The secret of freedom lies in educating people, whereas the secret of tyranny is in keeping them ignorant. - Maximilien Robespierre.

Thursday, March 17, 2022

Even If The War In Ukraine Ends, Sanctions Will Stay - So How Bad Will The Food Crisis Get?

 

We have posted in this blog two keynote articles and several shorter pieces in the past three weeks on the likely  catastrophic consequences for the world's food supply of Russia’s Ukraine incursion as the loss of Ukranian and Russian exports of wheat, maize and edible oils are lost. The war may end within a couple of week and for the sake of Ukranian people we have to hope that is the case. However while the shooting war is about local issues the economic war has much wider and more complex implications which means that the west's sanctions on Russian finance and retaliatory Russian bans on exports of agricultural produce, raw materials for commercial fetilizers (Russia produces two thirds of the world's ammonium nitrate according to some sources,) will therefore remain in place much longer.

Ukraine is the world’s fifth-largest exporter of wheat (Russia is largest,  followed by USA, Canada and France,) and at this time of year Ukrainian farmers ought to be seeding their fields in some of the richest soil in the world.  The best agricultural land in the country is unfortunately at the heart of the conflict zone and consistently under bombardment from air and ground. 

Ukrainian farmers like to tell the world they are a resilient, adaptable and innovative people but  they also know that in the current situation their our priorities must be different. And while Ukrane's agricultural communities prioritise  capturing Russian weapons, blowing up fuel convoys and allowing demoralised Russian soldiers to talk with their mothers.

In Odessa’s formerly bustling docks of Ukraine’s main port  are now still, the approaches to the harbour blockaded by Moscow's Black Sea fleet.

The grain and corn stored in huge silos on the farm where where Svitlana Sirko (below) works should at this time of year be on their way to the dock for export. Along with countless others across the huge country, this medium-sized farm with 20 labourers contributes to Ukraine’s reputation as the breadbasket of Europe. After harvestwait exporting in late summer up to 10,000 tonnes can be stored in the silo to await export. This year it must stay there because no ships can enter or leave the port.

Farm administrator Svitlana Sirko, like many Ukrainian agriculture workers, has found her work curtailed by the war
Farm administrator Svitlana Sirko, like many Ukrainian agriculture workers, has found her work curtailed by the war Credit: Simon Townsley for The Telegraph

The Ukraine war has contributed a trio of economic crises for the wider world, a dearth of wheat and other staple foods, rocketing fuel prices (due in part to the failure of green energy sources and the idiocy of 'net zero' committments,) and the ban on exporting raw materials for fertiliser products which will cause reduced yields across all this year's harvests. 

And the economic bad news does not end there. Because of its vast area Russia with Siberia hosts many other natural resources essential to high tech industries, metal bashing industries and agriculture. The world faces a commodity catastrophe with oil, gas, coal and agricultural chemicals prices all spiralling higher together, with metals catching up fast. It is a problem not just for central bankers but for all of us.

A statement from Roman Leshchenko Ukraine’s agriculture and food minister said that while export blocks had been placed on badly needed commodities like beef, sugar, salt and millet, the country still wanted to export wheat and corn. Yet that had been made nearly impossible by a blockade of Ukraine’s southern ports by the Russian navy. March, April, May and June should be the peak export months, but instead the ships are stationary and the terminals closed. 

It looks as if 2022 is going to be an even rougher ride than '20 and '21.

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Boris and Biden Can't Blame Ukraine War For Energy Crisis
With typical arrogance and condescension towards the people who elected them Boris Johnson, Joe Biden and their respectiive presstitutes are trying to spin the energy crisis Europe and North America are currently facing as somehow being linked to the conflict in Ukraine and therfore blame is being attactched to Russia and Vladimir Putin. Do they really think we are stupid enough to believe such unmitigated bollocks? ...

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Wallowing In existential angst about the decline of the West Will Not Get Us Out Of Trouble

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/03/15/spare-existential-angst-ineluctable-decline-west/

 There we were, two years ago, fretting about the onset of what was already described as a pandemic but which had yet to take a grip. By and large, things were not that bad at all. The racing fraternity had gathered en masse at Cheltenham for the great National Hunt annual meeting, mostly oblivious to the public health calamity that was about to ensue.

Two years ago today we were still a week away from a total lockdown, a delay for which Boris Johnson continues to be lambasted, even though all the evidence shows it made no difference.

Britain’s excess fatalities for the period are no worse than most similar countries and yet at the time we were encouraged to believe this was a uniquely British disaster. We were “Plague Island” and yet it turns out that UK the death toll was below average for western Europe.

This propensity for doing ourselves down has grown over time. When I was young, the narrative of national exceptionalism was strong. Empire, victory in war and epic tales of great adventurers were celebrated not condemned. Patriotism was a virtue not a sin.

Men were men and women were women and no one had any difficulty telling which was which. Over the decades, as prosperity has grown, life spans have been extended and we have become used to comfort and plenty, another disease has eaten into the body politic, that of declinism.

In Britain, this led to our joining the Common Market in a belief that, without pooling sovereignty with our continental neighbours, we were doomed to perpetual weakness. The establishment was obsessed with the idea of joining this club, even if it meant cutting our close ties with countries with which we had more in common, both culturally and emotionally, such as Australia and Canada.

