Another Setback For UK's Net Zero Green Dreams As Cost Rise Faster Than China's CO2 Emissions

Picture:Norfolk Boreas windfarm - Vattenfall group

 The UK ruling elite's dreams of leading the world to a net zero future suffered another setback today when Swedish energy company Vattenfall announced work on the Norfolk Boreas offshore wind farm is to be suspended indefinitely. The reasons given are spiralling costs, uncertainty in supply lines and the economic reality that despite all the propaganda about 'wind power is free' over the past few years, offshore wind farms are hideously expensive to operate as well as being enormously damaging to the marine environment.

As this blog has always said, if you pick a fight with nature, nature will always win. Thus it should be no surprise that one of  the UK’s largest offshore wind farm projects to date has has run aground, ironically partly due to lack of wind because 2023 has so far been notable for a high number of windless or low wind days, but also due to the rocketing costs of raw materials needed to make wind turbines costs. The fact that China and Russia control most sources of these vital raw materials should also be no surprise.

Swedish energy group, Vattenfall, has been forced to halt construction and planning work on its 1.4GW Norfolk Boreas site off England's east coast, following a 40% increase in budgeted costs. Clearly, “going green” isn’t the path to instant riches and ongoing prosperity the government's propagandists would have you believe.

Anna Borg, Vattenfall’s CEO wrote in a statement released today:

“What we see today, it simply doesn’t make sense to continue this project.”

https://www.ft.com/content/f9d0f4f9-6d95-44a9-924b-d88627fd6485

 This news blows a huge hole in the UK government's the commitment to increasing its offshore wind capacity 300 per cent by 2030 in order to push forward the total decarbonisation of the electricity system. It also hihlights the truth of another claim by independent commentators that has been dismissed as a 'conspiracy theory' by mainstream media and academics, that the cost efficiency and reliability of these 'renewable energy' projects remain questionable.

For over 20 years the UK government has been promoting the wonders of wind power projects to meet its unrealistic net-zero targets, apparently oblivious to the reality that we cannot control the wind and when there is insufficient movement of air (i.e. below 12 mph) a wind turbine is not going to generate a single watt of electricity. However nature is biting back, and with costs spiraling out of control, the flight from fossil fuels looks as if it is struggling against into a headwinds.

This latest fiasco forged by the government's scientific advisers stands as a testament to the impracticality of impulsively jumping on the renewable energy bandwagon while shouting "We're following the science," without first thoroughly investigating the practical limitations of technologies that look great on paper, in mathematical models, or under controlled conditions in the laboratory.

The now defunct, if we are honest, Norfolk Boreas offshore wind farm was intended to be the flagship of the country’s major offshore wind projects. Its aim was to provide low cost electricity to 1.5 million homes with up to 140 turbines. Now the developers have acknowledged that projects with low locked-in electricity prices have turned uneconomical due to these escalating costs and disruptions.

In February this year our Daily Stirrer publication reported that Vattenfall, along with Denmark’s Ørsted and other wind farm developers, were seeking tax breaks or subsidies as a remedy to their fiscal woes which had been created by governments pandering to extremist pressure groups and prematurely closing gas, coal and nuclear power plants, capping wells and abandoning mines on the strength of assurances from mathematical modellers that wind power could supply all the energy needs of the world's fifth largest economy. Perhaps now the twin mirage of “cheap” renewable energy and the infallibility of science are revealed to have been nothing but a smoke and mirrors stunt, perhaps vote seeking politicians and rent - seeking science journalists may have to acknowledge the economic reality that has been hidden behind the curtain.

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We Told You So - Government-funded Report Confirms World’s Largest offshore Wind Farm is Unprofitable

 by Xavier Connolly, 21 November 2021

A report  commissioned by the Norwegian government has contradicted Boris Johnson’s recent claim made to the UK Parliament that offshore wind costs have fallen by 70% in a decade. The report also blows a huge hole in Johnson's grandiose pledges to the COP26 conference that offshore wind power would propel Britain to its net - zero target for Carbon Dioxide emissions well before 2020, the target set by the climate conference for achieving that target. 

The Norwegian report confirms that the UK’s newest and most overhyped offshore wind farms are high-cost operations that, if they are to before the mainstay of the UK's electricity generation industry will either drive millions of people into fuel poverty or the wind farm operators into bankruptcy. 

The group of engineers responsible for the report say the  Dogger Bank wind farms complex, the world's largest when it opens in a few months time, will be unprofitable from day one, and as an asset isessentially worthless, with a value of around minus £1 billion in current terms.

These findings are only the visible tip of a very large iceberg of unprofitable offshore wind projects threatening to devastate pension funds that have invested in renewable energy schemes due to the wildly inaccurate estimates of scientists regarding their likely output and running costs..

The report confirms as series of findings published by the GWPF, The Renewable Energy Foundation  and others, which show that offshore wind costs are very high, at best are only falling slowly, and are far above the auction strike prices being agreed.

