The secret of freedom lies in educating people, whereas the secret of tyranny is in keeping them ignorant. - Maximilien Robespierre.

Showing posts with label winter. Show all posts
Showing posts with label winter. Show all posts

Thursday, September 21, 2023

Winter Is Coming - As The days Get Shorter And Colder Russia Focuses Attacks On Ukraine's Energy Infrastructure


Ukraine power hub hit by Russian missile - Screengrab from BBC News

by Egbert Nobakkon 21 September 2023

Reports of attacks on Ukraine’s Cherkasy, Kyiv, Kharkiv, Khmelnytskiy, Rivne, Vinnytsia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv regions.

epa10873533 Smoke rises atop buildings after a missile strike hit a residential area, in Kyiv, Ukraine, 21 September 2023. "Damage was recorded in Darnytskyi, Solomyanskyi, Shevchenkivskyi districts in Kyiv as a result of falling missiles’ pieces. Fires broke out in Darnytskyi District. Seven people were wounded, including a child." says Ihor Klymenko, Ukraine's Minister of Internal Affairs EPA-EFE/OLEG PETRASYUK 28899
Smoke rises over buildings after a Russian missile strike hit a residential area in Kyiv, Ukraine, on September 21, 2023 [Oleg Petrasyuk/EPA]

Russia's biggest attack on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure for many months comes on the eve of the autumnal equinox as Ukrainians prepare as well as they can in difficult circumstances for the winter.

Reports from the Ministry of Truth in Kiev said that the attacks launched last night were the biggest maissile strikes on energy facilities for six months. Russia reportedly launched several cruise missiles from strategic bombers from western Russia. The Ukrainian general staff said 43 cruise missiles were launched, while Ukraine’s air defense shot down 36 out of those but given Ukrainian propagandist's propensity for exaggeration of successes and concealment of setbacks if we reverse those figures the result might be closer to reality.

According to data from United Nations satellites monitoring the conflict the greatest amount of damage was caused in western and central Ukraine, and mostly energy infrastructure was hit. Ukraine says many people were injured in one town where a hotel was hit.  

At least 18 people, including a child, were injured in air strikes, Ukrainian officials admitted to Reuters

Al Jazeera, which throughout the war has been one of the more reliable sources of information from the war zone reports Russia launched 'more than 20 long range missiles and 20 targets, mostly energy infrastructure sites, including an electricity distribution hub and an oil refinery were hit were hit. 

There are now towns and cities without power and the authorities are trying to restore electricity supply as fast as they can.

“Winter is coming. Tonight russia renew missile attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure,” Andrii Osadchuk, Member of the Parliament of Ukraine, wrote on Twitter on Thursday.

The attack occurred weeks before the winter heating season in Ukraine begins. We can expect more attacks of this nature as Moscow, sensing that the western powers, irritated by Zelensky's constant demands for more support, appear to be preparing to cease provinding the means for Kiev to escalate the conflict.

Earlier this week, Gas Transmission System Operator of Ukraine (GTSOU) said it is conducting large-scale preparation for the upcoming heating season.

“In close coordination with the Ministry of Energy, companies and enterprises of the oil and gas, electricity and coal industries are conducting restoration and repair works and preparing the relevant infrastructure for this winter in the conditions of constant military challenges,” GTSOU said on Tuesday.

“Special attention is paid to the reliability of gas transportation on the border with European countries in addition to the usual preparatory measures,” the system operator said.  

It looks like being an even tougher winter for Ukrainian citizens than last year.

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  Yet when politicians are asked directly: "How do we keep the lights on and our homes warm when the wind does not blow and the sun is too low in the sky to make much impression on photovoltaic cells that do the business in solar panels?

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[ Climate change ] ... [ Climate lies ] ... [ Climate CO2 efect overstated ] ... [ Energy green Dreams ] ... [ Energy net zero reality ]


Tuesday, July 25, 2023

Environmentalists Hype The Summer Heat, Ignore The Winter Chill And Call It Science

You might think the world is burning and we're all doomed if you beleived the latest hysterical ravings of climate scientists, but while wildfires rage in Greece, here in the north of England it's so cold I've had to put my heating on as we endure the coldest July on record.

