
Picture: National Review
Late last week, (January 19 to 23,) the most elite of the political and business elites gathered in Davos, Switzerland, for the annual jolly of the World Economic Forum. Apart from the usual waffle on themes like global cooperation, innovation, and sustainable growth, net zero, the oportuniies offered by AI and the quality of the obscenely expensive wines,foods and prostitutes on offer, there were a few shocks to the delicate systems of the gathered self - aggrandisers.
Shocks had been guaranteed from the moment US President Donald Trump announced he would attend.That alone was enough to trigger an outbreak of pearl clutching among the liberal chatterati.
The first and perhaps biggest shock came when Trump reiterated his claim that the USA had to take control of Greenland for the sake of western security.
It was not the first time Trump had said that the United States intends to take Greenland, one way or another. Before the Davos gang convened Washington had threatened to impose tariffs on European allies that resisted the move, and had threatened that the USA would pull out of NATO. Everybody knows that without American military strength the alliance is as significant as a gnat's fart in the hurricane force winds of Storm Donald so NATO’s obituary was proclaimed yet again. The United States, we are solemnly informed, can no longer be trusted as an ally and that it is even a predatory state. The West is finished.
Cue panic. Cue Davos. Cue the anguished cries of people who have not had to think seriously about the global power balance since the mid-1980s are suddenly faced with the prospect of conflict in the middle east and Iran causing economic chaos by closing the Strait of Hormuz, the spread of Chinese influence in Asia and Russian influence in Africa and the break up of NATO and the EU.
All of this reached something of crescendo last week when Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney,
speaking with unusual frankness, acknowledged that the so-called
liberal rules-based order was over. “Let me be direct,” he stated. “We
are in the midst of a rupture not a transition.”
Carney delivered a frank assessment of how he views
the direction of the world economy when he said international law and the longstanding U.S.-led, rules-based world order
is over and middle powers like Canada must pivot to avoid falling prey
to further "coercion" from powerful actors.
Carney said multilateralism and the "architecture of collective
problem-solving" — relying on institutions like the World Trade
Organization, the United Nations and Conference of the Parties (COP) for
climate talks — has been "diminished" and countries have to accept they
may have to go it alone more often than in the recent past.
"Many
countries are drawing the same conclusions. They must develop greater
strategic autonomy: in energy, food, critical minerals, in finance and
supply chains.
"A country that cannot feed itself, fuel itself or
defend itself has few options. When the rules no longer protect you, you
must protect yourself," Carney said which unintentionally confirms that the USA claim on Greenland, a frozen wilderness with no food prouction, no industry, no economy other than handouts from Denmark and a population of 67,000.
Something that is not often mentioned but might become significant as Trump, having opened negotiations on Greenland, turns his attention to Iran, what comes after it is the Soviet parallel at the
heart of Mark Carney’s Davos speech: he wasn’t just
critiquing Western alliance politics, he was drawing on a very specific
late-communist logic to illuminate how contemporary international order
operates.
In that speech Carney explicitly
invoked former Czech President Václav Havel’s The Power of the Powerless and its greengrocer parable about how late Soviet communist regimes were sustained through
ritual compliance with a known falsehood rather than genuine belief, and
adapted it to describe the U.S.-led “rules-based international order”
as a similar “pleasant fiction” that middle powers have long performed
support for despite knowing its selective application and coercive
elements to gain access to trade, finance, and security.
Carney quoted
Havel’s idea of “living within the lie,” stressing that the system’s
power derives from performative pretense and that its fragility is
exposed when participants refuse the script. He used this to urge
countries and firms to “take down their signs” — reject the illusion of
mutual benefit in economic integration, acknowledge the order’s
hollowness, and build genuine coordination and strategic autonomy amid
great-power rivalry rather than bilateral accommodation with a declining
hegemon.
But the real question is not whether Carney is right about the
passing of the “rules based world order" but why it has taken so long for people like him to notice. The
answer lies in a comforting illusion: that American power had,
post-1945, somehow transformed itself from self-interest into benign
liberal principle.
As anyone who possesses a degree of familiarity with the history of
American foreign policy will tell you, Trump's intention, (aka The Donroe Doctrine,) to disrupt the 'rules based order' so beloved by bueucrats like Carney and Keir Starmer is nothing new, the United States has always acted in its own interest. It has always treated international law as conditional. It has always
exempted itself from rules it helped design when those rules became
inconvenient. This is
not a Trumpian innovation. It is how great powers behave. It is how the
US has behaved for decades since the end of World War II, and how Britain behaved between the end of the Napoleonic Wars to the end of World War One, which left us seriously weakened and the USA grew economically and in military power. The American imperium has always been an axis of hypocrisy rather than an axis of democracy.
What has changed is not the way America exploits its power, but the moment at which the West's delusion of a liberal consensus, has finally been forced into daylight, as has the widespread depravity and corruption of the ruling elites with the release of the Epstein files..
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Somehow, public life and the 'rules based' world order staggers on. After all, how would we go about purging an entire national ruling class, let alone a transnational billionaire one with a combined net worth greater than many nation states?“
I suspect that it is not so much that we, the people, lack the means to conduct such a purge, difficult though it may be to execute, it’s more that we lack the will. Imagine the chaos that would folow should most of the people, vile, corrupt, self - obsessed, sociopaths, running the show sudden;y be rounded up and dumped on an unpopulated island a thoudand miles from anywhere, (South Georgia for example,) that we simply cannot face up to the responsibility of making it happen even when evidence that they are shfting us, metaphorically and in some cases literally, is laid in front of us.
Most of us need jobs to pay for the necessities of life, food, rent or mortgages, transport etc. businesses need a revenue stream and communities need some sort of order to function. Long term economic and political instability is unsustinable. No matter how disgusting the elites are, we need them.
Does anyone else suspect that the root cause might well be our universally human fear of the unknown: or, more precisely, that we can't control what we don’t know. In that way, it’s altogether better to believe in the comforting, simplistic fairy tales told by the likes of the BBC and Hollywood (and, yes, alternative media – the ‘awake’ crowd isn’t exempt from this!), to look away, to avoid looking up, to deliberately avoid seeing what we need to see. In terms of Plato's cave allegory it makes sense, to ridicule those who point out that the shadows on the cave wall are not real at all and that, all of our mortal lives, like our parents and grandparents before us, we’ve all been gulled by deceivers who themselves had been deceived, tempted, and blackmailed.
However at various points in human history the narrative starts to crack and the cave falls in as reality reasserts itself. That might be what’s happening now.
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