clinton and discredit the election victor and President - elect Donald Trump, and simultaneously demonize Russia and President Putin I Would Do anything To Get Assad Out Of Syria Says Cameron
Syrian president Bashar Assad could be allowed a free pass to flee his country if it would end the bloodshed, David Cameron said today. The Prime Minister said he would do ‘anything to get that man [Assad] out of the country’ but refused to offer Assad a safe haven in Britain. Mr Cameron is on the second day of ...

Will Egypt Seize Libya For Its Oil

If the conflict in Syria, currently showing signs of spreading to Turkey, Iraq and Kurdistan were to escalate into a regional war, a proxy for east and west to butt heads without sustaining too much domestic damage, is Egypt likely to take advantage of the distraction and

EXPLORE:
[Daily Stirrer] ... [ Our Page on on Substack ]... [Boggart Aboad] ... [ Ian Thorpe at Quora ] ... [ Greenteeth Home ] ... [ Greenteeth on Minds.com ] ... [ Here Come The Russians ] ... [ Latest Posts ] ... [ Blog Bulletin ]

Futures - Some Speculations On How The Forever Wars May Change The World

contributed by Hugh Jarse, 4 June 2026 

 

It seems peace talks between the USA and Iran have now stalled completely thanks to the intervention of the Israelis although whether there were ever realistic hope for a lasting peace and full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz seaway will probably never be known.

What this means to the west and the democratic nations of south east Asia and the Pacific area is that we are in for prolonged high prices for fuel, disruption of supply lines and soaring cost of living as Russia and China take advantage of the situation to turn the screws and squeeze western economies.

Another possibility is Iran will fall. Unfortunate but the possibility exits. Instead of shutting out the possibility Russia should  plan (and probably has,)to turn it into a grand opportunity. If Iran is weakened it will be likely  to host Russian military bases in the country to counter the threat from Israel. Russia has been asking this but thus far Iran has refused. Very bad memories of WW2 events when Russia joined the evil empires. Having a military presence in the Strait of Hormuz is a game changer for Russia. Unlike Iran, Russia can’t be negotiated away from assuming a hostile position. 

This would create a massive bargaining chip to force surrender of Lewinsky Zelensky regime (pun so intended), lift petroleum sanctions against Russia (or Arab oil goes nowhere), a warm water port in Chabahar for nuclear submarines that more than compensate for the loss of Black Sea and Baltic Sea exits. Azerbaijan stands in the way of total Russian domination of the region. 

This Turkish outpost is a threat to the region. It’s easy game. Thereafter Oman too can be cleared paving the way for Iran to control the entire Arabic coastline other than inlets. Djibouti and surrounds are already pro-Iranian thanks to the Al-Shabab and Houthi alliance. The decision makers in the north see this once in a century opportunity. But all depends on a weakened Iran. It’s still strong. Let the fools do all the hard work of weakening Iran before Russia moves, that's how the Russians have always worked.    

It’s not well known that Russia is one of the leading exporters of foodstuffs, grains especially. Its farmers believe Russia has the ability to solve what they call the food problem, meaning global hunger. Within Russia and the Central Asian EAEU members, there’s a vast amount of land that can be cultivated or made into pasture, plus the advances  in greenhouse farming is remarkable allowing crops to be grown in what are very marginal climates. While governments in the UK and Europe obsess over crackpot policies like Net Zero, 'rewilding and importing all food and manufactured goods (paid for with money borrowed from China via the global banks,) the nations our leaders tell us are 'The Bad Guys' have positioned themselves to take advantage of the sentimental stupidities that pass for economic policy in the developed nations.

We should also look at the advances African nations have made toward attaining food sovereignty with help from Russia and China. The nations most affected by the fertiliser shortage caused first by the sanctions imposed on Russia for its action against the Ukronazis in Kiev and now exacerbated by the much reduced flow of goods out of The Persian Gulf, are those with industrial agriculture methods including the use of GM seeds whose high yields depend on those inputs. 

This kind of response from Russia and China is understandable, the US and Europe have been working to impoverish Russia since before 1945, and has colonised and exploited Africa since way before then, and has been no friend to China until it suited the elites and the global banks to use China as the world's workshop because of its low labour costs and a totalitarian systrem of government unencumbered by the lobbying of 'save-the-planet' screechers.
 