 According to Daniel Turner, founder and executive director of the nonprofit climate change scepticism advocacy group Power the Future, who insists that environmental activists are hyping up heat events such as the hot weather parts of the  United States and southern Europe seeing right now. While mainstream media reporters are whipping themselves into a frenzy over the summer's heat, the kind of temperatures being recorded should not be causing surprise and dismay since since the affected areas are part of the Northern Hemisphere, where the months of July and August “should be hot,” according to Mr. Turner. He accused environmentalist scaremongering groups of hyping up heat while ignoring the  recent intense winters experienced in the same areas of the world.

“It’s very strange, though, that the environmental left loves to talk about the summer, they love to talk about the heat. Because it’s sexy, the heat is oppressive, it’s very uncomfortable. But the cold is actually much more deadly,” he said.

“On average, four times more people die of the cold. And yet when we have terrible winters, we don’t blame that on climate change. We just call that winter because it doesn’t fit the narrative that the planet is getting warmer. So they just ignore the winter."

This is something my fellow 'conspiracy theorist' Graham Lear and I have noticed over perhaps as much as fifteen years now.  While year after year environmentalist groups and government departments claim a new record has been set for the hottest year ever, either the data is being manipulated or these wonderful sciencetits (sic) with their marvellous mathematical models are deficient in basic numeracy skills because they do not understand how to calculate a simple average.

Turner's stance is refreshing but he faces a tough battle to be heard above the screeching of the numerous climate change alarmist groups such as the one which responded to his criticism of alarmism with predictions of imminent desolation and catastrophe as a result of our climate crimes;

https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/extreme-heat-in-north-america-europe-and-china-in-july-2023-made-much-more-likely-by-climate-change/

This article makes the statement;

  • ”Unless the world rapidly stops burning fossil fuels, these events will become even more common and the world will experience heatwaves that are even hotter and longer-lasting. A heatwave like the recent ones would occur every 2-5 years in a world that is 2°C warmer than the preindustrial climate.”

When I was working in the nuclear industry in the 1980s the engineers and designers would refer to the academic experts who advised government policy makers as "often in error, never in doubt". It seems the climate ‘experts’ are cast from the same material, they have no doubt whatsoever that whatever is happening to the climate (if anything) it is all the fault of humanity. 

The more they repeat this mantra with the certainty of zealots, the more it seems like the credo of some weird doomsday cult, there are echoes of the notion of original sin and that we are all sinners and debase ourselves before the righteous and sacrifice all the benefits of civilisation in order to be saved.

 In this respect it echoes the Abrahamic religions in the way it uses guilt to keep they leity in line and preserve the power of the elite priesthood. Judaism, Christianity and Islam all rely on keeping people in fear of divine retribution but having been brought up in what can be loosely described as the Christian tradition I can only comment on the scam that has held Christian churches together for almost 2000 years. When people say to me now, "Jesus died on the cross for your sins," I will answer, "That's tough but I didn't ask him to."

I refuse to feel guilt about a myth. We are all responsible for our own actions and have a duty to inform ourselves of the likely consequences of what we do and then to behave as decently as we can in the circumstances. But just as I reject allegations that I bear some responsibility for the death of a charcter believed to have lived 2000 years ago, I am no more going to accept responsibility for extreme weather events when those who accuse me are flying around the world in private jets to lecture us more humble folk on the sacrifices we must make in order to 'save the planet.'

It seems to me that if we do as the doom mongers suggest and immediately and suddenly stop burning fossil fuels, the misery and suffering created will be immense and will hit the poorest in society and the people of the poorest nations hardest.