The point is that there is always something to cause anguish and collective heartache, but what is important is to react in a proportionate way. We are currently in an extended bout of dread-filled angst that began with the financial crash of 2008 when it looked like the entire global banking system would fall over.

events

There we were, two years ago, fretting about the onset of what was already described as a pandemic but which had yet to take a grip. By and large, things were not that bad at all. The racing fraternity had gathered en masse at Cheltenham for the great National Hunt annual meeting, mostly oblivious to the public health calamity that was about to ensue.

That event was subsequently seen as a great seeder of Covid, as was Liverpool’s Champions League match with Atlético Madrid around the same time. Back then we called them “super-spreader” episodes because it stood to reason that thousands of people milling together must pass on easily transmissible illnesses.

But while that is demonstrably true, the pandemic would have happened even if Cheltenham had been cancelled. The virus was already here, brought in by visitors and skiers returning from the Alpine slopes.

Two years ago today we were still a week away from a total lockdown, a delay for which Boris Johnson continues to be lambasted, even though all the evidence shows it made no difference.

Britain’s excess fatalities for the period are no worse than most similar countries and yet at the time we were encouraged to believe this was a uniquely British disaster. We were “Plague Island” and yet it turns out that UK the death toll was below average for western Europe.

This propensity for doing ourselves down has grown over time. When I was young, the narrative of national exceptionalism was strong. Empire, victory in war and epic tales of great adventurers were celebrated not condemned. Patriotism was a virtue not a sin.

Men were men and women were women and no one had any difficulty telling which was which. Over the decades, as prosperity has grown, life spans have been extended and we have become used to comfort and plenty, another disease has eaten into the body politic, that of declinism.

In Britain, this led to our joining the Common Market in a belief that, without pooling sovereignty with our continental neighbours, we were doomed to perpetual weakness. The establishment was obsessed with the idea of joining this club, even if it meant cutting our close ties with countries with which we had more in common, both culturally and emotionally, such as Australia and Canada.

The point is that there is always something to cause anguish and collective heartache, but what is important is to react in a proportionate way. We are currently in an extended bout of dread-filled angst that began with the financial crash of 2008 when it looked like the entire global banking system would fall over.

I thought we would be pushing our belongings around some dystopian world in a shopping trolley like the father in Cormac McCarthy’s The Road. It didn’t happen, although we came close.

Then came Brexit, which half the country was convinced would lead to economic collapse, a run on the pound, the diminution of the UK as an influential world power and a permanent severing of our links with Europe. None of these happened either, nor were they ever likely to, but exaggeration is another character trait we find hard to avoid.

No sooner was Brexit “done”, than news came through from China of a novel coronavirus with the potential to spread rapidly from person to person. Not that the Chinese admitted as much at the time, any more than they were upfront about its provenance, which is increasingly believed to have been a leak from a laboratory in Wuhan.

Then, as the pandemic abated and restrictions were finally removed – with February 20 dubbed “Freedom Day” here in England – that ominous noise we could hear from a far-off land was of Vladimir Putin’s tanks rumbling towards Ukraine. Just when it seemed like life was getting back on an even keel, Covid is beginning to look like a walk in the park.

Now the worry that keeps us awake at night is not just the plight of the poor Ukrainians or the wider economic consequences of the war, but the renewed threat of Armageddon. The shadow of the nuclear bomb, under which we lived during the Cold War, has returned to cast a pall over all of our lives.

A friend said to me the other day that he had never felt so depressed about events, which made me think that, in reality, we had lived through a golden age. Our parents had been bombed in the war and grown up when diseases like polio and diphtheria were still rife. Their fathers had been conscripted to fight in the “war to end all wars’’ which it turned out not to be. If they were shot or otherwise wounded, they had to endure the risk of infection long before the discovery of penicillin.

There has hardly been any time in history that has offered as benign an existence as that enjoyed by those of us born in the late 1950s and 1960s into a stable, democratic country like ours. We were not even called up to do National Service, let alone required to fight in a war. This applies not just to Baby Boomers who subsequent generations think got all the breaks. Those born since have had a few, too.

Most of us who have grown up since the Second World War have come to expect a steady state of prosperity, stability and contentment beyond the imagination of previous generations. We have lost a sense of historical perspective by overreacting to events precisely because life has, by and large, been good for most people most of the time.

The Hobbesian reality is that, for the greater part of man’s existence, wars, famines, pestilence and disaster were the norm just as they still are in some parts of the world. Across Europe and Asia, people happily minding their own business have for centuries suddenly had their worlds snuffed out by Romans or Saxons or Vikings or Normans or Mongols or a succession of Continental armies.

*

events

There we were, two years ago, fretting about the onset of what was already described as a pandemic but which had yet to take a grip. By and large, things were not that bad at all. The racing fraternity had gathered en masse at Cheltenham for the great National Hunt annual meeting, mostly oblivious to the public health calamity that was about to ensue.

That event was subsequently seen as a great seeder of Covid, as was Liverpool’s Champions League match with Atlético Madrid around the same time. Back then we called them “super-spreader” episodes because it stood to reason that thousands of people milling together must pass on easily transmissible illnesses.

