by Xavier Connolly, 29 November 2022
Britain's newly installed Secretary of State for Energy, Grant Shapps, is still learning the job so perhaps we should cut him some slack, but even so a statement he made on our energy supply today shows astounding ignorance of technical details relating to his portfolio.
Answering a question in Parliament this morning about Britain's ability to reach its target of getting 40% of our energy needs from sustainable sources, Shapps sneered that it was not possible for us to reach 40% now as we already get 43% from wind. Unfortunately the sneering sarcasm was misplaced but served to reveal the man in charge of energy policy does not know the difference between energy and electricity.
In fairness to Grant Shapps, he is not alone when it comes to misunderstanding what role renewables play in our national energy supply. Ministers or seldom experts in their own righ on the topic their ministry looks after, instead receiving briefings from civil servants on matters they are required to pontificate on. And for thirty years Department of Energy civil servants have been promoting wind power above all else as it provides the easiest opportunities for corporate investors and the rich to steal taxpayers money.
We understand that in fact, somewhat inconventiently for Mr Shapps renewables create around a notional 43% of our electricity, not our energy. Even then the figures are dodgy because biomass (i.e. burning wood pellets,) is counted as a renewable even though it takes trees years to grow, takes fertile land away from food production and emits more Carbon Dioxide per ton of fuel than either coal or gas. The true figures on how our electricity is sources are: Gas - 47%, Nuclear - 16%, Wind - 15%, Solar - 7%, Biomass - 7%, and the rest from hydro, coal and other fringe sources.
But that is just electricity and it is easy to understand that confusion in terms between energy and electricity when mainstream media talking heads use them interchangably. However the idea that
Britain is almost halfway to being powered completely by renewables adds to the great, green delusion of energy independence. is dangerous in that it fuels the scientific delusion that we are halway to 'net zero' already.
Electricity only accounts for 20% of our total energy supply. The rest comes from filthy fossil fuels, and will for the foreseeable future. So, renewables provide 40% of 20% which is a mere 8% of our energy needs.
As a further necessary point, quite a decent proportion of that 8% comes from burning dirty, CO2 producingt wood pellets and even more comes from nuclear, which though a zero carbon dioxide source is and even bigger bogeyman for the Exstinktion Rebellion crusties than burning old car tyres.
So, the idea that we are nearly halfway to no-carbon renewable energy paradise is just more gaslighting of a population gullible enough to trot off and get a vaccine that doesn't work in order to protect themselves from a disease that is less likely to kill that tripping on your pajama trousers and falling downstairs. And how much CO2 does that amount of gaslighting generate?
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Almost 10 months since the beginning of the Russian SMO in Ukraine so how do things stand.
On the military level in Ukraine things are going well for the Russians in spite of western mainstream media reports that would have you believe the Ukrainians are advancing rapidly towards Murmansk and Vladivostock. The withdrawal from Kherson was not a defeat but a tactical move ahead of the oncoming winter, Russia has sacrificed a few milies of territorial gains in order to give its military commanders more easily defensible positions and also secured its supply lines.
The sistuation is still volatile with the clown Bellendsky and the neo - Nazi nutters he acts as fromt man for still pushing to escalate the conflict beyond Ukraine's borders but their latest stunt, firing a missile into Poland and trying to blame the Russians in order to trigger World War 3 it seems to have caused erstwhile supporters to turn away from Kiev.
The refusal of escalation by the USA after the provocation of the missile fired by Ukraine on Poland has probably sealed the fate of Ukraine. By refusing to intervene, the US accepts the results on the ground where Ukraine is losing 5 men to every Russian killed or injured according to the most conservative estimates.
On the international political level the Russians have scored many points by giving a momentum towards multipolarity.
The abandonment of the dollar is progressing well. A new system is being put in place.Gas and oil flows are turning away from the EU and towards China and India. In the long run the effects will be devastating.
In terms of the real economy, the war is already having devastating effects in the EU. It is only accelerating. BASF has announced the relocation. Will it relocate according to its markets? One part in the USA and one part in China? Or all in the USA?
In 10 months these are impressive results. But the struggle continues on all fronts. :
Will the war in Ukraine continue for a long time? I see a possible end next year. It will be followed by Russian trials of the violation of international law in Ukraine by Ukrainians and their sponsors. At the same time we can ask ourselves what are the conditions for these trials to have a great impact?
The continuation of the struggle will be determined in large part by the fate of the $. Will it still be able to finance the US budget deficit? It is the dollar that allows the US to stir up trouble in many places. Rapid decline with a break-up triggering the dissolution of the Union. Or gradual decline.
Will the industrial and financial incapacity of the collective West to rearm itself have a breaking effect in the ongoing global war? I believe and hope so. The network of coerced alliances will dissolve, dragging down the dollar and liberating many countries.
The global, hagemonic power of the collective West is moribund.