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Just When We Need It Most, Renewable Energy Disappears
In an encouraging sign of a great awakening, million of people in the UK are now, after a week of brutally cold, absolutely windless weather asking "Why have we wasted so much money on wind turbines and harvesting solar energy."
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Europe's Cold Spell Exposes Green Energy Policy Failure
So far the autumn of 2022 has been unusually mild which has had eco-warriors getting worked up and gluing their arses to motorways and airport runways to demand that we stop using oil. However winter temperatures across Europe predictably dropped sharply in late November and through most of December to date have been positively arctic. Scientists have offered the opinion that the cold weather spell the ongoing European gas crisis is now “likely” to worsen significantly as usual seasonal weather spreads across the northern half of the continent, bringing with it an increased need for domestic heating.

Fellow Slams The Royal Society as Nothing But a Lobby Group for Climate Change.
Another respected scientist comes out and denounces the science behind the climate change scare as a fraud. The whole thing has been a scam to justify punitive taxes on fuel and enable the rich to make fortunes trading carbon credits. Again it shows what a sack of rogues the climate science community really are.

Another Kick In The Bollocks For Warmageddonists And CAGWARTS*
I've had many arguments with the Warmageddonists, the people who have been saying that if we did not shut down all coal, oil and gas related activites the earth was going to turn into a giant furnace and we would all burn. When the scaremongering first started, the deadline for frying was "after dinner". Then it goT to "Tomorrow ...... or the day after tomorrow perhaps," then "next year", "before 2050," and eventually "soon." Climate Change Alarmist Lies - Omnibus page The Media's lies on climate change
Climate catastrophe milestone passed: nothing happens
The ignorance of warmageddonist climate science fans
Golbal Warming hoax: The Real Climate Science
The science scam behind the climate change scare exposed
Is the climate change scare part of a totalitarian globalist agenda

[ Climate change ] ... [ Climate science flawed ] ... [ Climate and media lies ] ... [ Climate lies omnibus ] ... [ Green Dreams ] ... { Cost of Green Energy ] ... [ Green energy meltdown ]

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Tuesday, January 03, 2023

Phew! I'm Glad That's Over - For Another Year At Least

As someone who when asked about religion describes himself as a paganistic humanist it seems redundant to say that as I've grown older, the whole Christmas and New Year thing has become more of a pain in the arse than a holiday. My wife, always one for a traditional Christmas, passed away three years ago, our two children are in the first flush of middle age and one of them has children of his own who will soon be wanting to abandon the family celebration and do their own thing. Thus Christmas is hardly relevant and  my ‘new year’ comes into being from March 21st (the vernal equinox,) onwards. The promise of new beginnings in Spring fills people with hope for the future (theoretically at least,) but the blossom blooming and leaves emerging does tend to lift our spirits and energise us.

 January however, can be quite depressing after all the Christmas hype and festivities. Back on the treadmill, another year of unfulfilled expectations beckons, and all the usual miserableists emerge from their hiding places to tell us how important it is we do 'dry January', adopt a vegan lifestyle, swear a vow of celibacy, and give up happiness … January is nearly unbearable for many people, a dead month, filled with doom and gloom and I look forward to the calendar turning to February and then, because February is only a short month to endure, to the first signs of spring.

Why this downer on post Christmas period? 

Even today, with all our technology for making life more convenient, our heated and insulated homes, televisions and recorded music to fill the boredom of long, dark winter nights, January has a hard edge to it perhaps due to its short days, cold and wet, and the shock of returning to reality after the Christmas build-up, plus the prospect of dystopian future that is being planned for us by certain billionaire psychopaths.

And with continuing war in Ukraine and the high fuel prices and food shortages that we're told will accompany it, there does not seem to be much to look forward to. The promise of more pandemics (the genetically modified organisms that will deliver then are already being developed in laboratories funded by the aforementioned billionaire psychopaths,) according to some alt_news organisations, the World Economic Forum's pledge that in the future we will own nothing and we will be happy, and their plan to ban meat in order to 'save the planet' and supply us with endless helpings of mashed bugs to replace our steaks, burgers, pork chops and chicken, do not paint a rosy picture of the future.  