As things stand it looks increasingly possible the USA and Europe will lose the current set of wars that we are undertaking. Prolonged war would leave European Russia severely damaged.  Asian Russia and Central Asia are likely to survive mostly intact and have a convenient long border with China.  The US and Europe will continue to promote war and submission in Africa, but that is coming to an end due to growing Chinese influence on the dark continent. None of the west's leaders appear to possess the testicular fortitude to risk pissing off the Chinese as they have the Russians   

After the west's capitulation, Asian Russia would probably become very prosperous.  Prosperous enough to rebuild European Russia, and then help with other regions after that.  Africa will steadily grow and become an independent continent.  If they become mostly internally peaceful with respect to each other, Africa will prosper.
 
The US has the ability to destroy lots of the world before it loses, and the odds of the US unleashing nukes is not zero.  However, if the Democrats retake the White House at the end of the Trump presidency and revert to the loonytoons policies of the Obama and Biden eras, the ability of the US to control other nations will become close to non-existent.  Even if the Epstein class relocates to Argentina, their wealth and power will be substantially reduced.  Thus we can be reasonably optimistic about the long term future of humanity on the planet Earth.  It’s just the short term we should be concerned about.

Another possibility is Iran will fall. Unfortunate but the possibility exits. Instead of shutting out to the possibility Russia should plan to turn it into a grand opportunity. If Iran is weakened Iran will likely host Russian military bases in the country. Russia has been asking this but thus far Iran has refused. Very bad memories of WW2 events when Russia joined the evil empires. 

Having a military presence in the Strait of Hormuz would be a game changer for Russia. Unlike Iran, Russia can’t be negotiated away from assuming a hostile position. A massive bargaining chip to force surrender of Lewinsky Zelensky regime (pun so intended), lift petroleum sanctions against Russia (or Arab oil goes nowhere), a warm water port in Chabahar for nuclear submarines that more than compensate for the loss of Black Sea and Baltic Sea exits. 

Azerbaijan stands in the way of total Russian domination of the region. This Turkish outpost is a threat to the region. It’s easy game. Thereafter Oman too can be cleared paving the way for Iran to control the entire Arabic coastline other than inlets. Djibouti and surrounds are already pro-Iranian thanks to the Al-Shabab and Houthi alliance. Hope the decision makers in the north see this once in a century opportunity. 

But all this depends on a weakened Iran. It’s still strong. Let the fools do all the hard work of weakening Iran before Russia moves the knight. Oh a byproduct will be the collapse of the entity hanging north of the Red Sea.  

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Trump Says Deal With Iran Is Close - Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei Says 'Death To America'

 

 

Two days ago US President Donald Trump told a White House press briefing an agreement with Iran has been "largely negotiated" and details will be announced soon.

The deal would include the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, he said on Saturday, without giving further details.

Trump wrote on social media that he had a "very good call" with the leaders of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and others about a "Memorandum of Understanding pertaining to PEACE".

"An agreement has been largely negotiated, subject to finalisation between the United States of America, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the various other Countries, as listed," his Truth Social read.

In response an Iranian foreign ministry spokesman told state television that US and Iranian positions had been converging in the last week, but warned that did not mean agreements would be reached on key issues and accused the Americans of "contradictory statements.

A British Prime Minister of the 1960 once famously said 'A week is a long time in politics.' That was then and this is now, a digital age of information overload when a week is almost eternity and Two days is an aeon.

 While Tump was again calling for peace today (May 26 ), Iranian leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei issued a message  calling for greater unity across the Muslim world against the United States and Israel, saying that the chants “Death to America” and “Death to Israel” will become the rallying slogans of Muslims and “the oppressed of the world.” 

Khamenei’s message was to mark Hajj, the annual Islamic pilgrimage. In it, Khamenei described a historic struggle against U.S. and Israeli influence in the Middle East, repeatedly invoking the revolutionary slogan “Allahu Akbar” as the “weapon” that had enabled Iran and its allies to resist outside pressure.