But while that is demonstrably true, the pandemic would have happened even if Cheltenham had been cancelled. The virus was already here, brought in by visitors and skiers returning from the Alpine slopes.

Two years ago today we were still a week away from a total lockdown, a delay for which Boris Johnson continues to be lambasted, even though all the evidence shows it made no difference.

Britain’s excess fatalities for the period are no worse than most similar countries and yet at the time we were encouraged to believe this was a uniquely British disaster. We were “Plague Island” and yet it turns out that UK the death toll was below average for western Europe.

This propensity for doing ourselves down has grown over time. When I was young, the narrative of national exceptionalism was strong. Empire, victory in war and epic tales of great adventurers were celebrated not condemned. Patriotism was a virtue not a sin.

Men were men and women were women and no one had any difficulty telling which was which. Over the decades, as prosperity has grown, life spans have been extended and we have become used to comfort and plenty, another disease has eaten into the body politic, that of declinism.

In Britain, this led to our joining the Common Market in a belief that, without pooling sovereignty with our continental neighbours, we were doomed to perpetual weakness. The establishment was obsessed with the idea of joining this club, even if it meant cutting our close ties with countries with which we had more in common, both culturally and emotionally, such as Australia and Canada.

The point is that there is always something to cause anguish and collective heartache, but what is important is to react in a proportionate way. We are currently in an extended bout of dread-filled angst that began with the financial crash of 2008 when it looked like the entire global banking system would fall over.

I thought we would be pushing our belongings around some dystopian world in a shopping trolley like the father in Cormac McCarthy’s The Road. It didn’t happen, although we came close.

Then came Brexit, which half the country was convinced would lead to economic collapse, a run on the pound, the diminution of the UK as an influential world power and a permanent severing of our links with Europe. None of these happened either, nor were they ever likely to, but exaggeration is another character trait we find hard to avoid.

No sooner was Brexit “done”, than news came through from China of a novel coronavirus with the potential to spread rapidly from person to person. Not that the Chinese admitted as much at the time, any more than they were upfront about its provenance, which is increasingly believed to have been a leak from a laboratory in Wuhan.

Then, as the pandemic abated and restrictions were finally removed – with February 20 dubbed “Freedom Day” here in England – that ominous noise we could hear from a far-off land was of Vladimir Putin’s tanks rumbling towards Ukraine. Just when it seemed like life was getting back on an even keel, Covid is beginning to look like a walk in the park.

Now the worry that keeps us awake at night is not just the plight of the poor Ukrainians or the wider economic consequences of the war, but the renewed threat of Armageddon. The shadow of the nuclear bomb, under which we lived during the Cold War, has returned to cast a pall over all of our lives.

A friend said to me the other day that he had never felt so depressed about events, which made me think that, in reality, we had lived through a golden age. Our parents had been bombed in the war and grown up when diseases like polio and diphtheria were still rife. Their fathers had been conscripted to fight in the “war to end all wars’’ which it turned out not to be. If they were shot or otherwise wounded, they had to endure the risk of infection long before the discovery of penicillin.

There has hardly been any time in history that has offered as benign an existence as that enjoyed by those of us born in the late 1950s and 1960s into a stable, democratic country like ours. We were not even called up to do National Service, let alone required to fight in a war. This applies not just to Baby Boomers who subsequent generations think got all the breaks. Those born since have had a few, too.

Most of us who have grown up since the Second World War have come to expect a steady state of prosperity, stability and contentment beyond the imagination of previous generations. We have lost a sense of historical perspective by overreacting to events precisely because life has, by and large, been good for most people most of the time.

The Hobbesian reality is that, for the greater part of man’s existence, wars, famines, pestilence and disaster were the norm just as they still are in some parts of the world. Across Europe and Asia, people happily minding their own business have for centuries suddenly had their worlds snuffed out by Romans or Saxons or Vikings or Normans or Mongols or a succession of Continental armies.

*

Just look at the 'madness' that's been gathering pace over the last 20 years or so. A judicial system that no longer punishes crime, man made climate change nonsense that's being used as an imaginary excuse to impoverish us and make us vulnerable to hostile foreign players, mass uncontrolled 3rd world immigration that's still gathering pace despite our protestations, the bowing of authority to anarchist organisations intent in destroying our way of life, critical race theory being taught in schools, the lionising of all things LGBT and gender dysphoria and for the last 2 years, lies, cohesion, censorship of the media and trashing of civil liberties and world economy for a 'virus' which kills no one but the extremely vulnerable. Anyone who things all this is happening because of government incompetence needs to give their head a good shake.  

*

Then the counter argument is why worry yourself about something that was only a possibility and not appreciate and enjoy this 'Golden Age' until it came to an inevitable but unpredictable end? In fact that is precisely what we have been doing and is human nature.

I have always pointed out in discussion with others that in the 80's CND and other assorted malcontents tried to brow beat us all into the same manufactured and continuous trauma they assumed for themselves about nuclear winters. Today their offspring are trying the same thing only using the climate as the weapon of choice even though the nuclear threat is still around and only now is something to be concerned about unlike in the 80s

*

 

The Cheltenham "super spreader" event was a great example of the hysterical lies propagated throughout the crisis by people desperate to sensationalise and exploit a medical emergency for political ends.