I am looking forward to the Spring this year but since I have to be aware that it is January, it is cold and dark but maybe I can recommend we use the dark days as a time for reflection , for taking a step back from the daily stream of propaganda to consider the ay in which the ruling elites are taking us.

Does anyone besides myself have the impression that instead of reading history we will actually be living through a pivotal historical era (Interesting Times?) over the next few years? As well as escalation of the local war in Ukraine, which some of us have always said is really a proxy war waged by the USA against Russia, further emryonic conflicts between east and west are this year likely to become a global conflict between uni-polar American hegemony world…..and the contesting multi-polar world led by China, Russia and the Brics nations, and also on a lower level to all out war whed by the ruling elites on 'We The People' with the aim of stripping us of the rights, liberties and the prosperity out forebears fought for. I can'r recall in my lifetime ever being more convinced that that the elites, system and Governments are ‘out to get us’…and that they are doing it quite openly now.

Who can be trusted in any position of power anymore? How do we, the people, get that power back?

Further evidence..as if we need it…that open corruption is now the norm…….

https://www.uncoverdc.com/2022/12/30/congressional-report-fda-inappropriately-collaborated-with-biogen/

A US House of Representatives investigation concluded that the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) “collaborated” with biotechnology company Biogen on the approval of its Alzheimer’s drug Aduhelm. Indeed, as 2022 comes to a close, American taxpayers are reminded yet again of the inappropriate and dishonest manner in which the FDA—the agency funded by taxpayers to ensure the safety and efficacy of the medications they take—collaborates with Big Pharma.

A group of UK doctors has called for an immediate halt to mRNA vaccinations pending a government investigation of serious concerns about their safety and lack of effectiveness.

And as if all that were not depressing enough this January, it looks as if a world governed by unelected technocrats and run by artificial intelligence will draw inexorably nearer in 2023. With that new pantheon of mini-gods – the scientists – sitting smugly pretty, it’s hardly surprising. Ostensibly the key question is who will exploit AI to the fullest. There are only two contenders: the US and China.

The stakes couldn’t be higher: for the victor, lasting technological, economic and military dominance. It’s an international Battle of the Boffins, engagingly analysed by American businessman Handel Jones in a new bookWhen AI Rules the World: China, the US, and the Race to Control a Smart Planet.

It really depends on us as individuals. Are we prepared to take the path of least resistance and surrender ourselves to servitude , or are we willing to say to ourselves, " I will not take orders from a smart phone, not will I surrender to the siren voices telling me how wonderful a system of social credit scores and 'heath passports' will be. I will not drive a car that has a government controlled kill switch should I exceed my permitted mileage, not will I give up using cash because to do so gives authorities the ability to deny us the right to purchase certain goods and services if we have not earned enough 'credits' by compliance with policies for social control.

Its our choice. Think on it through these dark days and come the first day of spring decide wich side you are on. And so we begin 2023, who knows what kind of world we will live in by next New Year.

Phew! I'm Glad That's Over - For Another Year At Least
January however, can be quite depressing after all the Christmas hype and festivities. Back on the treadmill, another year of unfulfilled expectations beckons, and all the usual miserableists emerge from their hiding places to tell us how important it is we do 'dry January', adopt a vegan lifestyle, swear a vow of celibacy, and give up happiness …

Killjoymas - the favourite festival of The Bansturbators
But Christmas is approaching again so perhaps it is time to give it a revamp. It is interesting to note how the Politically Correct Thought Police have progressed from banning Christmas festivities on health and grounds to banning everything on the grounds that it might offend Muslims.

A Christmas Shelter
Scottish comedian and writer Janey Godley kindly allowed Greenteeth to republish her christmas fiction 'A Christmas Shelter'. This poignant Christmas story with a wry twist reminds us that labes don't make somebody a good person, actions do. It's a lesson we should be aware of as the gap between haves and have nots continues to grow wider.