Andrew Montford, Deputy Director of Net Zero Watch said: “We have been warning since 2017 that contrary to reports in mainstream media there has been no revolution in offshore wind costs. Every time we get new financial data from offshore wind farms, the cost estimates go up. Just this week, our estimates for the Seagreen 1 wind farm have increased by nearly 20%, and those for Dogger Bank by a similar amount.”

The Government’s Net Zero plans rely on a five-fold increase in the wind fleet, mostly from offshore developments, and an extraordinary decline in the cost of the power it produces.

Wind Farms in the UK are privately operated for profit and the government subsidies they have to be given by government simply to get them to break even point add a significant amount, in the form of 'The Gren Levy' to the fuel bill of every household. The latest findings mean that the costs of delivering Net Zero will increase by hundreds of billions of pounds, and probably by trillions.

Craig Mackinlay MP, the chairman of the parliamentary Net Zero Scrutiny Group, commented: 

“It is becoming increasingly obvious that our dash for renewables, notably wind, is failing on the two key criteria of energy security and affordability. An avoidable energy crisis is approaching but sadly our government is yet to recognise it.”

Dr Benny Peiser, Net Zero Watch director said:

“The Climate Change Committee’s Net Zero plan has already been shown to have used wildly optimistic assumptions on the cost of renewable energy. The Norwegian report is another nail in the coffin of its credibility.”

This blog and its sister publications has said for years that the plans being made by governments which claim their energy policies are 'led by science' are totally unrealistic and about as scientific as a witch doctor slaughtering a cockrel then throwing a bunch of old bones in the air and claiming they predict there will be catastrophe if the tribe do not give him two virgins, six goats and a bottle of the white man's fire water. Inevitably we have been called 'conspiracy theorists' but how we could have conspired with the Norwegian authors of this report when we had never heard of them until after the report was published.

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The money was paid as management fees (a standard euphemism for funds filtered by corporate crooks,) via a complex web of companies set up in offshore jurisdictions, mainly the Inidian Ocean island republic of Mauritius but with links to tax havens in The Caribbean and Europe. Jean-Claude Bastos also used his privileged position to help set up large investment deals he stands to further profit from, the Papers show.

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Like many oil rich countries, Angola set up a sovereign wealth fund to invest the proceeds of its natural resource wealth. Similar schemes have been used by other countries, notably Norway, to help ensure a steady income for future generations.

Angola, like most African nations, is wracked by corruption and suffers extreme poverty. It also has one of the highest child mortality rates in the world.

The fund, Fundo Soberano De Angola (FSDEA), which was set up with capital of with $5bn (£3.75bn) in 2011, was surrounded by controversy from the start; the then Angolan President Eduardo dos Santos' son, 39-year-old Jose Filomeno, was appointed as its first CEO. Jean-Claude Bastos, sometimes also known as Jean-Claude Bastos de Morais, a Swiss-Angolan and close friend of the then president's son, was chosen as the fund's asset manager.

Typically, a fund of this size would spread the risk of investment among several asset managers, along with the fees it pays, said one expert. Instead of this risk spreading, Mr Bastos was given responsibility for investing almost all of the fund's money, and was paid accordingly. His company Quantum Global Investments Africa Management, manages about 85% of it.

One expert described the situation as "unusual". Andrew Bauer, an authority on sovereign wealth funds, told the BBC: "Funds want to hedge the risk. You don't want to put all your eggs in one basket."

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In a statement, the FSDEA said the appointment of Mr Bastos' company to manage the fund followed "an objective process". The firm was selected, it said, because of its "exemplary performance on previous mandates with the Angolan authorities".

The fund also said giving near total control of investments to one asset manager was part of its policy for the first 18 months only. Leaked documents included among the Paradise Papers investigation show the fund paid management fees of more than $90m (£67.5m) to Mr Bastos' Mauritius-based QG Investments Africa Management. This occurred over a 20-month period between May 2014 and the end of 2015.

The leak offers an unprecedented insight into what happened to the management fees after being paid into Mr Bastos' company. This money was split into two main chunks - with $41m declared as dividends, or pure profit, and deposited in a company in the British Virgin Islands, itself owned by a series of secretive offshore companies ultimately owned by Mr Bastos. A further $34m was paid in advisory fees to a Swiss firm majority owned by Mr Bastos. The rest, after minor expenses, was retained in the management company run by Mr Bastos.

Unfortunately such arrangements are perfectly legal. Such practices are made possible by the process of globalisation, while politicians and the media hype up the touchy - feely, all-join-hands-and-sing-Kumbaya aspects of globalism, such as free movement of people, which far from helping the poor actually facilitates people trafficking rackets, but the real benefit of globalsation is it allows the free movement of money, which benefits the hyper rich enormously.

When asked whether secrecy surrounding his activities was the reason for the series of companies registered offshore, Bastos said it was entirely his personal choice how he receives dividends from his companies. He also said the dividends he receives "pale in comparison to the long term positive impact my projects will have in Angola".

Both the fund and Mr Bastos said the management fees paid to Quantum Global Investments Africa Management are in line with global industry standards.

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