Cheltenham drew over a hundred thousand visitors. Some of them contracted Covid, some of them probably contracted it at Cheltenham. However the Covid case data for Cheltenham and Gloucestershire more generally showed nothing exceptional during the early stages of the pandemic. Indeed during the First Wave the whole area was generally underrepresented vs Covid hotspots with London and other big cities such as Manchester being the epicentre of infections.

The argument goes "ahh but all the racegoers were outsiders who mixed with each other and went home to spread it in their own communities". Aside from there not being the slightest evidence of serious outbreaks across the country (and Ireland) being seeded by Cheltenham racegoers it also makes no sense.

Cheltenham is a four day festival that sees tens of thousands of visitors descending on pubs, bars, restaurants, hotels, B&Bs and shops around the town of Cheltenham and surrounds (not just the racecourse). Plenty of local people attend the Festival and many more enjoy the bars and pubs over the week.

it is simply not credible that the 2020 Festival could have been a super spreader event and there be no significant signal in the local Covid data.

Its only the spoilt middle class young and media types. Most people I know are happily getting on with life, enjoying friends and family and making the most of the time we have

My nieces and nephews, and the children of my comfortable off friends seem determined to tells us we're all hideous, phobic hateful people responsible for all the ills through out history.

No wonder they're so miserable

*

Western society probably reached its zenith on September the 10th 2001. A terrorist attack in New York the following day threw the entire World into an over-reaction and it has been steadily downhill since then.

Our basic freedoms have been cut and curtailed bit by bit, to the extent that we cannot travel without being security checked at every turn, we cannot socialise if the government thinks we might be infectious and we cannot think whatever we might want to think without the police being sent round to charge us with some ludicrous crime.

And I genuinely believe that the BBC's role in sensationalising the news and highlighting the victims of any and every event has done more to accelerate this downward spiral than any other institution in this country. 

*

Nukes would make it different, and Putin has openly made that threat more than once in the last 14 days. Nuclear war would be a serious game changer that some nuclear armed nations would have some difficulty in staying out of.

The doctrine of Mutual Assured Destruction depends on you firing your warheads before your opponent has a chance to launch his at you.

If a single tactical nuke of the type currently deployed by Russia was detonated in this increasingly desperate conflict, the world might collectively holds its breath and wait for the second shoe to drop. We might be able to call it a terrible mistake and perhaps even using it as an excuse to end the invasion.

But the doctrine relies on getting missiles off the ground as soon as possible. Would the less stable regimes want to launch their missiles and get their retaliation in first?

Iran, North Korea, India and Pakistan are all very volatile nuclear armed countries where heated covert wars have been ongoing for years. If they saw the flag had gone up, would they want to risk not using their deadly toys before their hated opponent?

As a species we seem to lurch from crisis to crisis redistributing resources after major conflict but would there be much left to redistribute amongst the nuclear wastelands?

*

Johnston has been fiddling as Rome burned. Yes Mr Johnston, let's all stay buried in our tittytainment - we will own nothing and be happy®!


"we will own nothing and be happy®! " Most people who go on about this statement don't seem to have read the rest of it, so have no context. As far as I could see, it's supposed to be a generally good thing. Many people, especially the young, don't really want the responsibility of owning things. It seems strange to me, but look, for instance, how many people lease a car and never really own it. They pay a load of money; they pay a load more money every month to be able to use the vehicle, and at the end if they want to own it, they pay yet more money. Yet many of them don't bother with the last part, they prefer to start again with a new one. The fact that they never own it is evidenced by the fact that they have to hand it back in pristine condition, so someone else can buy it. It just doesn't bother them. And plenty of people would be quite happy with an automated on-demand taxi service. Lots more people don't buy music any more, not even as a download. They just pay to be able to listen to it when they want. They don't buy a lawnmower, they hire a gardener. They don't buy tools, they hire a handyman. I'm too old to subscribe to these ideas, but a lot of people seem to think they're great. 

*

*

The issue is that pretty much all the "west" have been living with corrupted establishments for 20 years - first visible with the dotcom crash when GWB dropped interest rates rather than raising them, preserving his crony businesses through market manipulation, then 2008, where the UK and US blatantly paraded their privatising of profits and socialising of losses, shoving all the poison into the Bonds Market via QE. They even bragged, repeatedly, on the MSM that people would not understand what al the bond market stuff would mean. Then to fawning over international wealth, selling the country to allcomers and breaking the Nation with mass migration.

Notice the changes over time - don't pretend things are the same, because they aren't, these are profound and irreversible material changes to this country, and they are pretty much all adverse and comprised corruption - we have been hollowed out, with the wealth extracted transferred to the already wealthy. The British People are in for serious decline whilst the Upper class and other monied parties restore their stranglehold on power.

For the past twenty years, it has been about ramping private and public debt, transferring the borrowings to the rich - call a spade a spade, they have stolen the future. 

*

I have seen a lot of terrifying existential crises come and go. They don't seem to stop the relentless progress of the western world.