Merry Atheistmas
Yet another bad idea we will no doubt be importing from the USA very soon if it has not already happened is the religious version of atheism. Well at least it will give the militant atheists who hate all religion a new target so Christians can quietly get on with is while us traditional atheists quietly tolerate religious belief.

Black Russian?
by ianrthorpe, 2013-12-16
As many of you know (because I'm always telling you) there are a lot of nutters in America. Now it's easy to jump to the conclusion that most of these nutters are evangelical (born again) Christians. This is partly right because religion does lead to nuttiness, but we should not "misunderestimate" the propensity of Americans to turn anything into a religion. One of those religions is ...

Christmas MDF
Well here it is, our first Christmas post. I was more than a little gobsmacked to see a headline that read "IKEA" sells six foot Christmas Trees for £5. It was not the prices that amazed me, after all they have lots of pine trees in Sweden

Christmas is coming - and Retail Christians are ready A look at how Christmas has made Christianity the religion of retailing and Christians the most evangelical of consumers
Christmas Is Bollocks part 2.
For Christmas 2010 Boggart Blog has continued its long tradition off slagging off the modern, consumer oriented, shoddy, politically correct, conformist christmas if favour of supporting people who do their own thing.

You Get What You Deserve.
Are mobile phones, celphones as they are called in some parts, destroying good manners and the basic civility we need in order for ociety to finction? In the internet destroying our way of life? Are we becoming slaves to technology? Boggart Blog's resident technophobe Fatsally has a few things to say on that.

The Little Cellphone - A Christmas Story
What happens to all those cellphones that have given loyal and efficient servive only to be abandoned to their fate at Christmas when a newer model with more bells and whistles, apps and software widgets replaces them

Join The Christmas Resistance Ever felt like asking yourself what this annual insanity called Christmas is all about and then taking yourself off to a Buddhist monastic retreat from December 21st to Jan 6th thus letting Christmas pass you by completely? More and more people are rejecting the idea that we can all be happy if we buy loads of stuff we do not need, will never use and after it has cluttered up our living space for a year will throw out just before next Christmas to make way for next year's Christmas tat? If you have you are not alone. Welcome to the Christmas Resistance.
link url: Join The Christmas Resistance

Defying the Tyranny of Consumer Christmas
Manipulation is everywhere from the X Factor to Christmas, media hype is the tool that influences the sheeple to think what their masters want them to think. The careers of people as diverse as Michael Jackson and Barack Obama as well as the political success of Tony Blair are all built on nothing more substantial than spin. Repeat the lie often enough, that Michael Jackson is the most talented performer ever, that Barack Obama represents the dawn of a new era in politics, that Saddam posed a threat to the west, and enough people will believe it. So what can you do to regain your freedom. You can start by resisting the tyranny of the consumer Christmas
link url: http://www.greenteethmm.com/christmas_tyranny.shtml

A Child Is Born On The Bog

The people who run television channels have a weird idea of what will entertain us at Christmas. Or do thhey perhaps understand better than we do that what the public wants amid all the Bacchanialian feasting and Lupercanian unsrestrained shagging of the modern Christmas festival what we really want is Roman Circuses?...
A Child Is Born On The Bog

January Is Getting Earlier Each Year
Maybe it is we who are getting older but it seems while Chistmas lasts longer, January comes a little earlier each year...
January Getting Earlier

The Boggart Blog Christmas SOS - Save Our Socks
The Boggart Blog Irrelevant Christmas Charity Appeal. Our inaugural Christmas Carity Appeal requests your help in providing shelter and support for homeless socks, those unfortunate items of hoisery that have become separated from their partners and are now homeless and hungry. These sockes are often given as Christmas Presents without the giver forst checking what kind of home they are going to. All over Britain single, homeless, pairless socks are sheltering in the recesses of laundry baskets, hiding behind radiators or cowerting in changing room lockers. Please help us to help them.
Boggart Blog Christmas Appeal - Save Our Socks