He said Iran had succeeded in “making the Zionist regime helpless under its severe blows during the second imposed war” and in delivering “a harsh slap to aggressive America,” while thwarting efforts to force Tehran into submission.

The statement also praised what it called the “Resistance Front,” saying Iranian forces and allied fighters in Lebanon had secured “notable victories” against “the two terrorist armies, armed to the teeth by the American-Zionist side.”

Khamenei coupled the aggressive rhetoric with a broader appeal for cooperation among Muslim-majority countries, calling on Muslim leaders to “no longer serve as shields for American bases” while denouncing Israel as a “faltering” regime that was nearing “the final stages of its cursed life.”

Khamenei’s message came as the United States, Israel, and Iran remain locked in a tense standoff following months of fighting that included U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear and military facilities, Iranian retaliation across the region, and disruptions to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

An aspect of the conflict's wider impact that is not being discussed in mainstream media is the increase in terrorist activity since the outbreak of hostilities initially between Israel and Iran around three months ago. Iran had long been known as the main sponsor of The Muslim Brotherhood, an organisation formed to take jihad into the western democracies. Yet many western leaders are so committed to virtue signalling they refuse to ban the organisation. 

Although the ceasefire Trump negotiated has largely held for the past month, with only minor violations by both sides, negotiations continue over a proposed memorandum of understanding intended to end hostilities and establish a framework for future talks.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on May 25 that negotiations with Tehran were “proceeding nicely” but warned that failure to secure an acceptable agreement could lead to renewed military action.

Earlier today we heard that overnight.US forces carried out “defensive” strikes on a missile site and two Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) mine-laying boats, which officials said were targeting the United States.

Iran immediately accused the US of violating the ceasefire (although to be fair both sides have been violating it on a daily basis,) and criticised the “bad faith and unreliability” of Washington, adding that it would be held accountable for “all consequences arising from these hostile acts”.

“Without any doubt, the Islamic Republic of Iran will leave no aggression unanswered and will not hesitate in defending Iran’s sovereignty with the utmost determination,” the foreign ministry said in a statement.

And so it looks as if we are back to square one. Start stocking up your survival cupboards folks, oil and a lot of things that depend on  oil are going to be in short supply for a while yet.

FROM THE ARCHIVE:. 

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Ceasefire in Ukraine? Peace Deal With Iran? Don't Hold Your Breath

 

This weekend President Donald Trump has been busy claiming a deal with Iran to end the latest Gulf war, which includes the repening of the Strait of Hormuz is 'almost complete.' whatever that means. Nither side is giving away much in terms of what precisely might be in the deal, with President Trump having earlier said he's in no hurry. But we can hope weekend contains some of the most positive momentum towards an actual peace deal and extended ceasefire to date. The New York Times (NYT) has the latest information:

Iran’s leaders or official state media have not publicly commented on what is in any potential agreement or what is being discussed. Over the last 24 hours, Iranian and U.S. officials have offered some conflicting depictions of what a deal might contain. On Sunday, the U.S. official said a deal had not yet been signed and was still subject to final approval from President Trump and Iran’s supreme leader, which could take days.

The senior U.S. official said the mechanism by which Iran would dispose of its highly enriched uranium was still being negotiated. Mr. Trump has insisted that the United States seize the material as part of his vow to curb Iran’s nuclear program.

Mr. Trump said in a social media post earlier on Sunday that he had ordered his negotiators “not to rush into a deal,” after saying a day earlier that a preliminary agreement between the two countries was “largely negotiated.”

But Trump is taking some political flak both at home and in Israel, for potentially agreeing to a deal which cedes too much ground to Tehran - or at least that's the growing criticism of the hawks.

Meanwhile in the Black Sea region a drone strike on a student dorm in Russian-controlled Luhansk killed 18 people and triggered rescue efforts. The attack sparked a sharp UN clash as Moscow weighed retaliation and Kyiv denied targeting civilians..

Denial or no, retribution was swift and terrible as an overnight bombardment kills four and destroyed many targets in one of Russia’s most wide-reaching assaults since start of war. 

Russia unleashed hundreds of drones and missiles on Kyiv overnight, including a nuclear-capable hypersonic missile.