More to the point in every crisis - the Cold War, the stock market crashes, Chernobyl, the Y2K bug, 9/11, COVID - there are loud voices claiming that 'things are different this time' yet they almost never are.

On the other hand that can breed complacency. At some point they will genuinely be different. In July 1914 there were doubtless lots of intelligent people writing articles like this one saying 'there's nothing to worry about, it will blow over, it always does'. How wrong they were.

We can't know whether the Western world is in meltdown but there are some genuinely worrying signs. The madness of the COVID lockdowns is just one shock wave of many. The rise of social media, trolling, cancel culture, fake news and identity politics is a cancer eating the heart out of democracy.

Worse than either of these is the emerging dominance of a view that it is a basic human right to live beyond one's means and that the job of governments is to allow people to do so. The 4 day week (being introduced in Spain), the right to 'shirk' from home - soon to be enshrined in UK law surely - public sector pensions that no state can ever finance, social care for the elderly that leaves their private estates untouched....this is a road to ruin.

Best not to worry too much though. It might all blow over.

 *

 

*********************************************************

‘Cancelled’, the 1804 train with supposed links to slavery

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/03/15/steam-trains-latest-victim-cancel-culture-national-museum-wales/

National Museum Wales gives first steam-powered locomotive an ‘absurd’ new context as part of ‘decolonisation’ of its collection

Replica of Richard Trevithick's Coalbrookdale Locomotive at Blists Hill Victorian Town Museum near Ironbridge Shropshire
'Decolonised': A replica of Richard Trevithick's Coalbrookdale locomotive on display at the National Museum Wales, which is to explore how the slave trade 'linked and fed into the development of the steam and railway infrastructure' Credit: Alamy

Trains could face a new kind of “cancellation”, as National Museum Wales reviews steam-powered technology over claims it was linked to the slave trade.

Richard Trevithick unveiled the first steam-powered locomotive in Wales in 1804, but National Museum Wales (NMW) displays covering his revolutionary invention face being altered as part of a process of “decolonising the collection”.

Trevithick had no links to slavery, but the museum has claimed that the steam power he harnessed helped drive an imperial British economy that was tied to the slave trade.

A replica of the Trevithick locomotive used in the first steam-powered rail journey faces being relabeled by NMW to include information on these claimed links between industrial technology and colonialism, as curators audit displays “rooted in colonialism and racism”.

A statement from the museum said: “Although there might not be direct links between the Trevithick locomotive and the slave trade, we acknowledge the reality that links to slavery are woven into the warp and weft of Welsh society.

“Trade and colonial exploitation were embedded in Wales’ economy and society and were fundamental to Wales’ development as an industrialised nation.

“As we continue to audit the collection, we will explore how the slave trade linked and fed into the development of the steam and railway infrastructure in Wales.”

Cornishman Trevithick adapted technology used in high-pressure mine pumps for use in powering early locomotives, and tested his invention in the world’s first steam-powered rail journey, which took place at the Penydarren Ironworks in Merthyr Tydfil.


Richard Trevithick unveiled the first steam train in Wales in 1804, but had no links to slavery Credit: World History Archive / Alamy/Alamy

NMW owns a life-sized replica of this locomotive - housed at the National Waterfront Museum in Swansea - and has indicated that any future labelling for the engine’s display will outline the connection between steam technology and slavery.

It has previously been argued by the National Railway Museum that steam-powered machinery drove sugar mills on plantations and cotton gins in industrial cities, while railways aided colonial expansion.

It has also been argued that many early financiers of the rail network had investments in the slave trade, although it is not claimed that Trevithick had any such backing.

*

 

Looking for slavery connections only applies to figures in British history.

English Heritage jumped on the bandwagon and commissioned a project to celebrate the contribution of black people to our heritage. They paid an artist to paint the African Roman emperor Severus. This man has been declared "black" because he was born in Libya of Italian and Punic (Syrian) descent, but must have had some sub-saharan African blood somewhere in his ancestry, surely? He came to Britain with the largest land army ever to campaign in Britain. English Heritage think they should spend thousands of pounds to celebrate him doing some repair work on Hadrian's wall and we should be impressed.

They have neglected to mention Roman historians records that Severus had captured the Parthian capital and took 100,000 into slavery just before he came over here; that rather tenuous connection to slavery is easily missed by current diligent researchers. They have though employed someone to trawl through all the accounts for one of their stately homes to look for any investments that could be linked to slavery.

EH have also missed the Roman historical record of his genocide of a British tribe called the Maeatae. Severus was so upset with their continued resistance that he ordered his men to "let none escape destruction. Not even the babe in the womb" He wiped the entire tribe from our history, depopulated and devastated the area between Hadrian's Wall and the Antonine Wall and it took the area 100 years to recover. After many letters to them they have conceded that Severus was "hard" on the Maeatae. The genocidal maniac wiped them out! But hey ho what's not to like about the man voted the 25th greatest black Briton? 

*

Uncomfortable facts:

By 1848 we had spent £20million buying the freedom of slaves; £28million on naval operations to stop slave trading by the rest of the world; £1.5million on provisions and safe havens for freed slaves and continued this for another 60 years. The entire rest of the world didn't come close to matching the time, money and lives we spent stopping them from slave trading and engaging in slavery.