The Time Has Come The Gordon Said
The Boggart Blog Irrelevant Christmas Charity Appeal. This year as well as our appeal for on behald of Fletcher Memorial Homes for seperated socks we are throwing our weight behind a charity that works to provide shelter over the festive season for abandoned hi - vis jackets...
The Time Has Come ... Again

Christmas Is Bollocks
Come on, admit it. When you saw the headline your heart leaped for joy. At last you thought, a like mineed person, sombody who thinks for himself. because let's be honest, if you had not agreed you would not have clicked through.
Christmas Is Bollocks

The Christmas Resistance

Killjoymas - the favourite festival of The Bansturbators
But Christmas is approaching again so perhaps it is time to give it a revamp. It is interesting to note how the Politically Correct Thought Police have progressed from banning Christmas festivities on health and grounds to banning everything on the grounds that it might offend Muslims.

Thursday, December 15, 2022

Just When We Need It Most, Renewable Energy Disappears

 


In an encouraging sign of a great awakening, million of people in the UK are now, after a week of brutally cold, absolutely windless weather asking "Why have we wasted so much money on wind turbines and harvesting solar energy." 

Yet when politicians are asked directly: "How do we keep the lights on and our homes warm when the wind does not blow and the sun is too low in the sky to make much impression on photovoltaic cells that do the business in solar panels? They start to waffle about the impending climate catastrophe, the importance of achieving net zero and the urgency of reducing Carbon Dioxide emissions. There has been an  almost universal enthusiasm in business, finance and politics to finance more wind farms. We were told we would get more than half our power from renewables. On a warn,breezy day in high summer when demand is at its lowest this is sort of true. I say sort of because it really depends on how on defines 'renewables'. However on the coldest day of 2022, in mid December only two weeks from the end of the year, a windless day on which in all but a few small areas of Britain the temperature did not rise above freezing point at any time and wind turbines contributed only 3% of our electricity supply.

The electricity companies made up the shortfall by importing enery from France's nuclear power stations and  bringing online coal and gas fired stations, ostensibly shut down in pursuit of impossible 'net zero'  targets, set by one of the recent COP climate conferences when thirty thousand or so delegates from the worlds of politics, business and academia fly, many by private jet, to some exclusive resort and amply supplies with gourmet food, fine wines and high class prostitutes to keep their minds sharp and focused,  decide what sacrifices the rest of us must make in the cause of 'saving the planet.'

The stated capacity of UK wind turbines is over 25 GW, which compares to demand on a cold day of a little over 45 GW. However that 25GW is a notional figure, dependent on ideal wind conditions prevailing over the whole of Britain. In reality all the wind turbines in Britain rarely supply as much as 25% of our electricity and much more often they do not even provide 10%.

This autumn and winter we have lived through periods of little wind, when the wind electricity output can be as low as 1 per cent of our total needs despite having theoretical capacity for many times that. Whenlack of wind coincides with cold, dark evenings and mornings when there is no solar power either, the power companies have to turn up output from gas and our few remaining coal generators which are designated as standby systems because amid all the hype for wind and renewables and the worship of St Greta of Thunberg somebody had the foresight to anticipate such situations.

Ever since 2005 when this blog and its stablemates Boggart Blog and The Daily Stirrer were born I and my colleagues, three old gits who have vast experience in busines, finance and engineering and still have all our marbles (well as many of them as we ever had,) have been warning of the technical and practical shortcomings of 'green energy generation' and anticipating such situations as have been experiences in the past few days. What we did not anticipate was the war in Ukraine and the diastrous sanctions imposed on Russian oil and gas by NATO member states. Unfortunately the response of of Russia this year to the genocide of ethnic Russians in Ukraine by the neo - nazi nutters in Kiev has led to an ban on the gas imports that sustained Germany and Italy, leaving the EU trying to cut energy use to match the shortfall in supply so having shut down our North Sea gas wells and the massive Rough storage facility in pursuit of 'Net Zero' we have nowhere to turn

There have always been problems with adding too much wind power to our system. Much of the wind power is best generated offshore in Scotland where there is availability and on good days  more wind. This needs an enlarged high voltage network to bring it south to where it can be consumed, with losses of up to 30% along the way. Too much intermittent renewable power fed into the system makes the necessary balancing of the grid more difficult, with more need for back up generation that can be available almost instantly if the wind drops. Relying on European imports does not work when the EU is also experiencing a cold period with little wind, especially if enough of the ageing French fleet of nuclear power stations continue to struggle to stay open. 