The Oreshnik, an intermediate-range ballistic missile designed to carry nuclear warheads, hit the town of Bila Tserkva in the Kyiv region, 50 miles south of the capital, Ukrainian officials confirmed.

The weapon, which travels 10 times faster than the speed of sound, has been said to be impossible to intercept. Footage purporting to show the strike on Sunday appeared to show its characteristic clusters of projectiles streaking towards the ground.

And so the wars in Ukraine and the Middle east go on like a merry go round and every news repoprts starts to sound like deja vu all over again.. 

This item was posted today by Karlofi on MoA. We bring it to you not because Boggart Blog either agrees or disagrees with the content but because we feel it offers an insight into Russia's current thinking on the world situuation in the light of wars in Ukraine and Iran.

Far too much of the propaganda published in western media about both these wars has plugged the good guys versus bad guys theme with the western alliance presented as the good guys wearing white hats while Russia and Iran respectively are bad guys. Naturally Russia and Iran take the opposite view.

Unfortunately nothing is ever that simple. 

* 

Today, Russia’s MFA issued a “statement on the end of the Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons” that deals with the Twin War Crimes on Iran and their effect on the NPT. The first three paragraphs are translated below:
 

Against the backdrop of the landslide degradation of regional and global security, characterized by a significant increase in threats and an increase in the role of the force factor in international relations, the conference demonstrated sharp contradictions between many States Parties to the Treaty, which together became decisive both for the course and content of the discussions, and for the overall outcome of the event.
 
 
The most serious obstacle to the implementation of the tasks facing the forum was the aggression of Israel and the United States against Iran, carried out in June 2025 and February-March 2026 under the far-fetched pretext of “protecting” the nuclear non-proliferation regime. The use of the Treaty to settle political scores and justify the use of force has taken place before. However, the current state of affairs has clearly revealed the disastrous consequences for the NPT that such unprovoked, unjustified and illegal actions entail. The conference was not ready to give a balanced assessment of the situation around Iran.
 
 
The “contribution” to the formation of an unfavorable atmosphere at the forum was made by the delegations of the “collective West”, who arrived in New York to solve their own political problems that have nothing to do with the subject of the NPT. They, primarily the EU countries and NATO members, as well as the Brussels European bureaucracy, in every possible way hindered an effective dialogue, promoting a destructive agenda focused mainly on criticism of Russia, China, Iran and the DPRK. [My Emphasis]

 
IMO, Western conduct at this meeting doesn’t bode well for any settlement of the twin War Crimes visited on Iran since the attack on the NPT is led by the Outlaw US Empire. Today, Lavrov was involved at the XXXIV Assembly of the Council on Foreign and Defence Policy, which is a very serious gathering that needs to be investigated deeper than the statement Lavrov made. Here’re its first several paragraphs:
 

The report mentioned by Chairman of the Presidium of the Council on Foreign and Defence Policy Fyodor Lukyanov is indeed very useful. It leads to many thoughts, including the idea that is increasingly making its way into the public space – whether everything we are experiencing is not another world war. There are arguments that are used to prove this particular statement. There are also qualitative signs that testify to a fundamentally different nature of hostilities, which has changed so much that, indeed, it is necessary to speak quite accurately about a war of a completely new type. In particular, President of the Association for the Export of Technological Sovereignty, Professor of MGIMO A.O. Bezrukov mentions this in his report.
 
 
I am sure we will talk about its global reach today. In Eurasia, it is already in full swing: following the aggression of Ukraine against Russia prepared by the West with another attempt to weaken our country, knock it out of the list of key world players, an operation began in the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz. There were clashes on the borders of large states in both the southern and eastern parts of the Asian continent. Not to mention Latin America, where not everything is finished, as we can understand.
 
 
Therefore, the coverage is global and universal. I think that historians will understand how much the intensity of each of these episodes and conflicts leads to a union called “World War” a little later. [My Emphasis]

 
Russia sees what’s happening in a very serious light, far more seriously than what’s being discussed in most media, and that’s the connections between the two conflicts, a reality often mentioned by barflies. The meeting’s general topic was “Time for Solutions: Russia in an Irreversibly Changed World.” Clearly, solutions are required but the criminal West doesn’t want to seek any that are based on justice and thus refuses to even communicate. 