African slavery of Africans involved regular religious and cultural sacrifice of humans . British missions to the interior to ask Africans to trade palm oil instead of slaves, were mocked and came back "disgusted beyond description" at the barbaric slaughter and mutilation they witnessed. The Oba of Benin, lauded by St Paul's Cathedral to contextualize the capture of Benin city, murdered 12 slaves on the anniversary of his Dad's death; one at his annual wealth count; and one, usually a woman, murdered and hung in a crucifixion tree whenever it rained too much or too little. He even asked from his prison cell, if he could send out men to capture Urhobo people to sacrifice to his rain God and the despicable British wouldn't let him, the colonial oppressive b#st*rds.

Africans had so little regard for the lives of slaves that when transporting to the East coast they were rarely fed or watered and all slaves not considered worth the Zanzibar customs dues would be discarded into the sea before entering Zanzibar harbour.

In 1998 Yoweri Museveni, the president of Uganda, told an audience including Bill Clinton: "African chiefs were the ones waging war on each other and capturing their own people and selling them. If anyone should apologise it should be the African chiefs. We still have those traitors here even today."

 

*

We must look at this from their point of view.

It wasn't invented in Africa and despite years of research by the correct "historians" there are no tenuous links that can be made up to make it look as though it was - therefore must be disparaged as a clear symbol of the Atlantic slave trade and colonial oppression.

A white man from Cornwall invented something that was so useful and clever - therefore must be disparaged as a clear symbol of the Atlantic slave trade and colonial oppression.

It was used to move the world into a modern, mechanized age that contributed to raising living standards world wide; but it benefited the Welsh - therefore it must be identified as a clear symbol of the Atlantic slave trade and colonial oppression.

Steam engines were not used in the Atlantic slave trade; but were used to stop the Atlantic slave trade; and to stop the East African slave trade; and to stop the overland African slave trade - uncomfortable British History; can't mention that.

Trains were not used until after we had abolished the slave trade and we were expending huge sums of money to stop the rest of the world from trading in slaves; the most costly international humanitarian action in modern history and not matched by the rest of the world - uncomfortable British History; can't mention that.

 

*

This sort of thing has gone far beyond madness. It would be hilarious if it weren't so dangerous. Think, people! Where do you keep your brains, if you have any? You're supposed to be historians. It was the social, political and economic momentum initiated and then pursued (along with colonialism) by the British that ultimately gave us western civilization and the free world. Until quite recently, slavery was the norm in practically every part of the planet. It was practiced throughout Africa, the pre-European Americas, the Middle East and Asia. North Africans raided Europe for slaves as far as Ireland. It was the White nations of the New World and Europe that were the first to abolish slavery but it remains firmly established to this day in many other places.

Britain and her cultural derivatives have been consistent leaders in the advancement of human rights, freedoms and prosperity. Does anyone look for such advancements to China, Russia, North Korea or the nations of Africa? When people decide to migrate, where do they choose going? We all know. They clamour to get into Britain, the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand or parts of Europe sharing the values of those "colonial" outposts. They know better than to beat for succor on the gates of Beijing, Moscow, Juba or Jeddah. The NMW and others like it ought to be thoroughly ashamed of themselves, repent the gross ignorance and stupidity of their ways and study some of the history they claim to curate. 

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Tuesday, March 15, 2022

India offers Putin a helping hand by considering Moscow's offer to buy crude oil at a reduced rate to beat Western sanctions

 may bail out Russia by taking up an offer to buy crude oil and other commodities at a discount despite Western attempts to isolate Moscow through sanctions.  

India, which imports 80 per cent of its oil needs, usually buys only about 1 per cent from Russia. But with oil prices up 40 per cent so far this year, the government is looking at increasing this if it can help reduce its rising energy bill.

'Russia is offering oil and other commodities at a heavy discount. We will be happy to take that,' an Indian government official said, declining to elaborate on how much oil was on offer and what the discount was. 

The official added that such trade required preparatory work including transportation, insurance cover and getting the right blend of crude, but once that was done India would take Russia up on its offer. 

Iraq was the top crude oil supplier to India in 2021, accounting for 25 per cent of the country's total crude imports.

Saudi Arabia (16 per cent), the UAE (11 per cent), Nigeria (8 per cent) and the US (7 per cent) were other key suppliers. 

The latest in a line of countries queueing up behind China to offer Vladimir Putin's Russia a helping hand in facing down western sanctions is India. The people who govern the world's second largest population offered a sanctions sanction-busting lifeline as the Russia's war in Ukraine enters its third week. The Indian offer came after China lifted wheat import restrictions. 

Neither Beijing nor New Delhi have condemned the invasion in Ukraine and both abstained from a vote at the United Nations calling out Russian aggression last month. Both governments are walking a diplomatic tightrope in order to preserve their vital trade links with Russia which is now facing serious economic woes after being targeted by sanctions.  

Meanwhile the UK will send India - a country with its nuclear arsenal and its own space programme - £55.3million in aid in 2021/22, up from £41.5million in 2020/21.  