Import dependence is also bad in other ways. It means exporting well paid jobs. It means paying large taxes on energy away to a foreign treasury instead of keeping them at home to pay some of the NHS bills. It gives the UK less control over energy when there are supply constraints that need managing. 

The first aim of energy policy should be to ensure the security of supply, with the industry and regulators ensuring a useful surplus over normal maximum demand from domestic stations. The second should be to keep electricity and domestic heating fuel affordable for consumers by developing a system which always used the cheapest power available. The distant third was  concern for the environmental because while mathematical models predict doom and gloom (don't they always?,) there is little real world evidence that Carbon Dioxide emissions from human activity have a significant effect on the climate. 

In the first decade after privatisation, a time when I worked as an Information Technology consultant in the industry, the power companies made huge advances, replacing old coal stations where only around a third of the underlying energy emerged as electrical current with clean coal technologies that were more efficient and also removed the really nasty pollutants such as Sulphur Dioxide, and building gas-fuelled combined cycle stations that improved energy efficiency by more than half, allowing cheaper prices and a much cleaner output. There was plenty of margin for cold days when something went wrong with a power station or two. 

The current Government has wisely said it is going to make national security of supply a main aim again but will they stick to this pledge when the ecoloons and baxk to nature brigade start screaming. If they intend to do so it will require plenty of stand-by power for when the wind does not blow and as power stations cannot be started as quickly as a car having wind as a primary source which gas or coal as back up means keeping those fossil fuel stations running with their output going down to earth. This is an absolutely insane business model, the money spent on ensuring the security of our electricity supply would be wasted because the politicians are too vain and the scientists to arrogant and stupid to admit that for the past thirty years they have been wrong.

'Scientists' (always wrong about everything,) tell us that investment in battery storage on a huge scale  will allow us to keep wind turbine electricity from windy days to manage windless ones, however stored power tends to dissipiate quickly, batteries are hideously expensive and lithium (currently the raw material for the most energy efficient batteries,) is highly volatile and tends to spontaneously combust, triggering unquenchable fire that can burn without oxygen and cannot be quenched with water. 

Greta Thunberg can go to hell, gas and oil will still be around when she gets there.

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Sunday, December 11, 2022

Europe's Cold Spell Exposes Green Energy Policy Failure


A clear blue sky, sub zero temperatures and zero wind - not a good combination for a nation relant on power from wind turbines (Picture: Daily Mail)


 

As the sanction on imports of oil and gas from Russia, imposed in March 2022 with the aim of 'bringing the Russian economy to its knees' in retribution for the invasion of Ukraine,  have in fact achieved the opposite of what was intended with the Russian economy sustained by sales of its hydrocarbons to China, India, South East Asia, Africa and South America, while Europe struggles with rocketing energy prices and fuel shortages, the combined effect of those ill - considered sanctions and the loonytoons 'net zero' energy policies are  about to bite even harder.

So far the autumn of 2022 has been unusually mild which has had the eco-warriors and CO2phobes geting very worked up and gluing their arses to motorways and airport runways in support of their demand that we stop using oil immediately. However winter temperatures across Europe predictably dropped sharply in late November and through most of December to date have been positively arctic.

Scientists have offered the utterly amazing opinion that in view of this cold weather spell the ongoing European gas crisis is now “likely” to worsen significantly as a winter progresses and more usual seasonal weather spreads across the northern half of the continent, bringing with it an increased need for domestic heating.