 

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Will Artificial Intelligence Lead A Race Of Humandroids To A Golden Age Or Plunge Surviving Humans Into Dystopia
Around 60% of us ordinary punters in Europe, North Americans and the few other liberal democracies scattered around the world believe that AI poses a serious threat to humanity’s future, an impressive figure given the torrent of propaganda that flows past us each day aimed as persuading us to believe that Artificial Intelligence will usher in a golden age for humanity and that transhumanism, the merging of man and machine is the future for humanity ...

Government To cash In Emissions Credits To Keep Net Zero On Track While Relaxing Targets.
While many people welcomed the relaxations to Government 'Net Zero' policy announced by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, others pointed out that it would be illegal to abandon commitments to reducing carbon emissions as they are enshrined in law The Green Blob gleefully seized on this and attempted to undermine Sunak's small step towards common sense by claiming his initiative was merely a political ploy

Climate Scare Profiteer Bill Gates Makes Sudden U-Turn On Climate Doom Narrative
Microsoft co-founder, philanthropist, and climate alarmist Bill Gates has backtracked on 'climate doom' prophecies. The writing is on the wall for the political and financial elites, who have long championed imminent climate doom, realizing that the public sees through the charades.

"Go To Hell": Brave EU Politician Tells Globalist Politicians And Billionaire Psycopaths
As the pushback against an elitist power grab that would end democratic government and establish an authoritarian, technocratic global government struggles to gain momentum in the face of a torrent of scaremongering propaganda, Anderson, a member of Germany's AfD party, has been a consistently vociferous opponent of Klaus Schwab’s Word Economic Forum (WEF) and its ‘Great Reset’ and agenda 2030 power grab.

Will Germany be the first to ditch its net zero commitments?
Things are not going well in Germany’s bid to reach net zero by 2045, five years earlier even than Britain’s own unrealistic target. For months, the German government has been trying to devise a way to save its heavy industry from high energy prices which are sending production fleeing to Asia. Last year, chemicals giant BASF announced that it would invest in a new £10 billion plant in China, due to the cost of energy.

If You're Afraid Of Nuclear War You're Not Supporting Ukraine Enough Is Zelensky's Latest Message
The follow up to Elon Musk's refusal to open his Starlink satellite network for the benefit of Ukrainian military leaders as they fantasise about attacking Crimea and driving out the Russian occupying force this past week showcases how completely unhinged and dangerous the Ukrainian government's desire to escalate the war has become.

The Offshore Wind Fiasco Sets New Records For Government Incompetence
In an article on wind powered generators last week a science & technology writer showed himself in need of remedial education in basic literacy:"Meanwhile, 14GW of installed capacity puts us second in the world behind China," he burbled The problem here is inability to understand the meaning of 'installed capacity.' If it means a capability of generating 14GW of electricity, as it would if we were discussing gas, nuclear or coal that would be lovely ...

NatWest Imposes New Cash Limits In Latest Push Towards A Cashless Society
NatWest RBS banking group, which owns Coutts, the bank involved in the debanking of Nogel Farage story, and itself largely owned by the government on behalf of We The Taxpayerssince 2009, has granted itself “sweeping new powers” to limit the amount of cash customers can deposit and withdrawal, triggering warnings that banks are operating as a cartel to force customers towards abandoning cash completely and accepting a “cashless society” which would pave the way to electronic surveillance of our financial activity.

Pandemic Preparedness And The Road To International Fascism
The World Health Organization's broad definition of health embraces physical, mental and social well-being. Expressed in its 1946 constitution alongside concepts of community participation and national sovereignty, it reflected an understanding of a world emerging from centuries of colonialist oppression and the public health industry's shameful facilitation of fascism. But somewhere along the way those high minded ideals were lost ...

Brace Yourselves: The Impact Of The Ukraine War Is About To Start Hitting Us HarderWhile mainstream media in western Europe and North America continues to sing the paraises of Ukraine's armeed forces more perceptive people recognise that although the Ukrainians, supported by American and European weapons and cash, have fought bravely in resisting the onslaught faced over the past eighteen months, there is no doubt that in reality Ukraine is not winning, the country is being reduced to rubble.

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