India may bail out Russia by taking up an offer to buy crude oil and other commodities at a discount despite Western attempts to isolate Moscow through sanctions (pictured, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi meeting in December 2021 - Picture: Daily Mail

American officials have tried to persuade India to distance itself from Russia in recent weeks, while recognising its heavy reliance on Moscow for everything from grain and raw materials for manufacturing to fuel and fighter jets.

An Indian government spokesman said West understood India's position from a stte security point oif view, given that it needs to maintain good relations with Russia amid simmering territorial disputes with China. Reuters reported this week that India's central bank is trying to set up a rupee-rouble mechanism with Russia to by - pass the American controlled SWIFT system  from which Russia is now barreed and thus continue bilateral trade. 

Russia has urged friendly nations to maintain trade and investment ties.

Apart from oil, India is also looking for cheaper fertiliser from Russia and its ally Belarus, according to one of the officials. It is likely Russia will be eager to cooperate in order to offset in part the loss of revenue from its retaliatory ban on the export of chemical fertilisers to the west which is bound to cause food shortages and soaring prices in the countries that imposed sanctions on Russia.

Indian officials justified their action by sayingthey could not suddenly replace Russia with other suppliers, particularly in the defence sector. India's dependence on Russia for its military hardware still runs as high as 60 per cent, despite a significant reduction over the last decade.

US officials have declined to say if India would be sanctioned should Russia send S-400 missile systems as part of a $5.5 billion deal signed in 2018 for five of them.

 

 


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The USA and the rest of NATO have sanctioned Russian tycoon and Rusal founder Oleg Deripaska. The billionaire is reportedly a close associate of Russian President Vladimir Putin and has called for peace in Ukraine.  Deripaska also said recently, "the whole world will be different after these events, and Russia will be different."

Rusal is not Tesla's main aluminum supplier and the leaked invoices didn't provide information on how much aluminum Tesla obtained from Rusal. What the documents show however is that a German subsidiary of Tesla paid the Swiss subsidiary of Rusal through an Austrian bank for the metal. 

Tesla began sourcing aluminum from Rusal for casting car parts in December 2020 and continued purchases through February 2022. 

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Monday, March 14, 2022

Has The Green Blob's War On Fossil Fuels Been Lost On The Battlefiels Of Ukraine?

by Xavier Connolly, 14 March 2022

 

What happens when the wind blows too hard (offshorewindbiz.com)

With some energy sector opinion makers already pronouncing the 'net zero' agenda is already dead as oil and gas supplies from Russia dry up due to NATO / EU sanctions and Moscow's retaliatory export bans which have only been in force a week at the most, governments in the liberal democracies of Europe and North America are already talking about starting up redundant coal and nuclear power stations, the UK, Netherlands and other nations with offshore gas operations in the North Sea are suddenly finding that it may now be economically viable to start pumping again and (whisper it ever so quietly,) coal is coming back into the reckoning as an energy source 

War in Ukraine is immediately responsible for sending oil prices rocketing and triggering a rush to find new energy sources (even if these are actually old energy sources that had been cancelled by politically correct thinking and the climate change scare. Tesla founder Elon Musk, whose business model is built on persuading the world that batteries are the best way to drive everything including aircraft and the power baseload of large cities, has said that the United States needs to increase oil and gas production. “Extraordinary times demand extraordinary measures,” Musk tweeted. recently.

With fuel prices to levels that will disrupt national economies and drive millions of middle and low income families into fuel poverty, the Ukraine war has at last highlighted the folly of western leaders' obession with reducing carbon dioxide emissions in their own national economies by making their nations dependent on Russia and other tyrannies such as Saudi Arabia, Venezuela an the United Arab Emirates for energy. Green lobbying, and the eagerrness with which politicians have caved in to it has helped deepen the free world’s dependence on Russian fossil fuels while sapping the U.S.and European (North Sea) oil and natural gas industry of its momentum, even as the failings of so called sustainable energy sources and green technologies become more obvious.

Back in 2017,  former NATO secretary general, Anders Fogh Rasmussen described Russia’s “sophisticated information and disinformation operations, engaged actively with so-called non-governmental organizations—environmental organizations working against shale gas—to maintain dependence on imported Russian gas.”

“I understand how Russian propaganda about climate change successfully suppressed domestic energy production in the United States until now,” political commentator and cartoonist Scott Adams wrote recently. “What I don’t understand is why it is still working. Must be massive corruption or massive cognitive dissonance.”

The answer may lie in the fact that some politicians have staked so much of their political identity on climbing aboard the environmentalist bandwagon and embracing the green agenda without giving a second's consideration to the consequences of abandoning reliable energy sources like coal, oil and nuclear (which is also CO2 free,) that to backtrack now would be to admit that they’ve been fooled by the sensationalist scaremongering whose ideology seems to be more about destroying western democracy than saving the planet as they don't seem to have a problem with China's use of coal for generating energy. 

Politicians, even nominally conservative ones have, it seems, have found it easier to preach the moral rectitude of proclaiming their committment to strategies at odds with reality even though it is now more clear than ever that the already unaffordable price, both economically and socially, of pursuing this course grows more destructive every day.