Polictians and the media are placing all the blame for shortages and soaring rices on Russia, but a large part of the blame lies with our spineless politicians who for the sake of 'green' virtue signalling  made Europe almost entirely reliant on extremely reliant on Russian gas and oil exports while they pursued the idiotic policies like 'net zero' and a complete transition to sustainable sources of energy for electricity generation. While leaders have been appeasing the noisy but unrepresentative green lobby, Europe has been struggling with serious energy shortfalls issues since the start of the Ukraine war earlier this year. It seems neither the politicians, the ecoloons, not the climate scientists can get their extremely thick skulls around the fact that wind turbines do not generate a single watt of power when the wind blows as less than 16Kmph or above 45 Kmph. And solar panels are useless on average 12 hours per day throughout the year. 

  has put together a nice graphic showing the problem with relying on wind power. While supporters of wind power like to claim that wind turbines now generate over 50% of our electricity, by cherry picking the days with the best wind conditions and highlighting them, this graph shows that while UK energy demand is a steady 40 Gw, in the first full week of December 2022, when the days were almost windless and temperatures stayed below freezing night and day, wind turbines generated a mere 2% of that 40 Gw.

Graphs show power as percentage of total demand

Wind power output for 10 December measured at 10 minute intervals. At no point did wind turbine output reach even 5% of total demand yet this is the technology we are told will power our nation in future
 

 Wind power output for November 2022. Apart from the fact that winds contribution to our electricity supply is a lot lower than the green loons in parliament and media would have us believe, the two things to note are the alarming troughs in output during periods of low wind and the way output drops just as the weather turns significantly colder towards the end of the month.


The unseasonably warm weather in Autumn 2022  up until recently  has so far helped reduce the need to burn ever-costlier gas to heat homes, temperatures across northern Europe have now dropped significantly as a result of an arctic air blast.

According to a report in The Guardian, the UK has seen temperatures plunger to below zero, with freezing fog, ice and snow causing problems throughout the country, while similar warnings have also been issued in neighbouring Ireland. This not unusual December weather pattern is likely to drive energy usage up significantly across the north of the continent over the coming days. We can only hope the government and energy companies have a few North Sea gas platforms ready to bring back into production, to hell with Extinction Rebellion, Greta Thunberg & Co.

As of Friday 9 December, EU gas storage was about 85% full, and being drawn down at 0.5% a day. That will almost certainly increase during the week on a combination of more use for heating and more use for power generation as the wind stays still in a period of cold Dunkelflaute affecting most of the Continent. The European Union still hopes to reach its goal of having at least 90% of its gas storage capacity filled by the end of the year. However, even at those storage levels, that’s only around 22.5% of its annual consumption.

With gas supplies so uncertain the immediate problem becomes electricity supply. The UK, which gets around 50% of its electricity fron gas powered turbines is forecasting a shortfall of over 1.5GW for the coming week at the moment. Reducing that will depend on being able to secure imports from the Continent. It starts to become an interesting question as to how much will be available. Meanwhile in Sweden, the unexpected shutdown of a big nuclear plant is leading to threats of shortage that may be difficult to cover by imports. In slightly better news, some French nuclear plants have returned to operation following maintenance. But they are still a long way down on normal.

The arrival of winter is also extremely bad news for Germany, where gas rationing has been in force in some areas for several months. The government has already been warned that it could completely run out of gas by the end of next February should extremely cold temperatures interfere with its aim to cut gas consumption by one-fifth compared to last year

It is acknowledged that the country is unlikely to get through this winter without more rationing measures and rolling blackouts, and German business groups say the impact of the energy crisis is likely to last years, and could possibly result in the destruction of German manufacturing.

While some of Europe’s wealthier people may be able to jet off to the ski slopes to enjoy the cold weather, the sudden shift towards below-freezing temperatures will likely result in serious hardship for many less well off people. With huge numbers across the continent already struggling under increased heating, electricity and food costs, the decrease in temperature is likely to require them to either turn up their thermostats at the expense of their wallets or risk freezing in order to stay fed. Over half of households in the United Kingdom reported to have already cut back on the number of meals they eat per day.

 



 

 

 

 


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