Sorry to keep going on about Ukraine this week readers, but the major escalation in the scale of conflict over the past few days takes this pointless war of the USA, its Nato backers, an their Ukrainian proxy against Russia to a new and even more dangerous level.
Following the irrational US decision to grant permission for Ukraine to use US Army Tactical Missile Systems — ATACMS — to strike deep into Russian territory (and the even more ridiculous 'me too' move by virtue signalling UK Prime Minister Kweir Smarmer on the use of British Stprm Shadow missiles, and the obscenely hasty way the neo - Nazi nutters in Kiev launched long range strikes on targets deep inside Russian territory, in response Moscow fired what it says is a new ballistic missile at Dnipro in Ukraine. While the Russian missile carried conventional warheads, it is capable of delivering a nuclear payload, sending an unmistakable signal to Ukraine and the West.
In an even more unmistakable response to Washington’s consideration of these deeper strikes, Vladimir Putin this week lowered Russia’s threshold for nuclear weapons use in its official doctrine. The change says that Russia might use nuclear weapons to respond to a conventional attack on its territory by a nation that is supported by a nuclear power. Moscow is, in other words, warning that it might resort to nuclear war over Washington and London allowing Ukraine to fire US missiles at Russia.
Unfortunately for the west this situation is not as simple as Demented Joe Biden and stupid Keir SStarmer saying, 'We've given you the missiles boy, now go for it, fill yer boots.
Foreign policy elites in Washington and Europe largely dismiss escalation danger in Ukraine. They argue that crossing various Russian red lines — by sending tanks, F-16s, allowing the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) to hit Russian territory, and tolerating Ukraine’s assassinations and drone attacks in Russia — has already called Putin’s bluff, and we need not worry about escalation, even the nuclear sort.
This misreads the situation. In the west the official narrative since Russuan troops crossed the border into Ukrain has been that Russia is the aggressor. However since a 2013 coup d'etat, enhineered by Washington and NATO, the government installed in Kiev had been waging a civil war, a campaign of ethnic cleansing, against the people of Russian speaking provinces in eastern Ukraine.
Mainstream media coverage of the conflict in the west hides the true nature of what has been going on. Russia did not react because Ukraine has struck deep into Russia, the Ukies have done so before, nor because Ukraine used US-NATO supplied weapons. Ukraine has done that before too, with Russia showing restraint when it could deploy air power to flatten Ukrainoan cities.
The truth is setting up and aiming ATACMS and Storm Shadows must be done by US and UK personnel respectively; what Russia reacted to is the fact
that the ATACMS and Storm Shadow attacks were perpetrated by, and under
the direct orders and responsibility of, the US and the UK. Moscow has indicated before it is looking for a negotiated settlement, but the Ukies, under pressure from Washington we suspect, insists it will only agree a ceasfire if Moscow agrees to all its demands. This is obviously insane, the war has inflicted so much economic and social damage on Ukraine it is doubted the country can ever recover.
By all standards of international law, the US, the UK, the EU, NATO, and
sundry others have long crossed the threshold from neutral to
belligerent, but Russia chose not make an issue of it just as they chose not to make an issue of the eastward expansion of NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organisation,) to iclude former Soviet states that are nowhere near the Atlantic Ocean. When, in the wake of the 2013 coup, the western power initiated moves to recruit Ukraine into NATO, that was more than Russia was ever going to tolerate.
Likewise on the issue of US and UK personnel firing ATACMS and Storm Shadows at Russia, Russia drew a red line. US and UK have crossed this red line and by doing so effectively declared war on Russia. Even in the hottest phases of the Cold War, both sides took care never to actually shoot at each other’s territory.
Russia has shown remarkable maturity and restraint, in face of
mind-boggling irresponsibility and belligerence from Western leaders. It is
high time the immature apprentice sorcerers populating our ministries
and general staffs are cleared out and replaced with adults, people whose background in business has taught them that constantly provoking a rival can never end well. People like Donald Trump and Nigel Farage.
Ukraine’s only hope of getting through this war without its cities being flattened WWII-style has always been to avoid precisely the kind of escalation it has just inveigled of Biden Starmer and the neo-cons. It must be obvious to everybody now that the was was never simply Russia versus Ukraine, but from day one and long before that a war waged by the USA, NATO and the EU (with Ukraines as their hapless proxies,) against Russia with the aim of effecting regime change in Moscow and probably as a secondary goal enabling western corporate interests to gain control of Russias vast reserves of nstural resources. The west has failed, neither side can win, only the innocent Ukrainian population are losing. Time to negotiate.
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