 

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Sunday, March 13, 2022

News roundup 13 March 2022

 News Roundup 13 March 2022

 


    • Did flawed PCR tests convince us Covid was worse than it really was?

      ” – Part one of the Mail on Sunday‘s investigation into the U.K. Government’s handling of the pandemic looks at how reliable the PCR test is.
    • U.N. Warns Russia's War In Ukraine Could Spike Global Food Prices By 22%

      Authored by Julia Conley via Common Dreams,

      With dozens of countries around the world relying heavily on both Ukraine and Russia for food supplies, the United Nations warned Friday, the ongoing war is likely to significantly drive up global food prices and worsen malnourishment in the Global South. With both Ukraine and Russia's ability to produce and export food uncertain, a global supply gap "could push up international food and feed prices by 8% to 22% above their already elevated levels," said the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO).

    • India Is Mulling Rupee-Ruble Payments System For Trade With Russia

      India is discussing how to set up a rupee-ruble payment mechanism to enable it to trade with Russia, to circumvent the U.S. sanctions regime.
  • Why Sanctions Don't Work, And Why They Mostly Hurt Ordinary People

    Authored by Ryan McMaken via The Mises Institute,

    The United States and its Western European allies have in recent days repeatedly increased economic sanctions against not only the Russian regime, but against millions of ordinary Russians.

    It has done this by cutting much of Russian trade and Russian finance out of international markets. Moody's and S&P Global have both downgraded Russia's credit rating. The US has frozen Russian reserves and cut many Russian banks off from SWIFT, the international banking communications system. Europe is planning on big cuts to its purchases of natural gas from Russia.

  • Biggest Commodity Trading Houses In The West Continue To Buy Russian Oil And Gas

    Despite headline-grabbing maneuvers by the big western oil giants (Shell, BP, Exxon-Mobil etc.) to simply walk away from certain Russian projects, commodity traders like Trafigura, Vitol and Glencore have all loaded cargos of oil, gas and fuel onto tankers at Russian ports, which is just the latest evidence that the west can't simply go without Russia's commodity wealth (as Chinese analysts have explained, Russia is one of the richest countries in the world when it comes to natural commodity wealth). And it's not just industrial commodities: the Middle East and Africa depend on exports of Russian wheat.
  • Forget About Covid, They Say

  • ” – Forget about Covid and live life as normally as possible in defiance of those who live to foster fear. But, never forget what they did, says Jeffrey A. Tucker at the Brownstone Institute.

  • ‘People’s Convoy’ Meets with Senators” – The ‘People’s Convoy’, the group of truckers protesting vaccine mandates, now express their grievances in Washington D.C., reports TrialSite News.

  • Pfizer jab reduces risk of Covid infection for five to 11s by 31%” – The CDC published a report Friday finding that the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine is 31% effective at preventing infection for children aged five to 11 years old, reports the Mail. So, by its own admission, at under 50%, not effective enough to approve.

  • We’ve allowed narcissistic eco martyrs to booby-trap our energy markets” – The market could easily solve the crisis now facing the West – if we let it, argues Juliet Samuel in the Telegraph.

  • Extinction Rebellion’s eco-fanatics are the very definition of dangerous extremism” – With Putin rampant and energy prices soaring, there is no excuse for their selfish posturing, writes Douglas Murray in the Telegraph.

  • It’s time to drop the Net Zero agenda” – For years British energy policy has been an exercise in wishful thinking. We’ve been living in a fantasy world in which Britain can somehow achieve ‘Net Zero’ by 2050 without paying any serious economic price, and with no one significantly poorer as a result, says the Spectator in this leading article.

  • Parents’ fury as £32,650-a-year school teaches there are ’64 genders’” – Interim head at ASL Sacha McVean defended the school to parents saying its programmes had the backing of schools leaders and the watchdog’s inspection was ‘unusual’, reports the Mail.

  • Tory PCC slams bid by Crispin Blunt to ‘silence her on women’s rights’” – Lisa Townsend is a rare, defiant voice on an issue that’s become so politically charged that this week that two Labour front-benchers failed to define what a woman was, writes Rebecca Hardy in the Mail.

  • Top Russian biologist turns on Putin’s propaganda” – Moscow microbiologist Dr. Yevgeny Levitin has accused the Kremlin of “pure lies” and “propaganda” for claiming Ukraine had secret biowarfare labs which “could attack Russia”, reports the Mail. So what are the labs that the WHO is so worried about then?

  • Ukraine’s NATO Membership Is Not ‘Relevant or On the Agenda’: Jens Stoltenberg” – Ukraine’s NATO membership was never “imminent” and will not be on the agenda in the near future, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said Friday, reports the Epoch Times.

  • EU says it needs five years to wean itself off Russian energy” – The EU has said it needs five years to wean the bloc off Russian gas, oil and coal as the country’s invasion of Ukraine sparks chaos in energy markets, the Telegraph reports.

  • Three ways the Ukraine war could crash the financial system” – It is quite conceivable that things will get worse than they already are, warns Matthew Lynn in the Telegraph.
  •  
  • Russia’s blockade of Ukraine’s ports will cripple global food markets” – An estimated 15 million tonnes of wheat, corn and barley are currently piled up but unable to be exported, reports the Telegraph.